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Cucuta vs Jaguares prediction
Colombia · Primera AProbability of each result according to the model
Saturday, November 14 · 15:30 (Peru time) · Estadio General Santander
Cucuta to score
84%- Cucuta scored in 28 of 37 matches this season
- Jaguares concede 1.8 goals per match
- Jaguares kept a clean sheet in only 6 of 37
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
📝 Preview
Cucuta and Jaguares meet in the Primera A.
The PickMania model gives Cucuta a 58% chance of winning, 24% for the draw and 19% for Jaguares.
2.9 total goals are expected (1.9 from Cucuta and 1.0 from Jaguares): over 2.5 goals has a 55% chance and both teams to score 52%.
The most likely score is 1-1.
Probabilities
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Cucuta 1.90 · Jaguares 1.00
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.90.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 9.5 in total · Cucuta 5.0 · Jaguares 4.5
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 6.1
⏱️ First half
45% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.32
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Cucuta: 37 matches · Jaguares: 37 matches (all competitions with data).
Cucuta at home · Jaguares away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 12 of 33 matches and wins 9 of them.
Concedes first in 21 and avoids defeat in 7.
Scores first in 13 of 36 matches and wins 7 of them.
Concedes first in 23 and avoids defeat in 5.
Players in form
L. Berdugo · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches
D. Perez · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
A. Renteria · 2 goals, 0 assists in 3 matches
Jopito · 0 goals, 1 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
8 matches · 2.8 goals per match
| Fecha | Local | Visitante | Competition | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-05-2026 | Jaguares  | 2-0 |  Cucuta | Primera A |
| 15-11-2025 | Jaguares | 1-2 | Cucuta | Primera B |
| 11-11-2025 | Cucuta | 2-2 | Jaguares | Primera B |
| 21-09-2025 | Cucuta | 1-2 | Jaguares | Primera B |
| 01-05-2025 | Jaguares | 1-2 | Cucuta | Primera B |
| 10-03-2020 | Jaguares | 0-3 | Cucuta | Primera A |
Standings · Apertura
Jaguares es 16.º con 18 pts y Cucuta 19.º con 16: 2 puntos de diferencia.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atlético Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | +20 | 40 | WWWDW |
| 2 |  Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | +7 | 35 | DWDLW |
| 3 |  Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | +4 | 34 | LWLWL |
| 4 |  América de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | +10 | 33 | DWWDD |
| 5 |  Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | +9 | 33 | WDDWW |
| 6 |  Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | +10 | 31 | LLLWW |
| 7 |  Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | +7 | 29 | WWLLW |
| 8 |  Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 | DWLWL |
| 9 |  Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | +4 | 27 | DWDWD |
| 10 |  Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | +8 | 26 | DWDDL |
| 11 |  Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | +2 | 26 | LLLWW |
| 12 |  Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 | WLWWL |
| 13 |  Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | +6 | 23 | LLWDW |
| 14 |  Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 | WLLWW |
| 15 |  Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 | LDLLL |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 | LWLLL |
| 17 |  Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 | WWLLL |
| 18 |  Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 | LWDLW |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 | WLLWL |
| 20 |  Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 | WDWLL |
Resaltados: los dos equipos de este partido · G/E/P = ganados, empatados, perdidos · Form: últimos 5 partidos, del más antiguo al más reciente.
More stats
Cucuta: 4 days since last match · Jaguares: 5 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-12 00:47 UTC.