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Crystal Palace vs Liverpool prediction
England · Premier League
Crystal Palace
LiverpoolPre-match probabilities
Sunday, November 8 · 09:00 (Peru time) · Selhurst Park · Referee: Tony Harrington
Liverpool or draw
84%- Away, Liverpool are 4W 1D 1L this season
- #4 in the table, Crystal Palace #20
- Head to head: 3W 4D 3L for Liverpool
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Crystal Palace 1.11 · Liverpool 2.12
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.23.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 10.0 in total · Crystal Palace 3.7 · Liverpool 6.3
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 3.6 · el árbitro Tony Harrington saca 3.3 por partido
⏱️ First half
43% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.39
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Crystal Palace: 15 matches · Liverpool: 15 matches (all competitions with data).
Crystal Palace at home · Liverpool away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 4 of 14 matches and wins 3 of them.
Concedes first in 10 and avoids defeat in 4.
Scores first in 7 of 14 matches and wins 6 of them.
Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 5.
Players in form
Jean-Philippe Mateta · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches
Daichi Kamada · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
Eddie Nketiah · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
Cody Gakpo · 2 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches
Alexander Isak · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Alexis Mac Allister · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 2.3 goals per match
| 2026-04-25 | Liverpool 3-1 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| 2025-10-29 | Liverpool 0-3 Crystal Palace | League Cup |
| 2025-09-27 | Crystal Palace 2-1 Liverpool | Premier League |
| 2025-08-10 | Crystal Palace 2-2 Liverpool | Community Shield |
| 2025-05-25 | Liverpool 1-1 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| 2024-10-05 | Crystal Palace 0-1 Liverpool | Premier League |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 10 | +10 | 27 |
| 2 | Brighton | 10 | +19 | 22 |
| 3 | Manchester City | 10 | +8 | 21 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 10 | +4 | 18 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 10 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 | Everton | 10 | +2 | 16 |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 10 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 | Brentford | 10 | +5 | 14 |
| 9 | Leeds | 10 | +2 | 14 |
| 10 | Aston Villa | 10 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Tottenham | 10 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 10 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 | Hull City | 10 | 0 | 11 |
| 14 | Ipswich | 10 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 | Fulham | 10 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 | Nottingham Forest | 10 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 | Coventry | 10 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 | Manchester United | 10 | -5 | 8 |
| 19 | Sunderland | 10 | -9 | 8 |
| 20 | Crystal Palace | 10 | -14 | 7 |
More stats
8 matches · 3.2 yellows and 0.17 reds per match · 0.50 penalties
Crystal Palace: 2 days since last match · Liverpool: 3 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 16:30 UTC.