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Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim prediction
Pre-match probabilities
Thursday, November 5 · 12:45 (Peru time) · Selhurst Park · Referee: Horatiu Fesnic

Over 1.5 goals
82%- 2+ goals in 11 of 12 Crystal Palace matches
- Also in 11 of 11 1899 Hoffenheim matches
- Picky expects 3.3 goals (2.0 - 1.3)
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Crystal Palace 2.02 · 1899 Hoffenheim 1.27
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.29.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 10.8 in total · Crystal Palace 4.3 · 1899 Hoffenheim 6.5
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 4.3 · el árbitro Horatiu Fesnic saca 4.3 por partido
⏱️ First half
37% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.21
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Crystal Palace: 12 matches · 1899 Hoffenheim: 11 matches (all competitions with data).
Crystal Palace at home · 1899 Hoffenheim away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 2 of 11 matches and wins 1 of them.
Concedes first in 9 and avoids defeat in 3.
Scores first in 6 of 11 matches and wins 4 of them.
Concedes first in 5 and avoids defeat in 0.
Players in form
Yeremy Pino · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Jean-Philippe Mateta · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches
Daichi Kamada · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
Andrej Kramarić · 2 goles, 3 assists in 5 matches
Alexander Prass · 2 goles, 1 assists in 4 matches
Adam Hložek · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica | 4 | +10 | 12 |
| 2 | Bournemouth | 4 | +9 | 12 |
| 3 | Ferencvarosi TC | 4 | +8 | 12 |
| 4 | Unión St. Gilloise | 4 | +8 | 10 |
| 5 | Juventus | 4 | +7 | 10 |
| 6 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 4 | +3 | 10 |
| 7 | Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | +7 | 9 |
| 8 | Beşiktaş | 4 | +3 | 7 |
| 9 | Dinamo Zagreb | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 | Levski Sofia | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 | Sunderland | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 | NEC Nijmegen | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Lyon | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | AZ Alkmaar | 4 | +3 | 6 |
| 15 | Anderlecht | 4 | +3 | 6 |
| 16 | OFI | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 17 | Rennes | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 18 | Omonia Nicosia | 4 | -1 | 6 |
| 19 | Torreense | 4 | -2 | 6 |
| 20 | Real Sociedad | 4 | +5 | 5 |
| 21 | Crystal Palace | 4 | +3 | 5 |
| 22 | Sparta Praha | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 23 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 24 | Sturm Graz | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 25 | Celje | 4 | -4 | 4 |
| 26 | Red Bull Salzburg | 4 | -5 | 4 |
| 27 | Celta Vigo | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 28 | AC Milan | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| 29 | Jagiellonia | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| 30 | Plzen | 4 | -4 | 3 |
| 31 | Marseille | 4 | -4 | 3 |
| 32 | Celtic | 4 | -5 | 3 |
| 33 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 4 | -7 | 1 |
| 34 | Lillestrom | 4 | -8 | 1 |
| 35 | Lech Poznan | 4 | -10 | 1 |
| 36 | Ararat-Armenia | 4 | -10 | 0 |
More stats
17 matches · 3.7 yellows and 0.67 reds per match · 0.00 penalties
Crystal Palace: 5 days since last match · 1899 Hoffenheim: 5 days
C. Doucoure, Z. Gozo, E. Guessand, J. Lerma, C. Riad, T. Tomiyasu, J. Larsen, I. Sarr, Q. Timber
B. Conte, N. De Cat, L. Engelns, V. Gendrey, A. Hajdari, R. Hranac, P. Wimmer, V. Coufal
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-06 00:40 UTC.
Crystal Palace
1899 Hoffenheim