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Çorum FK vs Fenerbahçe prediction
Türkiye · Süper Lig
Çorum FK
FenerbahçePre-match probabilities
Sunday, November 8 · 08:00 (Peru time) · Çorum Şehir Stadyumu · Referee: Abdullah Bugra Taskinsoy
Over 1.5 goals
83%- 2+ goals in 9 of 10 Çorum FK matches
- Also in 17 of 20 Fenerbahçe matches
- Picky expects 3.2 goals (1.2 - 2.0)
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Çorum FK 1.16 · Fenerbahçe 2.05
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.21.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 10.0 in total · Çorum FK 4.4 · Fenerbahçe 5.6
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 3.8 · el árbitro A. B. Taskinsoy saca 3.3 por partido
⏱️ First half
49% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.57
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Çorum FK: 10 matches · Fenerbahçe: 20 matches (all competitions with data).
Çorum FK at home · Fenerbahçe away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 4 of 10 matches and wins 4 of them.
Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 2.
Scores first in 14 of 19 matches and wins 9 of them.
Concedes first in 5 and avoids defeat in 3.
Players in form
A. Kyziridis · 1 gol, 3 assists in 5 matches
J. Ramirez · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
C. Under · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
Mason Greenwood · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches
Vedat Muriqi · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Archie Brown · 1 gol, 1 assists in 4 matches
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 11 | +12 | 28 |
| 2 | Trabzonspor | 11 | +18 | 25 |
| 3 | Amed | 11 | +13 | 23 |
| 4 | Beşiktaş | 11 | +11 | 22 |
| 5 | Kasımpaşa | 11 | +6 | 20 |
| 6 | Fenerbahçe | 11 | +19 | 19 |
| 7 | Kocaelispor | 11 | +4 | 19 |
| 8 | Başakşehir | 11 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 | Çorum FK | 11 | 0 | 16 |
| 10 | Göztepe | 11 | +3 | 15 |
| 11 | Rizespor | 11 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 | Erzurumspor FK | 11 | -7 | 14 |
| 13 | Alanyaspor | 11 | -9 | 12 |
| 14 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 11 | -9 | 11 |
| 15 | Konyaspor | 11 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 | Gaziantep FK | 11 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 | Samsunspor | 11 | -15 | 7 |
| 18 | Eyüpspor | 11 | -27 | 3 |
More stats
6 matches · 3.3 yellows and 0.00 reds per match · 0.33 penalties
Çorum FK: 8 days since last match · Fenerbahçe: 3 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 15:30 UTC.