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Cray Wanderers vs Stockport County prediction

England · FA Cup

Cray WanderersDDWWD

2 - 3Full time

Stockport CountyDDWLW

13%17%70%

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Sammie McLeod 21'🟥 Luca·Ashby-Hammond 31'⚽ Alex Hernandez 36'⚽ Kyle Wootton 81'⚽ Mikael Mandron 90'⚽ Lewis Fiorini 101' (p)

Sunday, November 8 · 09:15 (Peru time) · Flamingo Park

🎯 Model pick

Stockport County to win

70%

Partial data

Stockport County unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 (D D W L W)

⚡ Summary

70%Stockport County to win@1.43 67%Over 2.5 goals@1.48 53%Both teams to score@1.90 0-2Most likely score · 9%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

105'🔁 Sub: Mikael Mandron · Richard IlaraStockport County

103'🔁 Sub: John Ufuah · Shae HutchinsonCray Wanderers

102'🔁 Sub: Alex Hernandez · Alfie·PayneCray Wanderers

101'⚽ Lewis Fiorini (pen.)Stockport County

90'+1⚽ Mikael MandronStockport County

90'🔁 Sub: Josh Cogley · Jade Jay MingiStockport County

86'🔁 Sub: Rashid Yussuff · Saul kaderCray Wanderers

84'🔁 Sub: Bayli Spencer Adams · Tobi TinubuCray Wanderers

81'⚽ Kyle Wootton assist Josh CogleyStockport County

80'🔁 Sub: Frankie Raymond · Seidou SanogoCray Wanderers

79'🔁 Sub: Ola Ogunwamide · Lateef AdajaCray Wanderers

69'🟨 Alex HernandezCray Wanderers

61'🔁 Sub: Jason Adigun · Kyle WoottonStockport County

51'🟨 Ethan PyeStockport County

50'🟨 Eoghan O'ConnellStockport County

45'🔁 Sub: Benoný Breki Andrésson · Jack DiamondStockport County

45'🔁 Sub: Tom Wilson-Brown · Ethan PyeStockport County

36'⚽ Alex HernandezCray Wanderers

34'🔁 Sub: Che Gardner · oliver whatmuffStockport County

31'🟥 Luca·Ashby-HammondStockport County

21'⚽ Sammie McLeod assist Ola OgunwamideCray Wanderers

Win probability minute by minute

Cray WanderersDrawStockport County

At kick-off13%17%70%Full time100%0%0%

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

13%Cray Wanderers to win@7.92

17%Draw@5.75

70%Stockport County to win@1.43

Over 1.5 goals85%

Over 2.5 goals67%

Over 3.5 goals48%

Both teams to score53%

Cray Wanderers or draw30%

Stockport County or draw87%

Cray Wanderers to score64%

Stockport County to score91%

Most likely scores

0-29%1-28%0-18%1-17%0-37%

Expected goals per the model: Cray Wanderers 1.06 · Stockport County 2.65

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.71.

Corners, cards and first half

⏱️ First half

29% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.06

65%Goal in the 1st half@1.53

29%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@3.49

93%Goal in the 2st half@1.08

⚽ Goals per team

29%Cray Wanderers +1.5@3.49

74%Stockport County +1.5@1.35

5%Cray Wanderers to win to nil@20.66

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

3Shots on target6

3Saves0

6Offsides2

15Shots16

1Yellow cards2

4Corners7

0Red cards1

11Fouls18

45Possession %55

Goals in the last 10 matches

Cray Wanderers · last 8 matches

4/8+2.5 goals4/8both teams to score2.6goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Stockport County · last 3 matches

1/3+2.5 goals2/3both teams to score2.3goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

Cray WanderersStockport County

1.6Goals scored per match1.0

0.7Goals conceded per match1.0

71%Matches with over 1.5 goals100%

43%Matches with over 2.5 goals0%

43%Both teams to score100%

57%Clean sheet0%

14%Matches without scoring0%

7.5Corners won per match6.0

4.5Yellow cards per match0.0

Cray Wanderers: 7 matches · Stockport County: 1 matches (all competitions with data).

Cray Wanderers at home · Stockport County away

Cray Wanderers at home

2G2E0P

DWDW

Stockport County away

0G0E0P

When do they score and concede?

Cray Wanderers · goals by minute in 3 matches scored conceded

Stockport County · goals by minute in 1 matches scored conceded

The first goal

Cray Wanderers

Scores first in 2 of 2 matches and wins 1 of them.

Concedes first in 0 and avoids defeat in 0.

Stockport County

Scores first in 0 of 1 matches and wins 0 of them.

Concedes first in 1 and avoids defeat in 1.

Players in form

Cray Wanderers

O. Ogunwamide · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches

A. Yusuff · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches

L. Adaja · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches

Stockport County

K. Wootton · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches

More stats

Half-time

Cray Wanderers: 18 days since last match · Stockport County: 92 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 17:10 UTC.