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Curaçao vs Panamá prediction

International · Nations League Concacaf

CuraçaoDWWWW

19:30Thu Nov 12

PanamaDDWLW

30%28%42%

Probabilidad de cada resultado según el modelo

Thursday, November 12 · 19:30 (Peru time)

🎯 Model pick

Panamá to score

74%

Partial data

Curaçao concede 1.3 goals per match
Curaçao kept a clean sheet in only 1 of 4
Ramos is on fire: 2 goals in his last 4 matches

⚡ Summary

42%Panamá to win@2.38 47%Over 2.5 goals@2.15 49%Both teams to score@2.04 1-1Most likely score · 12%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

📝 Preview

Curaçao and Panamá meet in the Nations League Concacaf.

The PickMania model gives Curaçao a 30% chance of winning, 28% for the draw and 42% for Panamá.

2.6 total goals are expected (1.2 from Curaçao and 1.4 from Panamá): over 2.5 goals has a 47% chance and both teams to score 49%.

The most likely score is 1-1.

Probabilities

30%Curaçao to win@3.33

28%Draw@3.57

42%Panamá to win@2.38

Over 1.5 goals71%

Over 2.5 goals47%

Over 3.5 goals26%

Both teams to score49%

Curaçao or draw58%

Panamá or draw70%

Curaçao to score67%

Panamá to score74%

Most likely scores

1-112%0-110%0-010%1-08%1-28%

Expected goals per the model: Curaçao 1.16 · Panamá 1.42

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.58.

Corners, cards and first half

⚽ Goals per team

32%Curaçao +1.5@3.10

42%Panamá +1.5@2.41

16%Curaçao to win to nil@6.26

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Goals in the last 10 matches

Curaçao · last 6 matches

4/6+2.5 goals4/6both teams to score4.3goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Panama · last 8 matches

3/8+2.5 goals7/8both teams to score3.3goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

CuraçaoPanama

3.0Goals scored per match0.0

1.3Goals conceded per match0.0

75%Matches with over 1.5 goals0%

50%Matches with over 2.5 goals0%

75%Both teams to score0%

25%Clean sheet0%

0%Matches without scoring0%

Curaçao: 4 matches · Panamá: 0 matches (all competitions with data).

Curaçao at home · Panamá away

Curaçao at home

2G0E0P

WWW

Panamá away

0G0E0P

DLWDD

When do they score and concede?

Curaçao · goals by minute in 4 matches scored conceded

The first goal

Curaçao

Scores first in 2 of 4 matches and wins 2 of them.

Concedes first in 2 and avoids defeat in 2.

Players in form

Curaçao

J. Bacuna · 3 goles, 3 assists in 5 matches

K. Gorre · 4 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

J. Paulina · 2 goles, 2 assists in 3 matches

Panama

J. Ramos · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches

Omar Valencia · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches

Tomás Rodríguez · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches

Head to head

0Curaçao to win

1Draws

2Panamá to win

3 matches · 2.0 goals per match

Recent meetings
2023-10-13	Curaçao 1-2 Panama	CONCACAF Nations League
2021-06-16	Curaçao 0-0 Panama	World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF
2021-06-12	Panama 2-1 Curaçao	World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF

More stats

Half-time

Curaçao: 39 days since last match · Panamá: 48 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-11 03:47 UTC.