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Colombia vs Chile prediction

International · Amistosos internacionales

ColombiaWLDWW

19:00Fri Nov 13

ChileWLLWL

43%28%29%

Probabilidad de cada resultado según el modelo

Friday, 13 November · 19:00 (Peru time)

🎯 Model pick

Colombia to score

76%

Partial data

Colombia scored in 6 of 7 matches this season
Colombia average 1.4 goals per match
Chile concede 1.6 goals per match

⚡ Summary

43%Colombia to win@2.35 49%Over 2.5 goals@2.04 54%Both teams to score@1.86 35%Corners +9.5 (8.5)@2.8316%Cards +4.5 (2.7)@6.341-1Most likely score · 13%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

📝 Preview

Colombia y Chile se enfrentan por la Amistosos internacionales.

The PickMania model gives Colombia a 43% chance of winning, 28% for the draw and 29% for Chile.

2.6 total goals are expected (1.5 from Colombia and 1.2 from Chile): over 2.5 goals has a 49% chance and both teams to score 54%.

The most likely score is 1-1.

Probabilities

43%Colombia to win@2.35

28%Draw@3.57

29%Chile to win@3.41

Over 1.5 goals74%

Over 2.5 goals49%

Over 3.5 goals28%

Both teams to score54%

Colombia or draw71%

Chile or draw57%

Colombia to score76%

Chile to score69%

Most likely scores

1-113%1-010%0-09%2-19%0-18%

Expected goals per the model: Colombia 1.47 · Chile 1.18

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.65.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 8.5 in total · Colombia 5.3 · Chile 3.1

46%Over 8.5@2.19

35%Over 9.5@2.83

27%Over 10.5@3.76

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 2.7

29%Over 3.5@3.50

16%Over 4.5@6.34

8%Over 5.5@12.39

⏱️ First half

40% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.06

65%Goal in the 1st half@1.53

29%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@3.49

80%Goal in the 2st half@1.26

⚽ Goals per team

43%Colombia +1.5@2.31

33%Chile +1.5@3.03

23%Colombia to win to nil@4.44

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Goals in the last 10 matches

Colombia · last 9 matches

5/9+2.5 goals5/9both teams to score2.7goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Chile · last 7 matches

4/7+2.5 goals4/7both teams to score2.9goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

ColombiaChile

1.4Goals scored per match1.4

1.1Goals conceded per match1.6

86%Matches with over 1.5 goals80%

43%Matches with over 2.5 goals60%

57%Both teams to score60%

29%Clean sheet20%

14%Matches without scoring20%

4.9Corners won per match4.4

0.9Yellow cards per match1.4

Colombia: 7 matches · Chile: 5 matches (all competitions with data).

Colombia at home · Chile away

Colombia at home

3G0E3P

WLWWL

Chile away

2G0E3P

WLLWL

When do they score and concede?

Colombia · goals by minute in 7 matches scored conceded

Chile · goals by minute in 5 matches scored conceded

The first goal

Colombia

Scores first in 5 of 7 matches and wins 3 of them.

Concedes first in 2 and avoids defeat in 0.

Chile

Scores first in 2 of 5 matches and wins 2 of them.

Concedes first in 3 and avoids defeat in 0.

Players in form

Colombia

Luis Díaz · 1 gol, 1 assists in 2 matches

D. Arcila · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches

S. Velasquez · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches

Chile

Maximiliano Gutiérrez · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Darío Osorio · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

Gonzalo Tapia · 0 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches

Head to head

2Colombia to win

6Draws

1Chile to win

9 matches · 1.8 goals per match

Recent meetings
2024-10-15	Colombia 4-0 Chile	World Cup - Qualification South America
2023-09-13	Chile 0-0 Colombia	World Cup - Qualification South America
2021-09-09	Colombia 3-1 Chile	World Cup - Qualification South America
2020-10-14	Chile 2-2 Colombia	World Cup - Qualification South America
2019-10-12	Colombia 0-0 Chile	Friendlies
2019-06-28	Colombia 0-0 Chile	Copa America

More stats

Half-time

Colombia: 38 days since last match · Chile: 37 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-11 04:47 UTC.