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Chile U20 vs Mexico U20 prediction

International · International friendlies

Chile U20LDWDW

14:00Fri Nov 13

Mexico U20LLLWW

54%26%19%

Probabilidad de cada resultado según el modelo

Friday, November 13 · 14:00 (Peru time)

🎯 Model pick

Chile U20 to score

81%

Partial data

Chile U20 scored in 2 of 3 matches this season
Mexico U20 concede 1.8 goals per match
Mexico U20 in poor form: 3 defeats in their last 5

⚡ Summary

54%Chile U20 to win@1.85 48%Over 2.5 goals@2.06 50%Both teams to score@2.00 1-1Most likely score · 12%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

📝 Preview

Chile U20 and Mexico U20 meet in the International friendlies.

The PickMania model gives Chile U20 a 54% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 19% for Mexico U20.

2.7 total goals are expected (1.7 from Chile U20 and 0.9 from Mexico U20): over 2.5 goals has a 48% chance and both teams to score 50%.

The most likely score is 1-1.

Probabilities

54%Chile U20 to win@1.85

26%Draw@3.79

19%Mexico U20 to win@5.13

Over 1.5 goals73%

Over 2.5 goals48%

Over 3.5 goals28%

Both teams to score50%

Chile U20 or draw81%

Mexico U20 or draw46%

Chile U20 to score81%

Mexico U20 to score60%

Most likely scores

1-112%1-012%2-010%0-09%2-19%

Expected goals per the model: Chile U20 1.72 · Mexico U20 0.95

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.67.

Corners, cards and first half

⏱️ First half

46% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.22

71%Goal in the 1st half@1.42

35%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.89

76%Goal in the 2st half@1.31

⚽ Goals per team

51%Chile sub-20 +1.5@1.95

25%México sub-20 +1.5@4.07

31%Chile U20 to win to nil@3.27

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Goals in the last 10 matches

Chile U20 · last 3 matches

1/3+2.5 goals2/3both teams to score2.0goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Mexico U20 · last 5 matches

2/5+2.5 goals1/5both teams to score2.4goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

Chile U20Mexico U20

1.0Goals scored per match0.6

1.0Goals conceded per match1.8

67%Matches with over 1.5 goals60%

33%Matches with over 2.5 goals40%

67%Both teams to score20%

0%Clean sheet40%

33%Matches without scoring40%

Chile U20: 3 matches · Mexico U20: 5 matches (all competitions with data).

Chile U20 at home · Mexico U20 away

Chile U20 at home

1G1E1P

LDW

Mexico U20 away

0G0E2P

When do they score and concede?

Chile U20 · goals by minute in 2 matches scored conceded

Mexico U20 · goals by minute in 5 matches scored conceded

The first goal

Chile U20

Scores first in 1 of 2 matches and wins 1 of them.

Concedes first in 1 and avoids defeat in 0.

Mexico U20

Scores first in 2 of 5 matches and wins 2 of them.

Concedes first in 3 and avoids defeat in 0.

Players in form

Chile U20

V. Martinez · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches

Y. Cuevas · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches

Mexico U20

J. Sigala · 2 goles, 0 assists in 2 matches

H. Camberos · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches

Head to head

0Chile U20 to win

0Draws

1Mexico U20 to win

1 matches · 5.0 goals per match

Recent meetings
2025-10-07	Chile U20 1-4 Mexico U20	World Cup - U20

More stats

Half-time

Chile U20: 159 days since last match · Mexico U20: 40 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-11 06:47 UTC.