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Carrick Rangers vs Glentoran prediction

Northern Ireland · Premiership
Carrick Rangers badgeCarrick Rangers#6 · 19 ptsLDDWW
0 - 0Full time
Glentoran badgeGlentoran#4 · 22 ptsDWDWW

Pre-match probabilities

Saturday, November 7 · 10:00 (Peru time) · Loughview Leisure Arena

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Glentoran to score

84%
Full data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

83'🔁 Sub: K. Cherry · S. ClucasCarrick Rangers
81'🟨 Carrick Rangers
74'🔁 Sub: J. Douglas · J. SingletonGlentoran
74'🔁 Sub: J. Malone · N. ShawGlentoran
59'🟨 C. WeatherupGlentoran
57'🔁 Sub: E. Schilte-Brown · D. LarmourGlentoran
50'🟨 Carrick Rangers
46'🔁 Sub: C. McMenamin · C. WeatherupGlentoran
46'🔁 Sub: P. Hoban · J. JenkinsGlentoran
42'🟨 Glentoran
20'🟨 A. SteeleCarrick Rangers

Win probability minute by minute

Carrick RangersDrawGlentoran
At kick-off22%28%50%Full time0%100%0%
0%25%50%75%100% 0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

22%Carrick Rangers to win@4.47
28%Draw@3.61
50%Glentoran to win@2.00
Over 1.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Over 3.5 goals38%
Both teams to score63%
Carrick Rangers or draw50%
Glentoran or draw78%
Carrick Rangers to score71%
Glentoran to score84%

Most likely scores

1-112%1-29%0-17%0-27%2-27%

Expected goals per the model: Carrick Rangers 1.24 · Glentoran 1.89

How many goals will there be?

4%0 goals14%1 goals21%2 goals22%3 goals17%4 goals21%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.13.

Corners, cards and first half

⏱️ First half

45% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.41

76%Goal in the 1st half@1.32
41%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.42
82%Goal in the 2st half@1.22

⚽ Goals per team

35%Carrick Rangers +1.5@2.84
56%Glentoran +1.5@1.77
9%Carrick Rangers to win to nil@10.82

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Goals in the last 10 matches

Carrick Rangers · last 10 matches
6/10+2.5 goals7/10both teams to score3.9goals per match
2.5vs Cliftonville FC: 1-3 1-3 ambosen Ballymena United: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Larne: 2-5 2-5 ambosat Glentoran: 0-2 0-2 vs Crusaders FC: 4-0 4-0 en Dungannon Swifts: 4-2 4-2 ambosvs Linfield: 2-2 2-2 ambosvs Limavady United: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Cliftonville FC: 1-7 1-7 ambosvs Glentoran: 0-0 0-0

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Glentoran · last 10 matches
3/10+2.5 goals5/10both teams to score1.8goals per match
2.5en Larne: 1-2 1-2 ambosvs Bangor: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Coleraine FC: 1-2 1-2 ambosen Cliftonville FC: 2-1 2-1 ambosvs Carrick Rangers: 2-0 2-0 vs Dungannon Swifts: 2-0 2-0 en Portadown: 0-0 0-0 vs Limavady United: 1-0 1-0 en Coleraine FC: 1-1 1-1 ambosat Carrick Rangers: 0-0 0-0

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

Carrick RangersGlentoran
1.6Goals scored per match1.2
1.9Goals conceded per match1.0
86%Matches with over 1.5 goals87%
57%Matches with over 2.5 goals40%
57%Both teams to score53%
21%Clean sheet40%
21%Matches without scoring13%

Carrick Rangers: 14 matches · Glentoran: 15 matches (all competitions with data).

Carrick Rangers at home · Glentoran away

Carrick Rangers at home
2G2E3P
DDWLL
Glentoran away
2G2E3P
DDWLW

When do they score and concede?

Carrick Rangers · goals by minute in 14 matches scored conceded
560-153316-305531-453546-605261-752676-90
Glentoran · goals by minute in 15 matches scored conceded
210-151216-302431-452146-602461-759376-90

The first goal

Carrick Rangers

Scores first in 7 of 14 matches and wins 5 of them.

Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 2.

Glentoran

Scores first in 7 of 14 matches and wins 6 of them.

Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 2.

Players in form

Carrick Rangers

D. Gibson · 4 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

P. Heatley · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

J. Crowe · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

Glentoran

J. Jenkins · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

J. Singleton · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches

J. Stewart · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

Head to head

2Carrick Rangers to win
4Draws
4Glentoran to win

10 matches · 3.1 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-09-26Glentoran 2-0 Carrick RangersPremiership
2026-03-03Glentoran 1-0 Carrick RangersPremiership
2026-01-03Carrick Rangers 0-7 GlentoranPremiership
2025-08-30Glentoran 1-1 Carrick RangersPremiership
2025-03-15Carrick Rangers 0-0 GlentoranPremiership
2024-10-19Glentoran 1-1 Carrick RangersPremiership

Standings

Premiership standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Linfield15+1336
2Coleraine FC15+1635
3Larne13+1026
4Glentoran14+622
5Cliftonville FC15+821
6Carrick Rangers15-419
7Dungannon Swifts14-418
8Crusaders FC15-1018
9Ballymena United13+116
10Limavady United15-1014
11Bangor15-1312
12Portadown15-139

More stats

Half-time

Carrick Rangers: 7 days since last match · Glentoran: 7 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 17:40 UTC.

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