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Brazil U20 vs Peru U20 prediction

International · International friendlies

Brazil U20WWWWW

18:00Fri Nov 13

Peru U20DLDL

65%22%13%

Probabilidad de cada resultado según el modelo

Friday, November 13 · 18:00 (Peru time)

🎯 Model pick

Over 1.5 goals

77%

Partial data

2+ goals in 7 of 8 Brazil U20 matches
Also in 4 of 4 Peru U20 matches
Picky expects 2.9 goals (2.1 - 0.8)

⚡ Summary

65%Brazil U20 to win@1.55 54%Over 2.5 goals@1.85 49%Both teams to score@2.03 1-0Most likely score · 11%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

📝 Preview

Brazil U20 and Peru U20 meet in the International friendlies.

The PickMania model gives Brazil U20 a 65% chance of winning, 22% for the draw and 13% for Peru U20.

2.9 total goals are expected (2.1 from Brazil U20 and 0.8 from Peru U20): over 2.5 goals has a 54% chance and both teams to score 49%.

The most likely score is 1-0.

Probabilities

65%Brazil U20 to win@1.55

22%Draw@4.52

13%Peru U20 to win@7.58

Over 1.5 goals77%

Over 2.5 goals54%

Over 3.5 goals33%

Both teams to score49%

Brazil U20 or draw87%

Peru U20 or draw35%

Brazil U20 to score86%

Peru U20 to score56%

Most likely scores

1-011%2-011%1-110%2-19%0-08%

Expected goals per the model: Brazil U20 2.08 · Peru U20 0.84

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.92.

Corners, cards and first half

⏱️ First half

56% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.64

81%Goal in the 1st half@1.24

49%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.05

72%Goal in the 2st half@1.39

⚽ Goals per team

62%Brasil sub-20 +1.5@1.63

21%Perú sub-20 +1.5@4.86

37%Brazil U20 to win to nil@2.72

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Goals in the last 10 matches

Brazil U20 · last 8 matches

4/8+2.5 goals3/8both teams to score3.0goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Peru U20 · last 4 matches

2/4+2.5 goals4/4both teams to score3.0goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

Brazil U20Peru U20

2.6Goals scored per match1.3

0.4Goals conceded per match1.8

88%Matches with over 1.5 goals100%

50%Matches with over 2.5 goals50%

38%Both teams to score100%

63%Clean sheet0%

0%Matches without scoring0%

Brazil U20: 8 matches · Peru U20: 4 matches (all competitions with data).

Brazil U20 at home · Peru U20 away

Brazil U20 at home

7G0E0P

WWWWW

Peru U20 away

0G2E2P

DLDL

When do they score and concede?

Brazil U20 · goals by minute in 8 matches scored conceded

Peru U20 · goals by minute in 1 matches scored conceded

The first goal

Brazil U20

Scores first in 7 of 8 matches and wins 7 of them.

Concedes first in 1 and avoids defeat in 1.

Peru U20

Scores first in 0 of 1 matches and wins 0 of them.

Concedes first in 1 and avoids defeat in 0.

Players in form

Brazil U20

Heittor Vinicius · 4 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches

Bruninho · 4 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches

Lucas Meirelles · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches

Peru U20

J. Mellan · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches

Head to head

1Brazil U20 to win

0Draws

0Peru U20 to win

1 matches · 3.0 goals per match

Recent meetings
2023-01-18	Peru U20 0-3 Brazil U20	Sudamericano U20

More stats

Half-time

Brazil U20: 40 days since last match · Peru U20: 38 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-11 07:47 UTC.