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Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim prediction

International · UEFA Europa League
Crystal Palace badgeCrystal Palace#21 · 5 ptsLLDLL
1 - 1Full time
1899 Hoffenheim badge1899 Hoffenheim#23 · 4 ptsLWWWL

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Alexander Prass 7'🟥 Adam Wharton 77'⚽ Daichi Kamada 90'

Thursday, November 5 · 12:45 (Peru time) · Selhurst Park · Referee: Horatiu Fesnic

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Over 1.5 goals

82%
Partial data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'+1⚽ Daichi KamadaCrystal Palace
87'🔁 Sub: Wouter Burger · Jykese Fields1899 Hoffenheim
77'🟥 Adam WhartonCrystal Palace
76'🔁 Sub: Alexander Prass · Bernardo Fernandes da Silva Junior1899 Hoffenheim
76'🔁 Sub: Fisnik Asllani · Cajetan Benjamin Lenz1899 Hoffenheim
75'🔁 Sub: Jean-Philippe Mateta · Dario OsorioCrystal Palace
75'🔁 Sub: Honest Ahanor · Dwight McNeilCrystal Palace
70'🔁 Sub: Tim Lemperle · Adam Daghim1899 Hoffenheim
68'🟨 Andrej Kramarić1899 Hoffenheim
65'🟨 Eddie NketiahCrystal Palace
62'🟨 Yeremy PinoCrystal Palace
60'🟨 Honest AhanorCrystal Palace
58'🟨 Adam WhartonCrystal Palace
55'🔁 Sub: Anan Khalaili · Oscar MinguezaCrystal Palace
55'🔁 Sub: Quinten Timber · Eddie NketiahCrystal Palace
32'🟨 Jaydee CanvotCrystal Palace
25'🟨 Wouter Burger1899 Hoffenheim
7'⚽ Alexander Prass assist Tim Lemperle1899 Hoffenheim
6'🟨 Ozan Kabak1899 Hoffenheim

Win probability minute by minute

Crystal PalaceDraw1899 Hoffenheim
At kick-off52%28%20%Full time0%0%100%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

52%Crystal Palace to win@1.94
28%Draw@3.54
20%1899 Hoffenheim to win@4.97
Over 1.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Over 3.5 goals42%
Both teams to score63%
Crystal Palace or draw80%
1899 Hoffenheim or draw48%
Crystal Palace to score86%
1899 Hoffenheim to score71%

Most likely scores

1-112%2-19%1-07%2-07%2-27%

Expected goals per the model: Crystal Palace 2.02 · 1899 Hoffenheim 1.27

How many goals will there be?

4%0 goals12%1 goals20%2 goals22%3 goals18%4 goals24%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.29.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 10.8 in total · Crystal Palace 4.3 · 1899 Hoffenheim 6.5

69%Over 8.5@1.45
59%Over 9.5@1.69
49%Over 10.5@2.03
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 4.3 · el árbitro Horatiu Fesnic saca 4.3 por partido

59%Over 3.5@1.69
43%Over 4.5@2.35
28%Over 5.5@3.54

⏱️ First half

37% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.21

70%Goal in the 1st half@1.42
34%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.92
87%Goal in the 2st half@1.14

⚽ Goals per team

60%Crystal Palace +1.5@1.67
36%1899 Hoffenheim +1.5@2.76
22%Crystal Palace to win to nil@4.46

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

5Shots on target5
4Saves4
2Offsides1
1Red cards0
13Shots15
5Yellow cards3
5Corners5
13Fouls15
54Possession %46
1.10Expected goals (xG)1.27

Goals in the last 10 matches

Crystal Palace · last 10 matches
5/10+2.5 goals5/10both teams to score2.9goals per match
2.5en Leeds: 0-0 0-0 vs Nottingham Forest: 3-1 3-1 ambosen Lyon: 2-3 2-3 ambosen Brighton: 0-5 0-5 en Beşiktaş: 2-2 2-2 ambosvs Newcastle: 0-2 0-2 en Fulham: 1-0 1-0 en Tottenham: 0-2 0-2 vs 1899 Hoffenheim: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Liverpool: 1-3 1-3 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

1899 Hoffenheim · last 10 matches
7/10+2.5 goals7/10both teams to score3.2goals per match
2.5en SC Paderborn 07: 1-3 1-3 ambosvs Hamburger SV: 2-3 2-3 ambosvs Beşiktaş: 2-3 2-3 ambosen Borussia Mönchengladbach: 2-1 2-1 ambosvs Lyon: 3-0 3-0 vs Bayer Leverkusen: 3-0 3-0 en Holstein Kiel: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Werder Bremen: 0-2 0-2 at Crystal Palace: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs FC Schalke 04: 2-1 2-1 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

Crystal Palace1899 Hoffenheim
1.4Goals scored per match1.7
2.2Goals conceded per match1.9
92%Matches with over 1.5 goals100%
67%Matches with over 2.5 goals82%
50%Both teams to score64%
17%Clean sheet18%
42%Matches without scoring18%
3.4Corners won per match6.8
1.4Yellow cards per match2.5

Crystal Palace: 12 matches · 1899 Hoffenheim: 11 matches (all competitions with data).

Crystal Palace at home · 1899 Hoffenheim away

Crystal Palace at home
2G0E3P
LWWLL
1899 Hoffenheim away
1G0E4P
LWLLL

When do they score and concede?

Crystal Palace · goals by minute in 12 matches scored conceded
260-151316-304531-456646-601261-753476-90
1899 Hoffenheim · goals by minute in 11 matches scored conceded
210-151216-303131-455546-603561-755776-90

The first goal

Crystal Palace

Scores first in 2 of 11 matches and wins 1 of them.

Concedes first in 9 and avoids defeat in 3.

1899 Hoffenheim

Scores first in 6 of 11 matches and wins 4 of them.

Concedes first in 5 and avoids defeat in 0.

Players in form

Crystal Palace

Yeremy Pino · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Jean-Philippe Mateta · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

Daichi Kamada · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

1899 Hoffenheim

Andrej Kramarić · 2 goles, 3 assists in 5 matches

Alexander Prass · 2 goles, 1 assists in 4 matches

Adam Hložek · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

Standings

UEFA Europa League standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Benfica4+1012
2Bournemouth4+912
3Ferencvarosi TC4+812
4Unión St. Gilloise4+810
5Juventus4+710
6Olympiakos Piraeus4+310
7Bayer Leverkusen4+79
8Beşiktaş4+37
9Dinamo Zagreb4+17
10Levski Sofia4+17
11Sunderland407
12NEC Nijmegen4-17
13Lyon4-17
14AZ Alkmaar4+36
15Anderlecht4+36
16OFI4+16
17Rennes4+16
18Omonia Nicosia4-16
19Torreense4-26
20Real Sociedad4+55
21Crystal Palace4+35
22Sparta Praha404
231899 Hoffenheim404
24Sturm Graz4-34
25Celje4-44
26Red Bull Salzburg4-54
27Celta Vigo4-23
28AC Milan4-33
29Jagiellonia4-33
30Plzen4-43
31Marseille4-43
32Celtic4-53
33Hapoel Beer Sheva4-71
34Lillestrom4-81
35Lech Poznan4-101
36Ararat-Armenia4-100

More stats

Referee: Horatiu Fesnic

17 matches · 3.7 yellows and 0.67 reds per match · 0.00 penalties

Half-time

Crystal Palace: 5 days since last match · 1899 Hoffenheim: 5 days

Crystal Palace absences

C. Doucoure, Z. Gozo, E. Guessand, J. Lerma, C. Riad, T. Tomiyasu, J. Larsen, I. Sarr, Q. Timber

1899 Hoffenheim absences

B. Conte, N. De Cat, L. Engelns, V. Gendrey, A. Hajdari, R. Hranac, P. Wimmer, V. Coufal

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-06 00:40 UTC.

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