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Blooming vs Oriente Petrolero prediction

Bolivia · Primera División
Blooming badgeBlooming#9 · 31 ptsWLDLD
0 - 1Full time
Oriente Petrolero badgeOriente Petrolero#4 · 41 ptsDWDWW

Pre-match probabilities

🟥 Joel Bernal Flores 45'🟥 Richard Spenhay 45'🟥 Fran Lopez 45'🟥 Dico Roca 45'🟥 Julio Demian Vila 45'🟥 juan gonzales 45'⚽ Nahuel Roldán 75'

Sunday, November 8 · 18:30 (Peru time) · Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Oriente Petrolero to score

80%
Full data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'+1🟨 Mauricio CabralBlooming
86'🔁 Sub: Eduardo Justiniano · Mauricio CabralBlooming
86'🔁 Sub: Juan Valverde · Denilson Durán ZabalaBlooming
82'🟨 Gustavo Atilano Florentín MorinigoOriente Petrolero
80'🔁 Sub: Octavio Perdomo · Omar SilesOriente Petrolero
75'⚽ Nahuel Roldán assist Julio·HerreraOriente Petrolero
71'🟨 Julio·HerreraOriente Petrolero
69'🔁 Sub: Leonardo Vaca · Julio·HerreraOriente Petrolero
66'🟨 Juan ValverdeBlooming
65'🟨 Octavio PerdomoOriente Petrolero
58'🔁 Sub: Joffre·Escobar · Nahuel RoldánOriente Petrolero
50'🟨 Cristian Oscar PaulucciBlooming
45'+11🟨 Federico RamosBlooming
45'+9🟥 Richard SpenhayBlooming
45'+9🟥 Julio Demian VilaBlooming
45'+9🟥 juan gonzalesBlooming
45'+8🟥 Joel Bernal FloresOriente Petrolero
45'+7🟥 Fran LopezOriente Petrolero
45'+7🟥 Dico RocaOriente Petrolero
45'+5🟨 A. TorrezOriente Petrolero
45'🔁 Sub: José Flores · D. RodriguezOriente Petrolero
45'🔁 Sub: Guilmar Centella Bazan · Eduardo Mauricio Alvarez VargasBlooming
45'🔁 Sub: Gerardo Cuasace Osinaga · Danny BejaranoBlooming
30'🟨 juan gonzalesBlooming
27'🟨 Auli OliverosBlooming
27'🟨 Jorge Eduardo LoveraOriente Petrolero

Win probability minute by minute

BloomingDrawOriente Petrolero
At kick-off29%29%42%Full time0%0%100%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

29%Blooming to win@3.48
29%Draw@3.41
42%Oriente Petrolero to win@2.38
Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Over 3.5 goals35%
Both teams to score63%
Blooming or draw58%
Oriente Petrolero or draw71%
Blooming to score73%
Oriente Petrolero to score80%

Most likely scores

1-113%1-28%0-17%0-07%2-17%

Expected goals per the model: Blooming 1.34 · Oriente Petrolero 1.64

How many goals will there be?

5%0 goals15%1 goals23%2 goals22%3 goals17%4 goals18%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.98.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 9.8 in total · Blooming 4.8 · Oriente Petrolero 5.0

59%Over 8.5@1.68
49%Over 9.5@2.04
39%Over 10.5@2.55
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 6.3

83%Over 3.5@1.20
71%Over 4.5@1.40
57%Over 5.5@1.74

⏱️ First half

45% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.33

74%Goal in the 1st half@1.36
39%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.60
81%Goal in the 2st half@1.24

⚽ Goals per team

39%Blooming +1.5@2.58
49%Oriente Petrolero +1.5@2.05
13%Blooming to win to nil@7.90

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

0.46Expected goals (xG)1.09
5Saves0
2Offsides1
3Red cards3
11Shots24
5Yellow cards4
1Corners5
0Shots on target6
14Fouls19
34Possession %66

Goals in the last 10 matches

Blooming · last 10 matches
4/10+2.5 goals7/10both teams to score2.4goals per match
2.5en Guabirá: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Real Oruro: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Nacional Potosí: 1-2 1-2 ambosvs ABB: 6-1 6-1 ambosvs Universitario de Vinto: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Bolívar: 0-1 0-1 vs Independiente Petrolero: 0-0 0-0 en Gualberto Villarroel SJ: 1-2 1-2 ambosen Real Tomayapo: 2-1 2-1 ambosvs Oriente Petrolero: 0-1 0-1

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Oriente Petrolero · last 10 matches
5/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score2.7goals per match
2.5vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo: 4-0 4-0 en Gualberto Villarroel SJ: 3-3 3-3 ambosvs Always Ready: 1-2 1-2 ambosen Real Potosí: 1-2 1-2 ambosen Real Tomayapo: 2-0 2-0 vs ABB: 1-0 1-0 en Guabirá: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs The Strongest: 2-1 2-1 ambosvs Aurora: 1-1 1-1 ambosat Blooming: 1-0 1-0

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

BloomingOriente Petrolero
1.3Goals scored per match1.7
1.4Goals conceded per match1.3
81%Matches with over 1.5 goals83%
45%Matches with over 2.5 goals63%
52%Both teams to score63%
26%Clean sheet25%
32%Matches without scoring13%
4.7Corners won per match4.3
2.7Yellow cards per match3.1

Blooming: 31 matches · Oriente Petrolero: 24 matches (all competitions with data).

Blooming at home · Oriente Petrolero away

Blooming at home
6G8E2P
DDWDW
Oriente Petrolero away
3G3E6P
DWLDW

When do they score and concede?

Blooming · goals by minute in 31 matches scored conceded
650-155316-307731-4561146-6051161-7510676-90
Oriente Petrolero · goals by minute in 24 matches scored conceded
740-158716-307231-453446-608761-758676-90

The first goal

Blooming

Scores first in 14 of 28 matches and wins 8 of them.

Concedes first in 14 and avoids defeat in 3.

Oriente Petrolero

Scores first in 15 of 24 matches and wins 10 of them.

Concedes first in 9 and avoids defeat in 3.

Players in form

Blooming

M. Villarroel · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches

C. Menacho · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

Roberto Hinojosa · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

Oriente Petrolero

Nabil Nacif Joffre · 4 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

J. Lovera · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

Mizael Monteiro · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

Head to head

5Blooming to win
1Draws
4Oriente Petrolero to win

10 matches · 3.6 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-09-20Oriente Petrolero 3-1 BloomingCopa de la División Profesional
2026-08-30Blooming 0-3 Oriente PetroleroCopa de la División Profesional
2026-05-31Oriente Petrolero 0-1 BloomingPrimera División
2026-02-08Blooming 2-3 Oriente PetroleroTorneo Amistoso de Verano
2026-02-01Oriente Petrolero 0-2 BloomingTorneo Amistoso de Verano
2025-11-30Oriente Petrolero 3-1 BloomingPrimera División

Standings

Primera División standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Bolívar25+3760
2Always Ready25+4257
3The Strongest25+1748
4Oriente Petrolero25+1241
5Real Potosí25+1440
6Aurora25+436
7Nacional Potosí25+433
8Guabirá25-1033
9Blooming25+631
10Real Oruro25-1731
11Independiente Petrolero25-1030
12San Antonio Bulo Bulo25-2227
13Real Tomayapo25-2323
14Universitario de Vinto25-1722
15Gualberto Villarroel SJ25-1720
16ABB25-2020

More stats

Half-time

Blooming: 6 days since last match · Oriente Petrolero: 8 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-09 02:00 UTC.

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