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Barracas Central vs Racing Club prediction

Argentina · Liga Profesional
Barracas Central badgeBarracas Central#9 · 21 ptsDWDWW
2 - 0Full time
Racing Club badgeRacing Club#8 · 21 ptsWLDLW

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Nicolas Orsini 43'⚽ Norberto Briasco 77'

Friday, November 6 · 13:00 (Peru time) · Estadio Claudio Chiqui Tapia · Referee: Dario Herrera

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Barracas Central or draw

70%
Full data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'+3🟨 Gonzalo EscuderoRacing Club
90'🟨 Ignacio Agustín RodríguezRacing Club
81'🔁 Sub: Matías Kranevitter · Leonel PérezRacing Club
77'⚽ Norberto BriascoBarracas Central
73'🔁 Sub: Matías Zaracho · Diego Ulises·OrtegozaRacing Club
69'🔁 Sub: Juan Espinola · Juan Pablo InsúaBarracas Central
69'🔁 Sub: Nicolas Orsini · Facundo BrueraBarracas Central
61'🔁 Sub: Tomás Porra · Norberto BriascoBarracas Central
61'🔁 Sub: Rodrigo Insua · Elías PereyraBarracas Central
60'🔁 Sub: Alejandro Joaquín Tello · Francisco FragaRacing Club
59'🟨 Rodrigo InsuaBarracas Central
59'🔁 Sub: Tomás Conechny · Adrián FernándezRacing Club
59'🔁 Sub: Elías David Torres · Lautaro DiazRacing Club
45'🔁 Sub: Dardo Miloc · Esteban RolónBarracas Central
43'⚽ Nicolas Orsini assist Rodrigo BogarinBarracas Central

Win probability minute by minute

Barracas CentralDrawRacing Club
At kick-off38%32%30%Full time100%0%0%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

38%Barracas Central to win@2.61
32%Draw@3.11
30%Racing Club to win@3.38
Over 1.5 goals65%
Over 2.5 goals37%
Over 3.5 goals19%
Both teams to score46%
Barracas Central or draw70%
Racing Club or draw62%
Barracas Central to score69%
Racing Club to score63%

Most likely scores

1-114%0-013%1-012%0-110%2-18%

Expected goals per the model: Barracas Central 1.19 · Racing Club 1.01

How many goals will there be?

11%0 goals24%1 goals27%2 goals20%3 goals11%4 goals7%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.20.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 8.4 in total · Barracas Central 4.1 · Racing Club 4.3

45%Over 8.5@2.23
35%Over 9.5@2.88
26%Over 10.5@3.84
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 5.9 · el árbitro Dario Herrera saca 6.2 por partido

80%Over 3.5@1.25
66%Over 4.5@1.50
52%Over 5.5@1.93

⏱️ First half

50% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.09

66%Goal in the 1st half@1.51
30%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@3.36
67%Goal in the 2st half@1.49

⚽ Goals per team

33%Barracas Central +1.5@3.00
27%Racing Club +1.5@3.73
24%Barracas Central to win to nil@4.22

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

2.48Expected goals (xG)0.58
4Shots on target2
2Saves2
1Offsides1
17Shots10
1Yellow cards2
1Corners8
8Fouls11
0Red cards0
44Possession %56

Goals in the last 10 matches

Barracas Central · last 10 matches
3/10+2.5 goals5/10both teams to score2.1goals per match
2.5en Tigre: 0-0 0-0 vs Argentinos JRS: 0-0 0-0 en Banfield: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Independ. Rivadavia: 0-1 0-1 en Atlético Tucumán: 3-2 3-2 ambosvs Huracan: 2-0 2-0 en Sarmiento Junín: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto: 2-1 2-1 ambosen Belgrano Córdoba: 2-2 2-2 ambosvs Racing Club: 2-0 2-0

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Racing Club · last 10 matches
6/10+2.5 goals7/10both teams to score2.8goals per match
2.5vs Atlético Tucumán: 1-2 1-2 ambosen Huracan: 1-2 1-2 ambosvs Sarmiento Junín: 3-1 3-1 ambosvs Boca Juniors: 2-3 2-3 ambosen Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto: 2-1 2-1 ambosvs Belgrano Córdoba: 0-2 0-2 vs Independiente: 1-1 1-1 ambosen River Plate: 0-1 0-1 vs Aldosivi: 2-1 2-1 ambosat Barracas Central: 0-2 0-2

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

Barracas CentralRacing Club
0.9Goals scored per match1.2
1.0Goals conceded per match1.2
62%Matches with over 1.5 goals79%
32%Matches with over 2.5 goals51%
46%Both teams to score64%
32%Clean sheet23%
41%Matches without scoring23%
4.7Corners won per match4.9
2.6Yellow cards per match2.6

Barracas Central: 37 matches · Racing Club: 39 matches (all competitions with data).

Barracas Central at home · Racing Club away

Barracas Central at home
6G5E7P
WWLDL
Racing Club away
6G5E9P
LWLLL

When do they score and concede?

Barracas Central · goals by minute in 22 matches scored conceded
230-153216-302831-451446-605061-756776-90
Racing Club · goals by minute in 24 matches scored conceded
420-157816-304531-455346-603561-753876-90

The first goal

Barracas Central

Scores first in 7 of 19 matches and wins 4 of them.

Concedes first in 12 and avoids defeat in 6.

Racing Club

Scores first in 11 of 22 matches and wins 5 of them.

Concedes first in 11 and avoids defeat in 3.

Players in form

Barracas Central

N. Briasco · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches

Enzo Taborda · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

N. Orsini · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Racing Club

Adrián Martínez · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Tomás Conechny · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

M. Zaracho · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

Head to head

1Barracas Central to win
3Draws
2Racing Club to win

6 matches · 1.8 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-04-25Racing Club 1-1 Barracas CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
2025-07-12Racing Club 0-1 Barracas CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
2025-01-24Barracas Central 1-3 Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina
2024-11-06Barracas Central 0-2 Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina
2023-06-22Racing Club 1-1 Barracas CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
2022-08-06Barracas Central 0-0 Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina

Standings

Liga Profesional standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Independ. Rivadavia16+1434
2River Plate16+1029
3Argentinos JRS16+429
4Rosario Central16+428
5Belgrano Córdoba16+426
6Gimnasia L.P.16026
7Huracan16+422
8Racing Club16+221
9Barracas Central16021
10Tigre16+320
11Sarmiento Junín16-719
12Banfield16-218
13Atlético Tucumán16-514
14Aldosivi16-138
15Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto16-195

More stats

Referee: Dario Herrera

57 matches · 5.5 yellows and 0.69 reds per match · 0.08 penalties

Half-time

Barracas Central: 4 days since last match · Racing Club: 6 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-06 20:30 UTC.

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