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Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg prediction
Germany · Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund
SV ElversbergPre-match probabilities
Saturday, November 7 · 09:30 (Peru time) · Signal Iduna Park · Referee: Harm Osmers
Borussia Dortmund to win
69%- Borussia Dortmund have won 3 of their last 5 (W D W W D)
- At home, Borussia Dortmund are 5W 1D 0L this season
- #2 in the table, SV Elversberg #7
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Borussia Dortmund 2.57 · SV Elversberg 0.99
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.56.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 11.3 in total · Borussia Dortmund 7.0 · SV Elversberg 4.3
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 4.0 · el árbitro Harm Osmers saca 4.3 por partido
⏱️ First half
31% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.09
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Borussia Dortmund: 12 matches · SV Elversberg: 8 matches (all competitions with data).
Borussia Dortmund at home · SV Elversberg away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 7 of 11 matches and wins 6 of them.
Concedes first in 4 and avoids defeat in 3.
Scores first in 3 of 7 matches and wins 3 of them.
Concedes first in 4 and avoids defeat in 1.
Players in form
Serhou Guirassy · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Fábio Silva · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
Konstantinos Karetsas · 1 gol, 1 assists in 3 matches
Felix Keidel · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches
Maurice Krattenmacher · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches
L. Petkov · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 9 | +20 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | +14 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 9 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 | Werder Bremen | 9 | +2 | 15 |
| 7 | SV Elversberg | 9 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | -5 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | -10 | 12 |
| 12 | FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | -4 | 9 |
| 16 | Unión Berlin | 9 | -14 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | -6 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | -13 | 4 |
More stats
25 matches · 4.0 yellows and 0.33 reds per match · 0.00 penalties
Borussia Dortmund: 2 days since last match · SV Elversberg: 7 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 17:00 UTC.