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Catar vs Australia prediction

International · Amistosos internacionales

CatarDLLLD

09:45Fri Nov 13

AustraliaLDDLL

40%30%30%

Probabilidad de cada resultado según el modelo

Friday, 13 November · 09:45 (Peru time) · Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium

🎯 Model pick

Catar to score

73%

Partial data

Australia concede 1.8 goals per match
Australia kept a clean sheet in only 0 of 4
Australia in poor form: 3 defeats in their last 5

⚡ Summary

40%Catar to win@2.48 45%Over 2.5 goals@2.23 51%Both teams to score@1.98 1-1Most likely score · 13%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

📝 Preview

Catar y Australia se enfrentan por la Amistosos internacionales.

The PickMania model gives Catar a 40% chance of winning, 30% for the draw and 30% for Australia.

2.5 total goals are expected (1.4 from Catar and 1.1 from Australia): over 2.5 goals has a 45% chance and both teams to score 51%.

The most likely score is 1-1.

Probabilities

40%Catar to win@2.48

30%Draw@3.39

30%Australia to win@3.32

Over 1.5 goals70%

Over 2.5 goals45%

Over 3.5 goals25%

Both teams to score51%

Catar or draw70%

Australia or draw60%

Catar to score73%

Australia to score67%

Most likely scores

1-113%0-011%1-011%0-19%2-18%

Expected goals per the model: Catar 1.36 · Australia 1.14

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.50.

Corners, cards and first half

⏱️ First half

77% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.93

86%Goal in the 1st half@1.17

58%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@1.74

43%Goal in the 2st half@2.31

⚽ Goals per team

39%Catar +1.5@2.54

32%Australia +1.5@3.17

22%Catar to win to nil@4.45

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Goals in the last 10 matches

Catar · last 3 matches

1/3+2.5 goals1/3both teams to score1.3goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Australia · last 6 matches

2/6+2.5 goals3/6both teams to score2.5goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

CatarAustralia

0.0Goals scored per match1.0

0.5Goals conceded per match1.8

0%Matches with over 1.5 goals75%

0%Matches with over 2.5 goals25%

0%Both teams to score75%

50%Clean sheet0%

100%Matches without scoring25%

3.0Corners won per match4.5

0.5Yellow cards per match1.5

Catar: 2 matches · Australia: 4 matches (all competitions with data).

Catar at home · Australia away

Catar at home

0G1E0P

Australia away

0G1E1P

DLLL

When do they score and concede?

Catar · goals by minute in 2 matches scored conceded

Australia · goals by minute in 4 matches scored conceded

The first goal

Catar

Scores first in 0 of 1 matches and wins 0 of them.

Concedes first in 1 and avoids defeat in 0.

Australia

Scores first in 1 of 4 matches and wins 0 of them.

Concedes first in 3 and avoids defeat in 1.

Players in form

Catar

Sin datos

Australia

A. Circati · 1 gol, 1 assists in 4 matches

C. Metcalfe · 1 gol, 1 assists in 4 matches

Tete Yengi · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches

More stats

Half-time

Catar: 159 days since last match · Australia: 45 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-11 01:47 UTC.