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Cucuta vs Jaguares prediction
Colombia · Primera A
Cucuta
JaguaresProbabilidad de cada resultado según el modelo
Thursday, November 12 · 16:00 (Peru time) · Estadio General Santander
Cucuta to score
84%- Cucuta scored in 28 of 37 matches this season
- Jaguares concede 1.8 goals per match
- Jaguares kept a clean sheet in only 6 of 37
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
📝 Preview
Cucuta and Jaguares meet in the Primera A.
The PickMania model gives Cucuta a 56% chance of winning, 28% for the draw and 17% for Jaguares.
2.8 total goals are expected (1.9 from Cucuta and 1.0 from Jaguares): over 2.5 goals has a 53% chance and both teams to score 52%.
The most likely score is 1-1.
Probabilities
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Cucuta 1.87 · Jaguares 0.97
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.84.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 9.5 in total · Cucuta 5.0 · Jaguares 4.5
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 6.1
⏱️ First half
45% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.29
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Cucuta: 37 matches · Jaguares: 37 matches (all competitions with data).
Cucuta at home · Jaguares away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 12 of 33 matches and wins 9 of them.
Concedes first in 21 and avoids defeat in 7.
Scores first in 13 of 36 matches and wins 7 of them.
Concedes first in 23 and avoids defeat in 5.
Players in form
L. Berdugo · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches
D. Perez · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
A. Renteria · 2 goles, 0 assists in 3 matches
Jopito · 0 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
8 matches · 2.8 goals per match
| 2026-05-02 | Jaguares 2-0 Cucuta | Primera A |
| 2025-11-15 | Jaguares 1-2 Cucuta | Primera B |
| 2025-11-11 | Cucuta 2-2 Jaguares | Primera B |
| 2025-09-21 | Cucuta 1-2 Jaguares | Primera B |
| 2025-05-01 | Jaguares 1-2 Cucuta | Primera B |
| 2020-03-10 | Jaguares 0-3 Cucuta | Primera A |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlético Nacional | 19 | +20 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | +7 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | +4 | 34 |
| 4 | América de Cali | 19 | +10 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | +9 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | +10 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | +7 | 29 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 0 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | +4 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | +8 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | +2 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | +6 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | -3 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | -5 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | -13 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | -14 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | -17 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | -13 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | -17 | 10 |
More stats
Cucuta: 2 days since last match · Jaguares: 3 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-11 09:47 UTC.