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Birzebbuga vs Mosta prediction
Malta · Premier League
Birzebbuga
MostaPre-match probabilities
Friday, 6 November · 14:00 (Peru time) · Victor Tedesco Stadium
Birzebbuga to score
79%- Mosta concede 1.8 goals per match
- Mosta kept a clean sheet in only 2 of 11
- Goncalves is on fire: 3 goals in his last 4 matches
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Birzebbuga 1.59 · Mosta 1.26
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.85.
Corners, cards and first half
⏱️ First half
41% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.17
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Birzebbuga: 11 matches · Mosta: 11 matches (all competitions with data).
Birzebbuga at home · Mosta away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 3 of 11 matches and wins 1 of them.
Concedes first in 8 and avoids defeat in 1.
Scores first in 6 of 11 matches and wins 3 of them.
Concedes first in 5 and avoids defeat in 2.
Players in form
G. Costa Goncalves · 3 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches
Alex Bruno · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches
J. A. Bolanos Ramirez · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches
Head to head
2 matches · 4.0 goals per match
| 2026-10-09 | Mosta 2-2 Birzebbuga | Premier League |
| 2026-07-17 | Mosta 0-4 Birzebbuga | Friendlies Clubs |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valletta FC | 11 | +14 | 25 |
| 2 | Marsaxlokk | 11 | +7 | 20 |
| 3 | Sliema Wanderers | 11 | +1 | 18 |
| 4 | Hamrun Spartans | 11 | +4 | 17 |
| 5 | Floriana | 11 | +7 | 16 |
| 6 | Hibernians | 11 | -2 | 16 |
| 7 | Birkirkara | 11 | +3 | 15 |
| 8 | Zabbar St. Patrick | 11 | +1 | 14 |
| 9 | Mosta | 11 | -5 | 14 |
| 10 | Balzan FC | 11 | -1 | 11 |
| 11 | Birzebbuga | 11 | -12 | 6 |
| 12 | Gzira United | 11 | -17 | 5 |
More stats
Birzebbuga: 6 days since last match · Mosta: 6 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-06 21:30 UTC.