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Beşiktaş vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. prediction

Türkiye · Süper Lig
Beşiktaş badgeBeşiktaş#4 · 22 ptsLDWDL
3 - 0Full time
Gençlerbirliği S.K. badgeGençlerbirliği S.K.#14 · 11 ptsWLLDL

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ D. Vlahovic 20'🟥 M. Baltaci 22'⚽ D. Vlahovic 45'⚽ E. Poku 85'

Sunday, November 8 · 13:00 (Peru time) · Tüpraş Stadyumu · Referee: Atilla Karaoglan

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Beşiktaş to win

76%
Full data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

86'🔁 Sub: D. Vlahovic · S. KilicsoyBeşiktaş
86'🔁 Sub: O. Ulgun · S. UcanGençlerbirliği S.K.
86'🔁 Sub: P. Mendes · S. KoitaGençlerbirliği S.K.
85'⚽ E. Poku assist L. TrossardBeşiktaş
78'🔁 Sub: I. Fakili · E. PokuBeşiktaş
71'🔁 Sub: M. Murillo · T. BulutBeşiktaş
71'🔁 Sub: T. Gouveia · R. LuisGençlerbirliği S.K.
71'🔁 Sub: A. Traore · F. UzumGençlerbirliği S.K.
71'🔁 Sub: O. Kokcu · J. OlaitanBeşiktaş
70'🔁 Sub: W. Ndidi · K. Kayra YilmazBeşiktaş
56'🟨 O. KokcuBeşiktaş
50'🟨 O. DiabateGençlerbirliği S.K.
45'⚽ D. Vlahovic assist L. TrossardBeşiktaş
33'🟨 M. MurilloBeşiktaş
27'🔁 Sub: Thalisson Kelven · O. DiabateGençlerbirliği S.K.
22'🟨 M. BaltaciGençlerbirliği S.K.
22'🟥 M. BaltaciGençlerbirliği S.K.
20'⚽ D. Vlahovic assist L. TrossardBeşiktaş
17'🟨 M. BaltaciGençlerbirliği S.K.
2'🟨 W. NdidiBeşiktaş

Win probability minute by minute

BeşiktaşDrawGençlerbirliği S.K.
At kick-off76%16%8%Full time100%0%0%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽⚽⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

76%Beşiktaş to win@1.31
16%Draw@6.15
8%Gençlerbirliği S.K. to win@13.16
Over 1.5 goals88%
Over 2.5 goals71%
Over 3.5 goals52%
Both teams to score53%
Beşiktaş or draw92%
Gençlerbirliği S.K. or draw24%
Beşiktaş to score94%
Gençlerbirliği S.K. to score59%

Most likely scores

2-09%3-09%2-18%3-18%1-17%

Expected goals per the model: Beşiktaş 2.88 · Gençlerbirliği S.K. 0.90

How many goals will there be?

2%0 goals9%1 goals16%2 goals21%3 goals19%4 goals33%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.78.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 10.7 in total · Beşiktaş 6.4 · Gençlerbirliği S.K. 4.4

68%Over 8.5@1.46
59%Over 9.5@1.71
49%Over 10.5@2.05
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 4.5 · el árbitro A. Karaoglan saca 5.1 por partido

62%Over 3.5@1.61
45%Over 4.5@2.21
31%Over 5.5@3.26

⏱️ First half

36% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.35

74%Goal in the 1st half@1.35
39%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.55
91%Goal in the 2st half@1.10

⚽ Goals per team

78%Beşiktaş +1.5@1.28
23%Gençlerbirliği S.K. +1.5@4.40
37%Beşiktaş to win to nil@2.69

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

8Shots on target1
15Shots3
13Fouls15
4Corners1
4Offsides2
69Possession %31
3Yellow cards3
0Red cards1
1Saves6
2.44Expected goals (xG)0.18

Goals in the last 10 matches

Beşiktaş · last 10 matches
8/10+2.5 goals7/10both teams to score3.8goals per match
2.5vs Marseille: 4-1 4-1 ambosen Amed: 2-3 2-3 ambosvs Kocaelispor: 2-1 2-1 ambosen 1899 Hoffenheim: 3-2 3-2 ambosen Trabzonspor: 0-2 0-2 vs Crystal Palace: 2-2 2-2 ambosvs Başakşehir: 2-0 2-0 en Kasımpaşa: 2-2 2-2 ambosen Celtic: 2-3 2-3 ambosvs Gençlerbirliği S.K.: 3-0 3-0

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Gençlerbirliği S.K. · last 10 matches
6/10+2.5 goals3/10both teams to score3.0goals per match
2.5en Göztepe: 1-0 1-0 vs Erzurumspor FK: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Trabzonspor: 0-5 0-5 vs Kasımpaşa: 1-2 1-2 ambosen Başakşehir: 0-4 0-4 vs Amed: 2-2 2-2 ambosvs Galatasaray: 0-1 0-1 en Konyaspor: 0-2 0-2 vs Alanyaspor: 5-0 5-0 at Beşiktaş: 0-3 0-3

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

BeşiktaşGençlerbirliği S.K.
1.9Goals scored per match1.2
1.1Goals conceded per match1.8
70%Matches with over 1.5 goals80%
55%Matches with over 2.5 goals60%
45%Both teams to score40%
40%Clean sheet20%
15%Matches without scoring40%
6.3Corners won per match4.8
1.9Yellow cards per match1.8

Beşiktaş: 20 matches · Gençlerbirliği S.K.: 10 matches (all competitions with data).

Beşiktaş at home · Gençlerbirliği S.K. away

Beşiktaş at home
9G1E0P
WDWWW
Gençlerbirliği S.K. away
1G0E3P
LLLWW

When do they score and concede?

Beşiktaş · goals by minute in 20 matches scored conceded
410-156516-305031-458546-606561-7510576-90
Gençlerbirliği S.K. · goals by minute in 10 matches scored conceded
140-151216-301231-454446-603261-752476-90

The first goal

Beşiktaş

Scores first in 15 of 20 matches and wins 12 of them.

Concedes first in 5 and avoids defeat in 1.

Gençlerbirliği S.K.

Scores first in 3 of 10 matches and wins 2 of them.

Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 3.

Players in form

Beşiktaş

Junior Olaitan · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Orkun Kökçü · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches

Wilfred Ndidi · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

Gençlerbirliği S.K.

T. Gouveia · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

F. Tongya · 1 gol, 2 assists in 5 matches

A. Traore · 0 goles, 2 assists in 3 matches

Head to head

8Beşiktaş to win
0Draws
2Gençlerbirliği S.K. to win

10 matches · 2.5 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-03-15Gençlerbirliği S.K. 0-2 BeşiktaşSüper Lig
2025-10-18Beşiktaş 1-2 Gençlerbirliği S.K.Süper Lig
2024-07-27Beşiktaş 2-0 Gençlerbirliği S.K.Friendlies Clubs
2021-02-15Gençlerbirliği S.K. 0-3 BeşiktaşSüper Lig
2020-10-04Beşiktaş 0-1 Gençlerbirliği S.K.Süper Lig
2020-07-25Gençlerbirliği S.K. 0-3 BeşiktaşSüper Lig

Standings

Süper Lig standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Galatasaray11+1228
2Trabzonspor11+1825
3Amed11+1323
4Beşiktaş11+1122
5Kasımpaşa11+620
6Fenerbahçe11+1919
7Kocaelispor11+419
8Başakşehir11+217
9Çorum FK11016
10Göztepe11+315
11Rizespor11-314
12Erzurumspor FK11-714
13Alanyaspor11-912
14Gençlerbirliği S.K.11-911
15Konyaspor11-88
16Gaziantep FK11-108
17Samsunspor11-157
18Eyüpspor11-273

More stats

Referee: A. Karaoglan

20 matches · 4.9 yellows and 0.20 reds per match · 0.50 penalties

Half-time

Beşiktaş: 2 days since last match · Gençlerbirliği S.K.: 6 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 20:30 UTC.

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