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Club Querétaro vs Puebla prediction

Mexico · Liga MX
Club Querétaro badgeClub Querétaro#12 · 20 ptsLLLLW
0 - 2Full time
Puebla badgePuebla#13 · 19 ptsLLLDD

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Kevin Velasco 9'⚽ Omar Moreno 36'

Sunday, November 8 · 19:00 (Peru time) · Estadio La Corregidora · Referee: Katia García

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Club Querétaro to score

83%
Full data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'+5🟨 Santiago HomenchenkoClub Querétaro
86'🟨 Alonso RamirezPuebla
79'🔁 Sub: Iker Benito Sánchez · Álex AlcaláClub Querétaro
79'🔁 Sub: Alejandro Organista · Alonso RamirezPuebla
79'🔁 Sub: Mathías Adrián Tomás Borges · Carlos BaltazarPuebla
71'🟨 Eduardo PerezClub Querétaro
71'📺 Mateo CoronelClub Querétaro
69'🔁 Sub: Iker Moreno · José PachucaPuebla
68'🟨 Ali ÁvilaClub Querétaro
68'🔁 Sub: Daniel Parra · Paulo VictorClub Querétaro
65'🟨 Iker MorenoPuebla
60'🔁 Sub: Omar Moreno · Fernando MonarrezPuebla
60'🔁 Sub: L. Hernández · Eduardo MustrePuebla
57'🔁 Sub: Carlo Garcia · Jesús ArellanoClub Querétaro
57'🔁 Sub: Denilson Muñoz · Enzo GiménezClub Querétaro
45'🔁 Sub: Bayron Duarte · Carlos VillanuevaClub Querétaro
45'🟨 Oscar VillaPuebla
36'⚽ Omar Moreno assist Kevin VelascoPuebla
9'⚽ Kevin Velasco assist Omar MorenoPuebla

Win probability minute by minute

Club QuerétaroDrawPuebla
At kick-off52%29%19%Full time0%0%100%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

52%Club Querétaro to win@1.93
29%Draw@3.45
19%Puebla to win@5.17
Over 1.5 goals78%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Over 3.5 goals33%
Both teams to score56%
Club Querétaro or draw81%
Puebla or draw48%
Club Querétaro to score83%
Puebla to score65%

Most likely scores

1-113%1-09%2-19%2-09%0-08%

Expected goals per the model: Club Querétaro 1.79 · Puebla 1.06

How many goals will there be?

6%0 goals16%1 goals23%2 goals22%3 goals16%4 goals16%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.85.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 11.3 in total · Club Querétaro 5.8 · Puebla 5.5

73%Over 8.5@1.38
63%Over 9.5@1.58
54%Over 10.5@1.86
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 4.7 · el árbitro Katia García saca 5.4 por partido

65%Over 3.5@1.53
49%Over 4.5@2.04
34%Over 5.5@2.94

⏱️ First half

46% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.30

73%Goal in the 1st half@1.38
37%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.68
79%Goal in the 2st half@1.27

⚽ Goals per team

53%Club Querétaro +1.5@1.87
29%Puebla +1.5@3.49
27%Club Querétaro to win to nil@3.75

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

5Shots on target3
1Saves5
5Offsides0
21Shots9
3Yellow cards3
9Corners0
11Fouls12
0Red cards0
57Possession %43
1.12Expected goals (xG)1.34

Goals in the last 10 matches

Club Querétaro · last 10 matches
5/10+2.5 goals5/10both teams to score2.9goals per match
2.5en Atlas: 3-1 3-1 ambosen Club Tijuana: 1-0 1-0 vs León: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Guadalajara Chivas: 2-0 2-0 vs Atlante FC: 2-0 2-0 en Santos Laguna: 0-5 0-5 en Atlético San Luis: 1-2 1-2 ambosvs Cruz Azul: 1-3 1-3 ambosen FC Juárez: 1-3 1-3 ambosvs Puebla: 0-2 0-2

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Puebla · last 10 matches
3/10+2.5 goals5/10both teams to score2.4goals per match
2.5en Necaxa: 1-0 1-0 vs Toluca: 0-1 0-1 vs Atlante FC: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Tigres UANL: 0-1 0-1 vs León: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Club Tijuana: 0-0 0-0 vs Monterrey: 1-4 1-4 ambosen Atlas: 3-4 3-4 ambosvs U.N.A.M. - Pumas: 1-2 1-2 ambosat Club Querétaro: 2-0 2-0

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

Club QuerétaroPuebla
1.3Goals scored per match1.1
1.5Goals conceded per match1.5
79%Matches with over 1.5 goals67%
57%Matches with over 2.5 goals40%
57%Both teams to score60%
29%Clean sheet20%
21%Matches without scoring27%
4.9Corners won per match4.4
2.9Yellow cards per match1.0

Club Querétaro: 14 matches · Puebla: 15 matches (all competitions with data).

Club Querétaro at home · Puebla away

Club Querétaro at home
2G1E3P
LWDLW
Puebla away
3G1E4P
LDLWL

When do they score and concede?

Club Querétaro · goals by minute in 14 matches scored conceded
210-153316-302631-453246-603461-755576-90
Puebla · goals by minute in 15 matches scored conceded
230-155216-301631-453246-602661-754476-90

The first goal

Club Querétaro

Scores first in 5 of 13 matches and wins 5 of them.

Concedes first in 8 and avoids defeat in 2.

Puebla

Scores first in 5 of 14 matches and wins 3 of them.

Concedes first in 9 and avoids defeat in 3.

Players in form

Club Querétaro

Ali Ávila · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Mateo Coronel · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

Iker Benito Sánchez · 0 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches

Puebla

Omar Moreno · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

L. Hernández · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

F. Almada · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

Head to head

4Club Querétaro to win
2Draws
4Puebla to win

10 matches · 2.3 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-04-25Puebla 1-2 Club QuerétaroLiga MX
2025-10-04Club Querétaro 3-1 PueblaLiga MX
2025-03-02Club Querétaro 2-0 PueblaLiga MX
2024-09-14Puebla 2-1 Club QuerétaroLiga MX
2024-02-24Puebla 0-2 Club QuerétaroLiga MX
2023-09-17Club Querétaro 1-1 PueblaLiga MX

Standings

Liga MX standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Cruz Azul16+1132
2Club América16+1530
3Guadalajara Chivas16+1130
4Toluca16+1427
5Atlas16-327
6Santos Laguna16+325
7Club León16+223
8CF Pachuca16+922
9Club Tijuana16+322
10Monterrey15+121
11U.N.A.M. - Pumas16-221
12Club Querétaro15-520
13Puebla16-419
14Atlético San Luis16-519
15Tigres UANL16-815
16Atlante FC16-1014
17Necaxa16-1113
18FC Juárez16-2111

More stats

Referee: Katia García

15 matches · 5.4 yellows and 0.00 reds per match · 0.38 penalties

Half-time

Club Querétaro: 8 days since last match · Puebla: 8 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-09 02:30 UTC.

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