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Barbados vs Guadeloupe prediction
International · Nations League Concacaf
Barbados
GuadeloupeProbabilidad de cada resultado según el modelo
Thursday, November 12 · 14:00 (Peru time) · Stade Roger Zami
Over 1.5 goals
79%- 2+ goals in 4 of 4 Barbados matches
- Also in 3 of 4 Guadeloupe matches
- Head to head: 2.7 goals per match
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
📝 Preview
Barbados and Guadeloupe meet in the Nations League Concacaf.
The PickMania model gives Barbados a 36% chance of winning, 31% for the draw and 34% for Guadeloupe.
3.0 total goals are expected (1.5 from Barbados and 1.5 from Guadeloupe): over 2.5 goals has a 55% chance and both teams to score 61%.
The most likely score is 1-1.
Probabilities
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Barbados 1.51 · Guadeloupe 1.47
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.98.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 8.4 in total · Barbados 4.3 · Guadeloupe 4.1
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 5.0
⏱️ First half
36% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.07
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Barbados: 4 matches · Guadeloupe: 4 matches (all competitions with data).
Barbados at home · Guadeloupe away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 1 of 4 matches and wins 1 of them.
Concedes first in 3 and avoids defeat in 3.
Scores first in 1 of 4 matches and wins 0 of them.
Concedes first in 3 and avoids defeat in 1.
Players in form
T. Gale · 6 goles, 2 assists in 4 matches
N. Reid-Stephen · 3 goles, 3 assists in 4 matches
A. Applewhaite · 1 gol, 2 assists in 4 matches
D. Boisne · 3 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches
A. Vulgaire · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches
A. Plumain · 0 goles, 1 assists in 4 matches
Head to head
3 matches · 2.7 goals per match
| 2026-09-28 | Guadeloupe 2-2 Barbados | CONCACAF Nations League |
| 2022-06-12 | Guadeloupe 2-1 Barbados | CONCACAF Nations League |
| 2022-06-09 | Barbados 0-1 Guadeloupe | CONCACAF Nations League |
More stats
Barbados: 37 days since last match · Guadeloupe: 38 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-11 08:47 UTC.