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Bonaire vs Cuba prediction
International · Nations League Concacaf
Bonaire
CubaProbabilidad de cada resultado según el modelo
Thursday, November 12 · 15:00 (Peru time) · Estadio La Polar
Over 2.5 goals
69%- 3+ goals in 3 of 4 Bonaire matches
- Also in 3 of 4 Cuba matches
- Picky expects 3.8 goals (0.6 - 3.2)
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
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Bonaire and Cuba meet in the Nations League Concacaf.
The PickMania model gives Bonaire a 4% chance of winning, 10% for the draw and 86% for Cuba.
3.8 total goals are expected (0.6 from Bonaire and 3.2 from Cuba): over 2.5 goals has a 69% chance and both teams to score 40%.
The most likely score is 0-2.
Probabilities
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Bonaire 0.59 · Cuba 3.16
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.75.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 11.3 in total · Bonaire 4.1 · Cuba 7.1
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 3.8
⏱️ First half
47% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.75
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Bonaire: 4 matches · Cuba: 4 matches (all competitions with data).
Bonaire at home · Cuba away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 2 of 4 matches and wins 0 of them.
Concedes first in 2 and avoids defeat in 1.
Scores first in 2 of 4 matches and wins 2 of them.
Concedes first in 2 and avoids defeat in 2.
Players in form
M. Bostdorp · 2 goles, 2 assists in 4 matches
A. Cicilia · 2 goles, 1 assists in 4 matches
B. Sonnenschein · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches
Y. Y. Perez · 3 goles, 1 assists in 4 matches
D. Catasus · 2 goles, 1 assists in 4 matches
M. Camejo · 0 goles, 3 assists in 4 matches
Head to head
1 matches · 2.0 goals per match
| 2026-09-28 | Cuba 2-0 Bonaire | CONCACAF Nations League |
More stats
Bonaire: 37 days since last match · Cuba: 37 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-11 08:47 UTC.