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Cienciano vs Sport Huancayo prediction
Peru · Liga 1
Cienciano
Sport HuancayoPre-match probabilities
Saturday, November 7 · 20:30 (Peru time) · Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega · Referee: Joel Alarcon
Cienciano to score
83%- Cienciano scored in 33 of 45 matches this season
- Cienciano average 1.6 goals per match
- Sport Huancayo concede 1.5 goals per match
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Cienciano 1.80 · Sport Huancayo 1.28
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.08.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 9.7 in total · Cienciano 5.0 · Sport Huancayo 4.7
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 4.3 · el árbitro Joel Alarcon saca 3.6 por partido
⏱️ First half
46% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.42
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Cienciano: 45 matches · Sport Huancayo: 32 matches (all competitions with data).
Cienciano at home · Sport Huancayo away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 15 of 34 matches and wins 10 of them.
Concedes first in 19 and avoids defeat in 7.
Scores first in 14 of 23 matches and wins 9 of them.
Concedes first in 9 and avoids defeat in 3.
Players in form
Carlos Garcés · 4 goles, 2 assists in 4 matches
Cristian Souza · 1 gol, 2 assists in 5 matches
Matias Succar · 1 gol, 1 assists in 4 matches
Javier Sanguinetti · 2 goles, 3 assists in 5 matches
Nahuel Lujan · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Daniel porozo · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 3.3 goals per match
| 2026-05-24 | Sport Huancayo 2-2 Cienciano | Primera División |
| 2025-09-21 | Sport Huancayo 5-2 Cienciano | Primera División |
| 2025-04-29 | Cienciano 2-1 Sport Huancayo | Primera División |
| 2024-09-18 | Cienciano 3-1 Sport Huancayo | Primera División |
| 2024-04-12 | Sport Huancayo 1-2 Cienciano | Primera División |
| 2023-07-22 | Cienciano 1-0 Sport Huancayo | Primera División |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 33 | +30 | 69 |
| 2 | Universitario | 33 | +20 | 61 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 33 | +18 | 57 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 33 | +15 | 55 |
| 5 | Sporting Cristal | 33 | +15 | 51 |
| 6 | Cusco | 33 | -1 | 51 |
| 7 | Cienciano | 33 | +8 | 50 |
| 8 | Sport Huancayo | 33 | -1 | 50 |
| 9 | Alianza Atlético | 33 | +1 | 49 |
| 10 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 33 | -12 | 48 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 33 | +2 | 46 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 33 | -11 | 41 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 33 | -3 | 37 |
| 14 | Atlético Grau | 33 | -9 | 37 |
| 15 | ADT | 33 | -12 | 32 |
| 16 | FC Cajamarca | 33 | -19 | 31 |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 33 | -21 | 30 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 33 | -20 | 19 |
More stats
29 matches · 3.2 yellows and 0.40 reds per match · 0.30 penalties
Cienciano: 4 days since last match · Sport Huancayo: 5 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 04:00 UTC.