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Cambuur vs PSV Eindhoven prediction

Netherlands · Eredivisie
Cambuur badgeCambuur#10 · 15 ptsWWDWD
2 - 5Full time
PSV Eindhoven badgePSV Eindhoven#1 · 26 ptsLWDWL

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Sven Mijnans 1'⚽ Sven Mijnans 15'⚽ Ruben van Bommel 19'⚽ Nicky Souren 41'⚽ Iwan Henstra 78'⚽ Sven Mijnans 80'⚽ Ayoni Santos 90'

Sunday, 8 November · 10:45 (Peru time) · Kooi Stadion · Referee: Sander van der Eijk

Picky
🎯 Model pick

PSV Eindhoven or draw

85%
Partial data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'+2⚽ Ayoni Santos assist Kodai SanoPSV Eindhoven
89'🔁 Sub: Rafik El Arguioui · Skye VinkCambuur
89'🔁 Sub: Jason Ceka · Fabian KvamCambuur
86'🔁 Sub: Lutsharel Geertruida · Ryan FlamingoPSV Eindhoven
86'🔁 Sub: Esmir Bajraktarević · Dennis ManPSV Eindhoven
80'⚽ Sven MijnansPSV Eindhoven
78'⚽ Iwan Henstra assist Rafik El ArguiouiCambuur
75'🔁 Sub: Sergiño Dest · Kiliann SildilliaPSV Eindhoven
73'🔁 Sub: Morgan Costarelli · Ethan ApkakouCambuur
73'🔁 Sub: Nicolas Binder · Iwan HenstraCambuur
72'🟨 Sergiño DestPSV Eindhoven
68'🟨 Rafik El ArguiouiCambuur
66'🟨 Morgan CostarelliCambuur
65'🔁 Sub: Ruben van Bommel · Ayoni SantosPSV Eindhoven
64'🔁 Sub: Guus Til · Ricardo PepiPSV Eindhoven
63'🟨 Sven MijnansPSV Eindhoven
58'🔁 Sub: Mathieu Maertens · Sami BouhoudaneCambuur
55'🟨 Mathieu MaertensCambuur
41'⚽ Nicky SourenCambuur
19'⚽ Ruben van Bommel assist Esmir BajraktarevićPSV Eindhoven
15'⚽ Sven Mijnans assist Ruben van BommelPSV Eindhoven
1'⚽ Sven Mijnans assist Esmir BajraktarevićPSV Eindhoven

Win probability minute by minute

CambuurDrawPSV Eindhoven
At kick-off15%21%64%Full time0%0%100%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

15%Cambuur to win@6.63
21%Draw@4.68
64%PSV Eindhoven to win@1.57
Over 1.5 goals91%
Over 2.5 goals76%
Over 3.5 goals58%
Both teams to score69%
Cambuur or draw36%
PSV Eindhoven or draw85%
Cambuur to score75%
PSV Eindhoven to score93%

Most likely scores

1-18%1-28%1-37%2-27%0-26%

Expected goals per the model: Cambuur 1.39 · PSV Eindhoven 2.74

How many goals will there be?

2%0 goals7%1 goals14%2 goals19%3 goals19%4 goals40%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 4.13.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 10.1 in total · Cambuur 3.6 · PSV Eindhoven 6.4

62%Over 8.5@1.60
52%Over 9.5@1.91
42%Over 10.5@2.36
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 4.0 · el árbitro Sander van der Eijk saca 4.5 por partido

54%Over 3.5@1.85
37%Over 4.5@2.69
24%Over 5.5@4.21

⏱️ First half

48% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.99

86%Goal in the 1st half@1.16
59%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@1.69
88%Goal in the 2st half@1.13

⚽ Goals per team

40%Cambuur +1.5@2.47
76%PSV Eindhoven +1.5@1.32
4%Cambuur to win to nil@24.45

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

1.03Expected goals (xG)2.51
3Shots on target7
1Saves1
3Offsides1
10Shots16
3Yellow cards2
1Corners1
11Fouls19
0Red cards0
38Possession %62

Goals in the last 10 matches

Cambuur · last 10 matches
8/10+2.5 goals7/10both teams to score4.4goals per match
2.5vs Feyenoord: 2-5 2-5 ambosvs Twente: 1-4 1-4 ambosen Telstar: 2-2 2-2 ambosvs NEC Nijmegen: 3-0 3-0 en ADO Den Haag: 1-1 1-1 ambosen PEC Zwolle: 1-0 1-0 vs AZ Alkmaar: 2-2 2-2 ambosen Willem II: 6-1 6-1 ambosvs GO Ahead Eagles: 4-0 4-0 vs PSV Eindhoven: 2-5 2-5 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

PSV Eindhoven · last 10 matches
6/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score3.6goals per match
2.5vs Sparta Rotterdam: 4-1 4-1 ambosen Twente: 2-3 2-3 ambosvs Heerenveen: 2-0 2-0 en RB Leipzig: 0-1 0-1 en ADO Den Haag: 1-2 1-2 ambosen FC Porto: 1-0 1-0 vs Feyenoord: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Willem II: 7-0 7-0 vs Club Brugge KV: 1-2 1-2 ambosat Cambuur: 5-2 5-2 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

CambuurPSV Eindhoven
2.1Goals scored per match2.5
2.0Goals conceded per match1.1
91%Matches with over 1.5 goals87%
82%Matches with over 2.5 goals67%
64%Both teams to score73%
27%Clean sheet20%
9%Matches without scoring7%
4.1Corners won per match6.8
1.6Yellow cards per match1.7

Cambuur: 11 matches · PSV Eindhoven: 15 matches (all competitions with data).

Cambuur at home · PSV Eindhoven away

Cambuur at home
2G1E3P
WDWLL
PSV Eindhoven away
4G0E3P
WLLLW

When do they score and concede?

Cambuur · goals by minute in 11 matches scored conceded
520-153616-303431-454146-602361-756676-90
PSV Eindhoven · goals by minute in 15 matches scored conceded
440-157216-306231-459346-604261-758476-90

The first goal

Cambuur

Scores first in 7 of 11 matches and wins 4 of them.

Concedes first in 4 and avoids defeat in 0.

PSV Eindhoven

Scores first in 7 of 15 matches and wins 5 of them.

Concedes first in 8 and avoids defeat in 5.

Players in form

Cambuur

Nicolas Binder · 4 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches

Ilyes Hamache · 2 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches

Jason Ceka · 2 goles, 1 assists in 4 matches

PSV Eindhoven

Guus Til · 3 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

Sven Mijnans · 2 goles, 2 assists in 4 matches

Kodai Sano · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Head to head

1Cambuur to win
1Draws
8PSV Eindhoven to win

10 matches · 4.2 goals per match

Recent meetings
2023-03-12PSV Eindhoven 5-2 CambuurEredivisie
2022-10-01Cambuur 3-0 PSV EindhovenEredivisie
2022-04-23Cambuur 1-2 PSV EindhovenEredivisie
2021-08-21PSV Eindhoven 4-1 CambuurEredivisie
2016-05-01PSV Eindhoven 6-2 CambuurEredivisie
2015-09-12Cambuur 0-6 PSV EindhovenEredivisie

Standings

Eredivisie standings
#TeamPGDPts
1PSV Eindhoven12+2526
2Feyenoord12+1925
3Ajax12+1725
4Twente12+1824
5AZ Alkmaar12+823
6Heerenveen12+821
7Fortuna Sittard12020
8GO Ahead Eagles12-317
9Groningen12+115
10Cambuur12-215
11NEC Nijmegen12-114
12Sparta Rotterdam12-812
13PEC Zwolle12-1112
14Utrecht12-1312
15Excelsior12-1311
16Telstar12-710
17ADO Den Haag12-99
18Willem II12-293

More stats

Referee: Sander van der Eijk

21 matches · 4.4 yellows and 0.10 reds per match · 0.10 penalties

Half-time

Cambuur: 7 days since last match · PSV Eindhoven: 3 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 18:30 UTC.

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