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Central Córdoba de Santiago vs Lanus prediction

Argentina · Liga Profesional
1 - 1Full time
Lanus badgeLanus#6 · 24 ptsDDWWD

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Tomás Guidara 31' (p.p.)

Sunday, November 8 · 17:30 (Peru time) · Estadio Alfredo Terrera · Referee: Álvaro Carranza

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Lanus or draw

83%
Full data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'+4🔁 Sub: Enzo Tiziano Ramirez Suarez · Iván Ignacio Ávila VegaCentral Córdoba de Santiago
90'+4🔁 Sub: Michael Santos · Martín Francisco CuitiñoCentral Córdoba de Santiago
90'+3🟨 Enzo Tiziano Ramirez SuarezCentral Córdoba de Santiago
86'🟨 Diego BarreraCentral Córdoba de Santiago
84'🔁 Sub: Marco Iacobellis · Lucas BernabeuCentral Córdoba de Santiago
84'🔁 Sub: Leonardo Sequeira · Kevin Jacobo Adrián IbañezCentral Córdoba de Santiago
83'🔁 Sub: Tomás Guidara · Nicolás MorgantiniLanus
83'🔁 Sub: Eduardo Salvio · Yoshan ValoisLanus
76'📺 Leonardo SequeiraCentral Córdoba de Santiago
71'🔁 Sub: Diego Barrera · Yuri CasermeiroCentral Córdoba de Santiago
65'🔁 Sub: Marcelino Moreno · Gonzalo Thomás LobosLanus
65'🔁 Sub: Raul Loaiza · Ramiro CarreraLanus
65'🔁 Sub: Lucas Agustín Besozzi · benjamin acostaLanus
58'🟨 Nicolás Tomás Garrido AparicioCentral Córdoba de Santiago
35'🟨 Felipe Peña BiaforeLanus
31'⚽ Tomás Guidara (own goal)Central Córdoba de Santiago

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

17%Central Córdoba de Santiago to win@5.88
31%Draw@3.24
52%Lanus to win@1.92
Over 1.5 goals68%
Over 2.5 goals40%
Over 3.5 goals21%
Both teams to score46%
Central Córdoba de Santiago or draw48%
Lanus or draw83%
Central Córdoba de Santiago to score54%
Lanus to score78%

Most likely scores

1-114%0-114%0-012%0-211%1-29%

Expected goals per the model: Central Córdoba de Santiago 0.79 · Lanus 1.52

How many goals will there be?

10%0 goals23%1 goals26%2 goals20%3 goals12%4 goals8%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.31.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 9.1 in total · Central Córdoba de Santiago 4.3 · Lanus 4.8

53%Over 8.5@1.90
42%Over 9.5@2.37
33%Over 10.5@3.06
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 3.9 · el árbitro Álvaro Carranza saca 3.0 por partido

52%Over 3.5@1.92
35%Over 4.5@2.83
22%Over 5.5@4.51

⏱️ First half

37% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 0.86

58%Goal in the 1st half@1.73
21%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@4.70
77%Goal in the 2st half@1.31

⚽ Goals per team

19%Central Córdoba de Santiago +1.5@5.33
45%Lanus +1.5@2.23
10%Central Córdoba de Santiago to win to nil@9.98

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

2Shots on target4
3Saves2
9Shots23
3Yellow cards1
3Corners8
9Fouls8
0Red cards0
39Possession %61
0.47Expected goals (xG)1.87

Goals in the last 10 matches

Central Córdoba de Santiago · last 10 matches
5/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score2.7goals per match
2.5en Talleres Córdoba: 0-0 0-0 vs Independiente: 0-1 0-1 en Boca Juniors: 1-3 1-3 ambosvs Defensa Y Justicia: 2-2 2-2 ambosen Deportivo Riestra: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Estudiantes L.P.: 2-2 2-2 ambosen Newells Old Boys: 1-2 1-2 ambosvs Vélez Sarsfield: 0-5 0-5 en Platense: 0-2 0-2 vs Lanus: 1-1 1-1 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Lanus · last 10 matches
2/10+2.5 goals4/10both teams to score1.7goals per match
2.5en Boca Juniors: 0-1 0-1 vs Defensa Y Justicia: 1-0 1-0 en Deportivo Riestra: 3-0 3-0 vs Estudiantes L.P.: 2-1 2-1 ambosen Newells Old Boys: 0-0 0-0 vs Vélez Sarsfield: 2-0 2-0 en Platense: 1-0 1-0 en Banfield: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Gimnasia M.: 1-1 1-1 ambosat Central Córdoba de Santiago: 1-1 1-1 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

Central Córdoba de SantiagoLanus
0.8Goals scored per match1.1
1.5Goals conceded per match1.0
59%Matches with over 1.5 goals60%
38%Matches with over 2.5 goals36%
38%Both teams to score33%
25%Clean sheet43%
50%Matches without scoring33%
4.2Corners won per match4.9
2.4Yellow cards per match2.3

Central Córdoba de Santiago: 32 matches · Lanus: 42 matches (all competitions with data).

Central Córdoba de Santiago at home · Lanus away

Central Córdoba de Santiago at home
5G4E7P
LDDLL
Lanus away
6G4E11P
DWDWL

When do they score and concede?

Central Córdoba de Santiago · goals by minute in 27 matches scored conceded
080-151516-306731-455746-604761-7551076-90
Lanus · goals by minute in 36 matches scored conceded
220-153416-305631-455646-6011561-7581076-90

The first goal

Central Córdoba de Santiago

Scores first in 3 of 24 matches and wins 3 of them.

Concedes first in 21 and avoids defeat in 6.

Lanus

Scores first in 17 of 32 matches and wins 15 of them.

Concedes first in 15 and avoids defeat in 2.

Players in form

Central Córdoba de Santiago

L. Sequeira · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

M. Santos · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

H. Tijanovich · 0 goles, 1 assists in 3 matches

Lanus

S. Marcich · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

Carlos Izquierdoz · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

Gonzalo Thomás Lobos · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

Head to head

2Central Córdoba de Santiago to win
6Draws
2Lanus to win

10 matches · 2.0 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-04-24Lanus 0-0 Central Córdoba de SantiagoLiga Profesional Argentina
2025-08-22Lanus 1-0 Central Córdoba de SantiagoCONMEBOL Sudamericana
2025-08-15Central Córdoba de Santiago 1-0 LanusCONMEBOL Sudamericana
2024-08-17Lanus 1-1 Central Córdoba de SantiagoLiga Profesional Argentina
2024-03-07Lanus 0-1 Central Córdoba de SantiagoCopa de la Liga Profesional
2023-10-16Central Córdoba de Santiago 0-0 LanusCopa de la Liga Profesional

Standings

Liga Profesional standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.16+1231
2Boca Juniors16+1330
3Vélez Sarsfield16+628
4Talleres Córdoba16+426
5Independiente16+424
6Lanus16+324
7San Lorenzo16022
8Unión Santa Fe16+421
9Instituto Córdoba16021
10Defensa Y Justicia16-319
11Gimnasia M.16-819
12Platense16-516
13Central Córdoba de Santiago16-1016
14Newells Old Boys16-1215
15Deportivo Riestra16-711

More stats

Referee: Álvaro Carranza

12 matches · 3.0 yellows and 0.00 reds per match · 0.00 penalties

Half-time

Central Córdoba de Santiago: 6 days since last match · Lanus: 6 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-09 01:00 UTC.

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