Home › Northern Ireland · Premiership › Carrick Rangers vs Crusaders FC
Carrick Rangers vs Crusaders FC prediction
Northern Ireland · Premiership
Carrick Rangers
Crusaders FCProbabilidad de cada resultado según el modelo
Friday, November 13 · 14:45 (Peru time) · Seaview
Carrick Rangers or draw
80%- Carrick Rangers unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 (D L D D W)
- At home, Carrick Rangers are 2W 3D 3L this season
- Crusaders FC in poor form: 4 defeats in their last 5
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
📝 Preview
Carrick Rangers and Crusaders FC meet in the Premiership.
The PickMania model gives Carrick Rangers a 59% chance of winning, 20% for the draw and 20% for Crusaders FC.
3.5 total goals are expected (2.3 from Carrick Rangers and 1.3 from Crusaders FC): over 2.5 goals has a 67% chance and both teams to score 63%.
The most likely score is 2-1.
Probabilities
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Carrick Rangers 2.25 · Crusaders FC 1.25
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.50.
Corners, cards and first half
⏱️ First half
47% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.65
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Carrick Rangers: 15 matches · Crusaders FC: 15 matches (all competitions with data).
Carrick Rangers at home · Crusaders FC away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 7 of 14 matches and wins 5 of them.
Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 2.
Scores first in 6 of 15 matches and wins 5 of them.
Concedes first in 9 and avoids defeat in 1.
Players in form
D. Gibson · 3 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches
P. Heatley · 3 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches
J. Crowe · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches
E. Dunlop · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches
O. Wardell · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches
D. Rocks · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 3.7 goals per match
| 2026-10-03 | Carrick Rangers 4-0 Crusaders FC | Premiership |
| 2026-03-28 | Carrick Rangers 6-1 Crusaders FC | Premiership |
| 2025-12-30 | Crusaders FC 2-2 Carrick Rangers | Premiership |
| 2025-11-08 | Carrick Rangers 1-2 Crusaders FC | Premiership |
| 2025-08-09 | Crusaders FC 3-4 Carrick Rangers | Premiership |
| 2024-12-30 | Carrick Rangers 0-0 Crusaders FC | Premiership |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Linfield | 15 | +13 | 36 |
| 2 | Coleraine FC | 15 | +16 | 35 |
| 3 | Larne | 13 | +10 | 26 |
| 4 | Glentoran | 14 | +6 | 22 |
| 5 | Cliftonville FC | 15 | +8 | 21 |
| 6 | Carrick Rangers | 15 | -4 | 19 |
| 7 | Dungannon Swifts | 14 | -4 | 18 |
| 8 | Crusaders FC | 15 | -10 | 18 |
| 9 | Ballymena United | 13 | +1 | 16 |
| 10 | Limavady United | 15 | -10 | 14 |
| 11 | Bangor | 15 | -13 | 12 |
| 12 | Portadown | 15 | -13 | 9 |
More stats
Carrick Rangers: 6 days since last match · Crusaders FC: 6 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-11 09:47 UTC.