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Celta Vigo vs Unión St. Gilloise prediction
International · UEFA Europa League
Celta Vigo
Unión St. GilloisePre-match probabilities
Thursday, November 5 · 15:00 (Peru time) · Municipal de Balaídos · Referee: Aliyar Agayev
Celta Vigo to score
73%- Galiano is on fire: 3 goals in his last 5 matches
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Celta Vigo 1.35 · Unión St. Gilloise 1.15
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.50.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 8.3 in total · Celta Vigo 3.5 · Unión St. Gilloise 4.8
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 3.9
⏱️ First half
35% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 0.89
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Celta Vigo: 14 matches · Unión St. Gilloise: 15 matches (all competitions with data).
Celta Vigo at home · Unión St. Gilloise away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 5 of 10 matches and wins 2 of them.
Concedes first in 5 and avoids defeat in 2.
Scores first in 8 of 14 matches and wins 8 of them.
Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 5.
Players in form
Javier Rodríguez Galiano · 3 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
Hugo Alvarez Antunez · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches
F. Jutgla · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
Guilherme Smith · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
L. Patris · 1 gol, 2 assists in 5 matches
Relebohile Mofokeng · 1 gol, 2 assists in 5 matches
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica | 4 | +10 | 12 |
| 2 | Bournemouth | 4 | +9 | 12 |
| 3 | Ferencvarosi TC | 4 | +8 | 12 |
| 4 | Unión St. Gilloise | 4 | +8 | 10 |
| 5 | Juventus | 4 | +7 | 10 |
| 6 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 4 | +3 | 10 |
| 7 | Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | +7 | 9 |
| 8 | Beşiktaş | 4 | +3 | 7 |
| 9 | Dinamo Zagreb | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 | Levski Sofia | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 | Sunderland | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 | NEC Nijmegen | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Lyon | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | AZ Alkmaar | 4 | +3 | 6 |
| 15 | Anderlecht | 4 | +3 | 6 |
| 16 | OFI | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 17 | Rennes | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 18 | Omonia Nicosia | 4 | -1 | 6 |
| 19 | Torreense | 4 | -2 | 6 |
| 20 | Real Sociedad | 4 | +5 | 5 |
| 21 | Crystal Palace | 4 | +3 | 5 |
| 22 | Sparta Praha | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 23 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 24 | Sturm Graz | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 25 | Celje | 4 | -4 | 4 |
| 26 | Red Bull Salzburg | 4 | -5 | 4 |
| 27 | Celta Vigo | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 28 | AC Milan | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| 29 | Jagiellonia | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| 30 | Plzen | 4 | -4 | 3 |
| 31 | Marseille | 4 | -4 | 3 |
| 32 | Celtic | 4 | -5 | 3 |
| 33 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 4 | -7 | 1 |
| 34 | Lillestrom | 4 | -8 | 1 |
| 35 | Lech Poznan | 4 | -10 | 1 |
| 36 | Ararat-Armenia | 4 | -10 | 0 |
More stats
1 matches · 1.0 yellows and 0.00 reds per match · 0.00 penalties
Celta Vigo: 5 days since last match · Unión St. Gilloise: 5 days
H. F. Cuenca Martinez, J. El Abdellaoui, B. Iglesias, A. Nunez, M. Roman, C. Starfelt, H. Gonzalez
A. Ait El Hadj, M. Biondic, I. Hurtevent, O. Kricfalusi, K. Mac Allister, I. Pavlic, R. Schoofs
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-06 00:20 UTC.