Home › Bolivia · Primera División › Bolívar vs The Strongest
Bolívar vs The Strongest prediction
Bolivia · Primera División
Bolívar
The StrongestPre-match probabilities
Sunday, November 8 · 16:15 (Peru time) · Estadio Hernando Siles
Bolívar or draw
82%- Bolívar unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 (W W W W W)
- At home, Bolívar are 12W 3D 2L this season
- Head to head: 5W 4D 1L for Bolívar
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Bolívar 2.22 · The Strongest 1.29
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.51.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 9.2 in total · Bolívar 5.2 · The Strongest 4.0
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 4.3
⏱️ First half
45% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.59
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Bolívar: 34 matches · The Strongest: 26 matches (all competitions with data).
Bolívar at home · The Strongest away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 21 of 32 matches and wins 19 of them.
Concedes first in 11 and avoids defeat in 5.
Scores first in 12 of 21 matches and wins 10 of them.
Concedes first in 9 and avoids defeat in 6.
Players in form
Robson Matheus · 2 goles, 2 assists in 4 matches
D. Romero · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches
D. Asprilla · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches
G. Sotomayor · 1 gol, 2 assists in 5 matches
Darwin Lom · 2 goles, 0 assists in 3 matches
Adrián Estacio · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 3.6 goals per match
| 2026-09-20 | The Strongest 1-1 Bolívar | Copa de la División Profesional |
| 2026-08-30 | Bolívar 4-2 The Strongest | Copa de la División Profesional |
| 2026-07-12 | The Strongest 1-1 Bolívar | Primera División |
| 2026-02-06 | Bolívar 0-0 The Strongest | Torneo Amistoso de Verano |
| 2026-01-30 | The Strongest 2-2 Bolívar | Torneo Amistoso de Verano |
| 2025-11-30 | The Strongest 2-3 Bolívar | Primera División |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolívar | 25 | +37 | 60 |
| 2 | Always Ready | 25 | +42 | 57 |
| 3 | The Strongest | 25 | +17 | 48 |
| 4 | Oriente Petrolero | 25 | +12 | 41 |
| 5 | Real Potosí | 25 | +14 | 40 |
| 6 | Aurora | 25 | +4 | 36 |
| 7 | Nacional Potosí | 25 | +4 | 33 |
| 8 | Guabirá | 25 | -10 | 33 |
| 9 | Blooming | 25 | +6 | 31 |
| 10 | Real Oruro | 25 | -17 | 31 |
| 11 | Independiente Petrolero | 25 | -10 | 30 |
| 12 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 25 | -22 | 27 |
| 13 | Real Tomayapo | 25 | -23 | 23 |
| 14 | Universitario de Vinto | 25 | -17 | 22 |
| 15 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | 25 | -17 | 20 |
| 16 | ABB | 25 | -20 | 20 |
More stats
Bolívar: 7 days since last match · The Strongest: 7 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 23:50 UTC.