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Blackburn vs West Ham prediction

England · Championship
Blackburn badgeBlackburn#13 · 21 ptsLLWLW
2 - 1Full time
West Ham badgeWest Ham#9 · 23 ptsDLLWW

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Andri Guðjohnsen 54'⚽ Oladapo Afolayan 71'⚽ Joel Piroe 82'

Saturday, 7 November · 10:00 (Peru time) · Ewood Park · Referee: Thomas Kirk

Picky
🎯 Model pick

West Ham or draw

83%
Partial data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

87'🟨 Augustus KargboBlackburn
86'🟨 Arne EngelsWest Ham
82'⚽ Joel Piroe assist Taty CastellanosWest Ham
82'🔁 Sub: Kristi Montgomery · Moussa·BaradjiBlackburn
78'🔁 Sub: Joël Veltman · Tomáš SoučekWest Ham
78'🔁 Sub: Divine Mukasa · Lewis OrfordWest Ham
72'🟨 Maximilian KilmanWest Ham
71'🔁 Sub: Andri Guðjohnsen · Yuki OhashiBlackburn
71'⚽ Oladapo Afolayan assist Yuki OhashiBlackburn
70'🔁 Sub: J. Fevrier · Augustus KargboBlackburn
67'🟨 Kristi MontgomeryBlackburn
65'🔁 Sub: Mohamadou Kante · Taty CastellanosWest Ham
59'🔁 Sub: Edvin Austbö · Manor SolomonWest Ham
54'⚽ Andri Guðjohnsen assist J. FevrierBlackburn
34'🟨 Gady BeyukuBlackburn

Win probability minute by minute

BlackburnDrawWest Ham
At kick-off17%27%57%Full time100%0%0%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽⚽⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

17%Blackburn to win@6.04
27%Draw@3.77
57%West Ham to win@1.76
Over 1.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Over 3.5 goals39%
Both teams to score60%
Blackburn or draw43%
West Ham or draw83%
Blackburn to score66%
West Ham to score87%

Most likely scores

1-112%1-29%0-29%0-18%0-06%

Expected goals per the model: Blackburn 1.09 · West Ham 2.06

How many goals will there be?

4%0 goals13%1 goals21%2 goals22%3 goals18%4 goals21%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.15.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 11.5 in total · Blackburn 5.3 · West Ham 6.3

75%Over 8.5@1.34
66%Over 9.5@1.52
56%Over 10.5@1.78
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 4.2 · el árbitro Thomas Kirk saca 3.8 por partido

58%Over 3.5@1.73
41%Over 4.5@2.45
27%Over 5.5@3.73

⏱️ First half

51% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.60

80%Goal in the 1st half@1.25
47%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.11
79%Goal in the 2st half@1.27

⚽ Goals per team

30%Blackburn +1.5@3.36
61%West Ham +1.5@1.64
7%Blackburn to win to nil@14.56

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

0.90Expected goals (xG)1.28
3Shots on target5
4Saves1
1Offsides0
5Shots19
3Yellow cards2
4Corners9
16Fouls8
0Red cards0
36Possession %64

Goals in the last 10 matches

Blackburn · last 10 matches
8/10+2.5 goals7/10both teams to score3.2goals per match
2.5vs Sheffield Utd: 1-2 1-2 ambosvs Millwall: 3-1 3-1 ambosen Portsmouth: 2-2 2-2 ambosvs Cardiff: 2-1 2-1 ambosen Bristol City: 1-0 1-0 en West Brom: 2-3 2-3 ambosvs Wrexham: 2-0 2-0 en Swansea: 0-4 0-4 vs Stoke City: 1-2 1-2 ambosvs West Ham: 2-1 2-1 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

West Ham · last 10 matches
8/10+2.5 goals7/10both teams to score4.2goals per match
2.5en Bolton: 3-2 3-2 ambosvs Wrexham: 6-0 6-0 en Millwall: 2-2 2-2 ambosvs QPR: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Lincoln: 6-0 6-0 en Swansea: 1-0 1-0 vs Southampton: 2-3 2-3 ambosvs West Brom: 1-3 1-3 ambosen Cardiff: 3-3 3-3 ambosat Blackburn: 1-2 1-2 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

BlackburnWest Ham
1.4Goals scored per match2.6
1.6Goals conceded per match1.5
86%Matches with over 1.5 goals93%
79%Matches with over 2.5 goals79%
71%Both teams to score71%
21%Clean sheet29%
14%Matches without scoring0%
5.9Corners won per match6.9
2.4Yellow cards per match2.1

Blackburn: 14 matches · West Ham: 14 matches (all competitions with data).

Blackburn at home · West Ham away

Blackburn at home
4G0E3P
LWWWL
West Ham away
3G4E0P
DWWDW

When do they score and concede?

Blackburn · goals by minute in 14 matches scored conceded
340-153316-304531-457446-600461-753276-90
West Ham · goals by minute in 14 matches scored conceded
340-154616-306531-455246-608261-7510276-90

The first goal

Blackburn

Scores first in 7 of 13 matches and wins 4 of them.

Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 3.

West Ham

Scores first in 7 of 14 matches and wins 6 of them.

Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 4.

Players in form

Blackburn

Andri Guðjohnsen · 5 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

O. Afolayan · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

K. Montgomery · 0 goles, 1 assists in 4 matches

West Ham

Jarrod Bowen · 2 goles, 4 assists in 5 matches

T. Soucek · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Divine Mukasa · 2 goles, 1 assists in 4 matches

Head to head

0Blackburn to win
3Draws
1West Ham to win

4 matches · 3.5 goals per match

Recent meetings
2022-11-09West Ham 2-2 BlackburnLeague Cup
2016-02-21Blackburn 1-5 West HamFA Cup
2011-05-07West Ham 1-1 BlackburnPremier League
2010-12-18Blackburn 1-1 West HamPremier League

Standings

Championship standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Birmingham15+1429
2Middlesbrough15+1129
3Stoke City15+629
4Wolves15+828
5West Brom15+828
6Swansea15+426
7Southampton15+1424
8QPR15+624
9West Ham15+1423
10Sheffield Utd15+222
11Portsmouth15+222
12Norwich15+821
13Blackburn15-121
14Cardiff15018
15Wrexham15-218
16Millwall15-418
17Bristol City15-818
18Bolton15-917
19Charlton15-1017
20Watford15-1015
21Lincoln15-1115
22Burnley15-910
23Derby15-1610
24Preston15-178

More stats

Referee: Thomas Kirk

17 matches · 3.5 yellows and 0.25 reds per match · 0.00 penalties

Half-time

Blackburn: 3 days since last match · West Ham: 2 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 17:30 UTC.

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