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Cambrian & Clydach vs Barry Town prediction

Wales · Premier League
Cambrian & Clydach badgeCambrian & Clydach#9 · 19 ptsLLLLW
3 - 3Full time
Barry Town badgeBarry Town#7 · 29 ptsWLLWL

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ D. Birch 49'⚽ N. Daley 51'⚽ D. Edwards 60'⚽ K. Davies 68'⚽ N. Daley 73'⚽ L. Eason 83' (p)

Friday, November 6 · 14:45 (Peru time) · Referee: J. Harman

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Barry Town to score

84%
Full data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'+8🔁 Sub: A. Evans · J. AllenCambrian & Clydach
90'+3🔁 Sub: K. Lewis · J. JosephCambrian & Clydach
90'+2🟨 J. ShawBarry Town
90'+1🟨 Cambrian & Clydach
83'⚽ L. Eason (pen.)Cambrian & Clydach
82'🟨 D. BartonBarry Town
80'🟨 J. BernardBarry Town
73'⚽ N. DaleyBarry Town
68'🟨 Cambrian & Clydach
68'⚽ K. DaviesBarry Town
66'🔁 Sub: E. Dugan · J. BernardBarry Town
65'🔁 Sub: E. Williams · J. CrosbieBarry Town
60'⚽ D. EdwardsCambrian & Clydach
51'⚽ N. DaleyBarry Town
49'⚽ D. BirchCambrian & Clydach
41'🔁 Sub: J. Beecher · J. MorrisCambrian & Clydach

Win probability minute by minute

Cambrian & ClydachDrawBarry Town
At kick-off26%28%46%Full time0%100%0%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

26%Cambrian & Clydach to win@3.82
28%Draw@3.59
46%Barry Town to win@2.18
Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals63%
Over 3.5 goals43%
Both teams to score65%
Cambrian & Clydach or draw54%
Barry Town or draw74%
Cambrian & Clydach to score76%
Barry Town to score84%

Most likely scores

1-112%1-28%2-27%2-16%0-26%

Expected goals per the model: Cambrian & Clydach 1.42 · Barry Town 1.90

How many goals will there be?

4%0 goals12%1 goals20%2 goals22%3 goals18%4 goals24%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.32.

Corners, cards and first half

⏱️ First half

42% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.40

75%Goal in the 1st half@1.33
41%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.46
85%Goal in the 2st half@1.17

⚽ Goals per team

42%Cambrian & Clydach +1.5@2.41
57%Barry Town +1.5@1.77
10%Cambrian & Clydach to win to nil@10.08

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Goals in the last 10 matches

Cambrian & Clydach · last 10 matches
8/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score5.1goals per match
2.5en Cardiff MET: 2-2 2-2 ambosvs Holywell: 2-1 2-1 ambosen Trefelin: 4-0 4-0 en Caernarfon Town: 1-9 1-9 ambosvs Llandudno: 4-3 4-3 ambosen The New Saints: 0-9 0-9 vs Ammanford AFC: 0-1 0-1 vs Airbus UK: 2-3 2-3 ambosen Colwyn Bay: 0-2 0-2 vs Barry Town: 3-3 3-3 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Barry Town · last 10 matches
8/10+2.5 goals7/10both teams to score4.0goals per match
2.5en The New Saints: 0-1 0-1 vs Llandudno: 4-1 4-1 ambosvs Ammanford AFC: 2-2 2-2 ambosen Colwyn Bay: 2-5 2-5 ambosvs GAP Connah S Quay FC: 1-4 1-4 ambosen Caernarfon Town: 1-0 1-0 en Penybont: 1-3 1-3 ambosvs Haverfordwest County AFC: 1-3 1-3 ambosvs Trefelin: 3-0 3-0 at Cambrian & Clydach: 3-3 3-3 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

Cambrian & ClydachBarry Town
1.5Goals scored per match2.1
2.5Goals conceded per match1.7
87%Matches with over 1.5 goals80%
73%Matches with over 2.5 goals80%
53%Both teams to score73%
20%Clean sheet20%
27%Matches without scoring7%

Cambrian & Clydach: 15 matches · Barry Town: 15 matches (all competitions with data).

Cambrian & Clydach at home · Barry Town away

Cambrian & Clydach at home
3G2E2P
LLWWD
Barry Town away
4G0E3P
LWLLW

When do they score and concede?

Cambrian & Clydach · goals by minute in 15 matches scored conceded
360-152416-304631-455846-604661-755876-90
Barry Town · goals by minute in 15 matches scored conceded
510-156516-304431-454546-607661-756576-90

The first goal

Cambrian & Clydach

Scores first in 8 of 15 matches and wins 5 of them.

Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 2.

Barry Town

Scores first in 11 of 15 matches and wins 8 of them.

Concedes first in 4 and avoids defeat in 1.

Players in form

Cambrian & Clydach

A. Bonthron · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

J. Beecher · 1 gol, 0 assists in 2 matches

J. Wright · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches

Barry Town

N. Daley · 3 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches

J. Lester · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

E. Dugan · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches

Head to head

0Cambrian & Clydach to win
0Draws
5Barry Town to win

5 matches · 4.0 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-07-31Barry Town 2-1 Cambrian & ClydachPremier League
2025-12-06Cambrian & Clydach 0-3 Barry TownLeague Cup
2023-02-18Barry Town 4-2 Cambrian & ClydachFAW Championship
2022-11-18Cambrian & Clydach 1-2 Barry TownFAW Championship
2019-03-02Barry Town 3-2 Cambrian & ClydachWelsh Cup

Standings

Premier League standings
#TeamPGDPts
1The New Saints16+4844
2GAP Connah S Quay FC16+2538
3Penybont15+2136
4Colwyn Bay16+1032
5Airbus UK16+1030
6Caernarfon Town16+2129
7Barry Town16+629
8Cardiff MET16+625
9Cambrian & Clydach16-1519
10Llandudno16-716
11Haverfordwest County AFC16-1116
12Briton Ferry16-1115
13Flint Town United16-814
14Ammanford AFC16-3012
15Trefelin16-296
16Holywell15-362

More stats

Referee: J. Harman

12 matches · – yellows and – reds per match · 0.40 penalties

Half-time

Cambrian & Clydach: 7 days since last match · Barry Town: 7 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-06 22:20 UTC.

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