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Carrarese vs Sampdoria prediction
Italy · Serie B
Carrarese
SampdoriaPre-match probabilities
Sunday, November 8 · 11:15 (Peru time) · Stadio dei Marmi · Referee: Davide Di Marco
Carrarese or draw
76%- Sampdoria in poor form: 3 defeats in their last 5
- Head to head: 2W 1D 1L for Carrarese
- Rubino is on fire: 3 goals in his last 5 matches
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Carrarese 1.44 · Sampdoria 1.05
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.49.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 9.4 in total · Carrarese 4.2 · Sampdoria 5.2
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 4.0 · el árbitro Davide Di Marco saca 3.8 por partido
⏱️ First half
44% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.10
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Carrarese: 11 matches · Sampdoria: 11 matches (all competitions with data).
Carrarese at home · Sampdoria away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 4 of 11 matches and wins 3 of them.
Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 0.
Scores first in 4 of 11 matches and wins 1 of them.
Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 2.
Players in form
Tommaso Rubino · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Gabriele parlanti · 1 gol, 2 assists in 5 matches
Luka Topalovic · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches
Yari Verschaeren · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches
Tjas Begic · 0 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches
Lorenzo Mezzotero · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches
Head to head
4 matches · 2.5 goals per match
| 2026-03-18 | Carrarese 2-0 Sampdoria | Serie B |
| 2025-12-07 | Sampdoria 3-2 Carrarese | Serie B |
| 2025-04-25 | Carrarese 1-0 Sampdoria | Serie B |
| 2024-12-26 | Sampdoria 1-1 Carrarese | Serie B |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 11 | +12 | 27 |
| 2 | Modena | 11 | +10 | 23 |
| 3 | Ascoli | 11 | +10 | 20 |
| 4 | Mantova | 11 | +4 | 19 |
| 5 | Avellino | 11 | +5 | 16 |
| 6 | Benevento | 11 | +4 | 16 |
| 7 | Hellas Verona | 11 | +6 | 16 |
| 8 | Pisa | 11 | +3 | 16 |
| 9 | Cremonese | 11 | +2 | 15 |
| 10 | Padova | 11 | -1 | 15 |
| 11 | Cesena | 11 | -2 | 15 |
| 12 | Sudtirol | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 13 | Juve Stabia | 11 | +1 | 12 |
| 14 | Arezzo | 11 | -11 | 11 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 11 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 | Virtus Entella | 11 | -3 | 10 |
| 17 | Carrarese | 11 | -5 | 10 |
| 18 | Vicenza Virtus | 11 | -10 | 9 |
| 19 | Empoli | 11 | -7 | 9 |
| 20 | Catanzaro | 11 | -12 | 6 |
More stats
14 matches · 3.8 yellows and 0.00 reds per match · 0.00 penalties
Carrarese: 7 days since last match · Sampdoria: 7 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 18:50 UTC.