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Bangor vs Crusaders FC prediction

Northern Ireland · Premiership
Bangor badgeBangor#11 · 12 ptsWLDLL
1 - 0Full time
Crusaders FC badgeCrusaders FC#8 · 18 ptsWLLLL

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ I. Hughes 3'

Saturday, November 7 · 10:00 (Peru time) · Clandeboye Park

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Bangor to score

80%
Full data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'+4🟨 J. BoydBangor
90'🟨 Crusaders FC
77'🔁 Sub: L. Harrison · J. BoydBangor
77'🔁 Sub: J. Williamson · M. MulhollandCrusaders FC
70'🟨 O. WardellCrusaders FC
68'🟨 L. AndersonCrusaders FC
63'🔁 Sub: J. Doherty · O. McCartCrusaders FC
62'🔁 Sub: O. Devlin · L. HassinBangor
58'🟨 D. RocksCrusaders FC
54'🔁 Sub: H. Jewitt-White · J. DohertyCrusaders FC
48'🟨 O. DevlinBangor
31'🟨 H. Jewitt-WhiteCrusaders FC
3'⚽ I. HughesBangor

Win probability minute by minute

BangorDrawCrusaders FC
At kick-off43%27%30%Full time100%0%0%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

43%Bangor to win@2.33
27%Draw@3.76
30%Crusaders FC to win@3.29
Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Over 3.5 goals35%
Both teams to score59%
Bangor or draw70%
Crusaders FC or draw57%
Bangor to score80%
Crusaders FC to score73%

Most likely scores

1-112%2-19%1-08%1-27%0-07%

Expected goals per the model: Bangor 1.63 · Crusaders FC 1.34

How many goals will there be?

5%0 goals15%1 goals23%2 goals22%3 goals17%4 goals18%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.97.

Corners, cards and first half

⏱️ First half

40% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.20

70%Goal in the 1st half@1.43
34%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.96
83%Goal in the 2st half@1.21

⚽ Goals per team

48%Bangor +1.5@2.06
39%Crusaders FC +1.5@2.58
20%Bangor to win to nil@4.99

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Goals in the last 10 matches

Bangor · last 10 matches
5/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score2.5goals per match
2.5en Glentoran: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Limavady United: 1-3 1-3 ambosvs Portadown: 3-1 3-1 ambosat Crusaders FC: 1-2 1-2 ambosvs Coleraine FC: 2-3 2-3 ambosen Linfield: 0-2 0-2 vs Dungannon Swifts: 0-0 0-0 vs Larne: 1-2 1-2 ambosen Ballymena United: 1-0 1-0 vs Crusaders FC: 1-0 1-0

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Crusaders FC · last 10 matches
8/10+2.5 goals4/10both teams to score3.1goals per match
2.5vs Limavady United: 1-2 1-2 ambosvs Dungannon Swifts: 3-0 3-0 en Linfield: 0-1 0-1 vs Bangor: 2-1 2-1 ambosen Carrick Rangers: 0-4 0-4 vs Larne: 0-3 0-3 en Ballymena United: 1-2 1-2 ambosvs Coleraine FC: 0-5 0-5 en Limavady United: 4-1 4-1 ambosat Bangor: 0-1 0-1

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

BangorCrusaders FC
0.9Goals scored per match1.4
1.9Goals conceded per match2.1
79%Matches with over 1.5 goals93%
57%Matches with over 2.5 goals93%
50%Both teams to score64%
14%Clean sheet7%
43%Matches without scoring29%

Bangor: 14 matches · Crusaders FC: 14 matches (all competitions with data).

Bangor at home · Crusaders FC away

Bangor at home
1G2E4P
LDLWD
Crusaders FC away
2G0E5P
WLLLL

When do they score and concede?

Bangor · goals by minute in 14 matches scored conceded
150-152416-301331-454246-602661-752676-90
Crusaders FC · goals by minute in 14 matches scored conceded
270-152316-303231-452946-602461-759476-90

The first goal

Bangor

Scores first in 5 of 13 matches and wins 2 of them.

Concedes first in 8 and avoids defeat in 1.

Crusaders FC

Scores first in 6 of 14 matches and wins 5 of them.

Concedes first in 8 and avoids defeat in 1.

Players in form

Bangor

B. Arthurs · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

T. Mulvenna · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Crusaders FC

E. Dunlop · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

J. Blaney · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

O. Wardell · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

Head to head

1Bangor to win
2Draws
4Crusaders FC to win

7 matches · 3.3 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-09-26Crusaders FC 2-1 BangorPremiership
2026-04-07Crusaders FC 1-1 BangorPremiership
2026-02-14Crusaders FC 2-2 BangorPremiership
2025-10-18Bangor 2-1 Crusaders FCPremiership
2025-08-19Bangor 1-3 Crusaders FCPremiership
2023-02-03Bangor 1-2 Crusaders FCIrish Cup

Standings

Premiership standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Linfield15+1336
2Coleraine FC15+1635
3Larne13+1026
4Glentoran14+622
5Cliftonville FC15+821
6Carrick Rangers15-419
7Dungannon Swifts14-418
8Crusaders FC15-1018
9Ballymena United13+116
10Limavady United15-1014
11Bangor15-1312
12Portadown15-139

More stats

Half-time

Bangor: 7 days since last match · Crusaders FC: 7 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 17:40 UTC.

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