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Cliftonville FC vs Larne prediction

Northern Ireland · Premiership
Cliftonville FC badgeCliftonville FC#5 · 21 ptsWWLLL
4 - 2Full time
Larne badgeLarne#3 · 26 ptsWDWLL

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ R. Hale 6'⚽ R. Hale 8'⚽ S. Leppard 61'⚽ D. Bent 72'⚽ M. Lusty 80'⚽ 90'

Friday, November 6 · 14:45 (Peru time) · Solitude

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Larne or draw

83%
Full data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'+4⚽ Cliftonville FC
90'+2🟨 Cliftonville FC
90'+2🟨 Larne
83'🔁 Sub: M. Lusty · C. McKendryLarne
81'🔁 Sub: B. Healy · J. GormleyCliftonville FC
81'🔁 Sub: L. McStravick · K. McClellandCliftonville FC
80'⚽ M. LustyLarne
72'⚽ D. BentLarne
69'🔁 Sub: R. Hale · J. ThompsonCliftonville FC
65'🔁 Sub: D. Sloan · M. RandallLarne
65'🔁 Sub: C. Gallagher · J. SimpsonLarne
61'⚽ S. LeppardCliftonville FC
46'🔁 Sub: R. Doherty · L. MillarLarne
46'🔁 Sub: P. O'Neill · K. O'HaraLarne
37'🔁 Sub: B. Quinn · R. CampbellCliftonville FC
8'⚽ R. HaleCliftonville FC
6'⚽ R. HaleCliftonville FC

Win probability minute by minute

Cliftonville FCDrawLarne
At kick-off17%30%54%Full time100%0%0%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

17%Cliftonville FC to win@5.92
30%Draw@3.39
54%Larne to win@1.87
Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Both teams to score54%
Cliftonville FC or draw46%
Larne or draw83%
Cliftonville FC to score62%
Larne to score83%

Most likely scores

1-114%0-110%0-210%0-09%1-29%

Expected goals per the model: Cliftonville FC 0.96 · Larne 1.78

How many goals will there be?

6%0 goals18%1 goals24%2 goals22%3 goals15%4 goals14%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.74.

Corners, cards and first half

⏱️ First half

44% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.22

70%Goal in the 1st half@1.42
34%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.91
78%Goal in the 2st half@1.28

⚽ Goals per team

25%Cliftonville FC +1.5@4.01
53%Larne +1.5@1.88
8%Cliftonville FC to win to nil@12.06

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Goals in the last 10 matches

Cliftonville FC · last 10 matches
6/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score3.3goals per match
2.5en Carrick Rangers: 3-1 3-1 ambosat Larne: 0-2 0-2 vs Glentoran: 1-2 1-2 ambosen Limavady United: 0-1 0-1 vs Ballymena United: 0-1 0-1 en Coleraine FC: 0-1 0-1 vs Portadown: 1-2 1-2 ambosen Dungannon Swifts: 3-1 3-1 ambosvs Carrick Rangers: 7-1 7-1 ambosvs Larne: 4-2 4-2 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Larne · last 10 matches
6/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score3.4goals per match
2.5en Portadown: 2-0 2-0 vs Cliftonville FC: 2-0 2-0 en Carrick Rangers: 5-2 5-2 ambosen Crusaders FC: 3-0 3-0 vs Coleraine FC: 2-3 2-3 ambosvs Linfield: 1-2 1-2 ambosen Bangor: 2-1 2-1 ambosvs Limavady United: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Portadown: 1-0 1-0 at Cliftonville FC: 2-4 2-4 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

Cliftonville FCLarne
1.6Goals scored per match1.4
1.2Goals conceded per match1.3
71%Matches with over 1.5 goals75%
57%Matches with over 2.5 goals55%
50%Both teams to score40%
7%Clean sheet45%
43%Matches without scoring25%

Cliftonville FC: 14 matches · Larne: 20 matches (all competitions with data).

Cliftonville FC at home · Larne away

Cliftonville FC at home
3G0E4P
WLLLW
Larne away
6G1E2P
WWWWW

When do they score and concede?

Cliftonville FC · goals by minute in 14 matches scored conceded
350-155216-306131-453346-603361-753376-90
Larne · goals by minute in 20 matches scored conceded
320-154216-304331-454546-604461-759976-90

The first goal

Cliftonville FC

Scores first in 5 of 14 matches and wins 5 of them.

Concedes first in 9 and avoids defeat in 1.

Larne

Scores first in 11 of 18 matches and wins 9 of them.

Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 3.

Players in form

Cliftonville FC

B. Healy · 5 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

R. Campbell · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches

R. Hale · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Larne

J. Simpson · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

K. O'Hara · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

A. Donnelly · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

Head to head

1Cliftonville FC to win
3Draws
6Larne to win

10 matches · 2.0 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-09-15Larne 2-0 Cliftonville FCPremiership
2026-03-28Larne 2-0 Cliftonville FCPremiership
2025-12-30Larne 0-0 Cliftonville FCPremiership
2025-10-18Cliftonville FC 0-2 LarnePremiership
2025-08-19Cliftonville FC 1-1 LarnePremiership
2025-01-14Larne 0-1 Cliftonville FCLeague Cup

Standings

Premiership standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Linfield15+1336
2Coleraine FC15+1635
3Larne13+1026
4Glentoran14+622
5Cliftonville FC15+821
6Carrick Rangers15-419
7Dungannon Swifts14-418
8Crusaders FC15-1018
9Ballymena United13+116
10Limavady United15-1014
11Bangor15-1312
12Portadown15-139

More stats

Half-time

Cliftonville FC: 6 days since last match · Larne: 7 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-06 22:20 UTC.

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