PickManiaAI predictions

Home › Spain · La Liga › Celta Vigo vs Levante

Celta Vigo vs Levante prediction

Spain · La Liga
Celta Vigo badgeCelta Vigo#11 · 13 ptsLLDWW
0 - 0Full time
Levante badgeLevante#17 · 11 ptsLLWDD

Pre-match probabilities

Sunday, November 8 · 12:30 (Peru time) · Municipal de Balaídos · Referee: Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Celta Vigo or draw

82%
Full data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

88'🟨 Javi GalánCelta Vigo
77'🔁 Sub: Nacho Pérez Gómez · Marc Santos GavilánLevante
76'🔁 Sub: Couhaib Driouech · Williot SwedbergCelta Vigo
76'🔁 Sub: Iago Aspas · Hugo GonzálezCelta Vigo
64'🔁 Sub: Andrés Antañón Vieites · Hugo BurcioCelta Vigo
63'🟨 Adrián de la Fuente BarquillaLevante
56'🔁 Sub: Thiago Cruz Fernandez · Víctor GarcíaLevante
45'🔁 Sub: Javier Rodríguez Galiano · Hugo Alvarez AntunezCelta Vigo
45'🔁 Sub: Javier Rueda García · Javi GalánCelta Vigo
45'🔁 Sub: Ifeanyi Ndukwe · Adrián de la Fuente BarquillaLevante
45'🔁 Sub: Karl Etta Eyong · Iván RomeroLevante
45'🔁 Sub: Hugo Sotelo · Oriol ReyLevante
32'🟨 Daniel Requena SánchezLevante
27'📺 Pablo Durán FernándezCelta Vigo

Win probability minute by minute

Celta VigoDrawLevante
At kick-off52%30%18%Full time0%100%0%
0%25%50%75%100% 0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

52%Celta Vigo to win@1.92
30%Draw@3.37
18%Levante to win@5.52
Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals29%
Both teams to score54%
Celta Vigo or draw82%
Levante or draw48%
Celta Vigo to score81%
Levante to score62%

Most likely scores

1-114%1-011%0-09%2-09%2-19%

Expected goals per the model: Celta Vigo 1.72 · Levante 0.96

How many goals will there be?

7%0 goals18%1 goals25%2 goals22%3 goals15%4 goals13%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.68.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 8.4 in total · Celta Vigo 4.5 · Levante 3.9

45%Over 8.5@2.23
35%Over 9.5@2.88
26%Over 10.5@3.85
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 3.7 · el árbitro Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias saca 4.3 por partido

48%Over 3.5@2.07
32%Over 4.5@3.15
19%Over 5.5@5.16

⏱️ First half

41% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.11

67%Goal in the 1st half@1.49
30%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@3.29
79%Goal in the 2st half@1.26

⚽ Goals per team

51%Celta Vigo +1.5@1.95
25%Levante +1.5@4.01
29%Celta Vigo to win to nil@3.46

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

2.88Expected goals (xG)0.22
7Shots on target0
10Offsides0
22Shots5
1Yellow cards2
6Corners1
0Saves8
8Fouls9
0Red cards0
59Possession %41

Goals in the last 10 matches

Celta Vigo · last 10 matches
6/10+2.5 goals4/10both teams to score2.1goals per match
2.5en Omonia Nicosia: 0-1 0-1 vs Racing Santander: 5-0 5-0 en Elche: 0-0 0-0 vs Juventus: 1-2 1-2 ambosvs Alavés: 2-1 2-1 ambosen Celtic: 2-1 2-1 ambosvs Real Betis: 0-0 0-0 en Rayo Vallecano: 0-3 0-3 vs Unión St. Gilloise: 1-2 1-2 ambosvs Levante: 0-0 0-0

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Levante · last 10 matches
6/10+2.5 goals7/10both teams to score3.4goals per match
2.5vs Real Betis: 5-2 5-2 ambosen Málaga: 0-0 0-0 vs Barcelona: 2-4 2-4 ambosen Villarreal: 1-3 1-3 ambosvs Sevilla: 3-3 3-3 ambosen Deportivo La Coruna: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Athletic Club: 3-1 3-1 ambosen Real Sociedad: 1-2 1-2 ambosvs Atlético Madrid: 0-2 0-2 at Celta Vigo: 0-0 0-0

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

Celta VigoLevante
0.9Goals scored per match1.4
1.1Goals conceded per match1.9
67%Matches with over 1.5 goals82%
47%Matches with over 2.5 goals64%
47%Both teams to score64%
33%Clean sheet18%
47%Matches without scoring36%
4.1Corners won per match3.5
1.5Yellow cards per match1.4

Celta Vigo: 15 matches · Levante: 11 matches (all competitions with data).

Celta Vigo at home · Levante away

Celta Vigo at home
2G2E4P
LDWLW
Levante away
0G3E3P
LDLDD

When do they score and concede?

Celta Vigo · goals by minute in 15 matches scored conceded
200-151316-303231-452546-604261-752476-90
Levante · goals by minute in 11 matches scored conceded
040-154216-302531-452346-601361-757476-90

The first goal

Celta Vigo

Scores first in 6 of 11 matches and wins 2 of them.

Concedes first in 5 and avoids defeat in 2.

Levante

Scores first in 2 of 9 matches and wins 2 of them.

Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 2.

Players in form

Celta Vigo

Javier Rodríguez Galiano · 3 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

Pablo Durán Fernández · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

F. Jutgla · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

Levante

Roger Brugué · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

Daniel Requena Sánchez · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

Karl Etta Eyong · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches

Head to head

4Celta Vigo to win
2Draws
4Levante to win

10 matches · 3.3 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-05-12Celta Vigo 2-3 LevanteLa Liga
2025-11-02Levante 1-2 Celta VigoLa Liga
2022-02-21Celta Vigo 1-1 LevanteLa Liga
2021-09-21Levante 0-2 Celta VigoLa Liga
2021-04-30Celta Vigo 2-0 LevanteLa Liga
2020-10-26Levante 1-1 Celta VigoLa Liga

Standings

La Liga standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Barcelona12+3533
2Real Madrid12+2130
3Atlético Madrid12+1328
4Real Betis12+526
5Real Sociedad12+122
6Sevilla12-218
7Athletic Club11+416
8Villarreal12+215
9Deportivo La Coruna12+115
10Racing Santander12-1314
11Celta Vigo12013
12Alavés12-213
13Espanyol12-112
14Rayo Vallecano11-612
15Getafe12-1012
16Osasuna12-1112
17Levante12-511
18Elche12-610
19Valencia12-129
20Málaga12-145

More stats

Referee: Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias

17 matches · 3.8 yellows and 0.50 reds per match · 0.33 penalties

Half-time

Celta Vigo: 2 days since last match · Levante: 8 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 20:00 UTC.

Get the AI Top Picks in your inbox

Every morning, the day's picks with their data. Free, and you can unsubscribe any time.