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Barcelona SC vs LDU de Quito prediction

Ecuador · Liga Pro

Barcelona SC#6 · 44 ptsLWDLD

1 - 1Full time

LDU de Quito#5 · 46 ptsLLDWW

29%33%38%

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Sebastián González 17'🟥 Bryan Carabali 61'🟥 Washington Nahir Olvera Zambrano 76'

Sunday, November 8 · 16:30 (Peru time) · Estadio Monumental Isidro Romero Carbo · Referee: Gabriel Ismael Gonzalez Cordero

🎯 Model pick

LDU de Quito to score

72%

Full data

⚡ Summary

38%LDU de Quito to win@2.64 42%Over 2.5 goals@2.37 53%Both teams to score@1.90 49%Corners +9.5 (9.7)@2.0547%Cards +4.5 (4.6)@2.131-1Most likely score · 15%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'+4📺 Richard MinaLDU de Quito

90'+2🟨 Gian Franco AllalaLDU de Quito

82'🟨 Exon Gustavo VallecillaBarcelona SC

81'🔁 Sub: Tomás Rodríguez · Darío BenedettoBarcelona SC

81'🔁 Sub: Jefferson Intriago · Jhonny QuinonezBarcelona SC

80'🟨 Tomás RodríguezBarcelona SC

76'🟥 Washington Nahir Olvera ZambranoLDU de Quito

75'🔁 Sub: Lucas Rodriguez · DeyversonLDU de Quito

69'🔁 Sub: Johan Garcia · Sergio DíazBarcelona SC

68'🔁 Sub: Damián Díaz · Luis CanoBarcelona SC

65'🔁 Sub: Jefferson Wila · Byron CastilloBarcelona SC

61'🟥 Bryan CarabaliBarcelona SC

59'🟨 Washington Nahir Olvera ZambranoLDU de Quito

58'🟨 Matias Gonzalo LugoBarcelona SC

56'🔁 Sub: Sebastián González · Fernando CornejoLDU de Quito

50'🟨 Damián DíazBarcelona SC

45'🔁 Sub: Michael Estrada · Janner CorozoLDU de Quito

45'🟨 Michael EstradaLDU de Quito

45'🔁 Sub: Yerlin Quinonez · Washington Nahir Olvera ZambranoLDU de Quito

45'🔁 Sub: Juan rodriguez · Alexander AlvaradoLDU de Quito

39'🟨 Bryan CarabaliBarcelona SC

36'🟨 Yerlin QuinonezLDU de Quito

17'⚽ Sebastián González assist Lucas RodriguezLDU de Quito

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

29%Barcelona SC to win@3.48

33%Draw@2.99

38%LDU de Quito to win@2.64

Over 1.5 goals69%

Over 2.5 goals42%

Over 3.5 goals23%

Both teams to score53%

Barcelona SC or draw62%

LDU de Quito or draw71%

Barcelona SC to score67%

LDU de Quito to score72%

Most likely scores

1-115%0-012%0-110%1-08%1-28%

Expected goals per the model: Barcelona SC 1.10 · LDU de Quito 1.29

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.39.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 9.7 in total · Barcelona SC 4.7 · LDU de Quito 5.0

59%Over 8.5@1.69

49%Over 9.5@2.05

39%Over 10.5@2.57

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 4.6 · el árbitro Gabriel Ismael Gonzalez Cordero saca 4.2 por partido

64%Over 3.5@1.57

47%Over 4.5@2.13

32%Over 5.5@3.10

⏱️ First half

38% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 0.92

60%Goal in the 1st half@1.66

23%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@4.27

77%Goal in the 2st half@1.30

⚽ Goals per team

30%Barcelona SC +1.5@3.32

37%LDU de Quito +1.5@2.71

16%Barcelona SC to win to nil@6.23

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

0.16Expected goals (xG)1.17

1Shots on target3

2Saves1

1Offsides7

1Red cards1

3Shots8

4Yellow cards3

5Corners3

22Fouls25

46Possession %54

Goals in the last 10 matches

Barcelona SC · last 10 matches

5/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score2.6goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

LDU de Quito · last 10 matches

5/10+2.5 goals8/10both teams to score2.7goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

Barcelona SCLDU de Quito

1.0Goals scored per match1.1

1.0Goals conceded per match0.9

66%Matches with over 1.5 goals64%

36%Matches with over 2.5 goals29%

43%Both teams to score40%

34%Clean sheet33%

32%Matches without scoring36%

4.7Corners won per match5.6

2.4Yellow cards per match2.3

Barcelona SC: 44 matches · LDU de Quito: 45 matches (all competitions with data).

Barcelona SC at home · LDU de Quito away

Barcelona SC at home

10G6E5P

DDWWL

LDU de Quito away

8G4E10P

LDLWL

When do they score and concede?

Barcelona SC · goals by minute in 44 matches scored conceded

LDU de Quito · goals by minute in 45 matches scored conceded

The first goal

Barcelona SC

Scores first in 17 of 40 matches and wins 12 of them.

Concedes first in 23 and avoids defeat in 9.

LDU de Quito

Scores first in 18 of 41 matches and wins 14 of them.

Concedes first in 23 and avoids defeat in 10.

Players in form

Barcelona SC

Damián Díaz · 1 gol, 2 assists in 5 matches

Luis Cano · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches

Erick Mendoza · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

LDU de Quito

Fernando Cornejo · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

Yerlin Quinonez · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

Deyverson · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

Head to head

3Barcelona SC to win

1Draws

6LDU de Quito to win

10 matches · 2.4 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-10-11	LDU de Quito 2-1 Barcelona SC	Liga Pro
2026-07-27	Barcelona SC 0-1 LDU de Quito	Liga Pro
2026-04-04	LDU de Quito 0-2 Barcelona SC	Liga Pro
2025-11-23	Barcelona SC 2-2 LDU de Quito	Liga Pro
2025-10-18	LDU de Quito 3-0 Barcelona SC	Liga Pro
2025-07-25	Barcelona SC 0-1 LDU de Quito	Liga Pro

Standings

Liga Pro standings
#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	30	+40	74
2	Universidad Catolica	30	+24	51
3	Macara	30	+8	51
4	Aucas	30	+5	50
5	LDU de Quito	30	+7	46
6	Barcelona SC	30	+7	44
7	Libertad	30	-1	41
8	Leones del Norte	30	-1	39
9	Guayaquil City FC	30	-3	39
10	Emelec	30	-9	39
11	Mushuc Runa SC	30	-3	38
12	Deportivo Cuenca	30	-12	36
13	Orense SC	30	-11	33
14	Tecnico Universitario	30	-14	32
15	Delfin SC	30	-12	28
16	Manta FC	30	-25	21

More stats

Referee: Gabriel Ismael Gonzalez Cordero

27 matches · 3.9 yellows and 0.33 reds per match · 0.00 penalties

Half-time

Barcelona SC: 8 days since last match · LDU de Quito: 7 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-09 00:00 UTC.