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Banfield vs Atlético Tucumán prediction

Argentina · Liga Profesional
Banfield badgeBanfield#12 · 18 ptsLDLWD
2 - 2Full time
Atlético Tucumán badgeAtlético Tucumán#13 · 14 ptsLWLDL

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Juan Rodriguez 15'⚽ Juan Rodriguez 18'⚽ Alexander Machado 58'⚽ Lautaro Martín Gómez 78'

Friday, November 6 · 20:00 (Peru time) · Estadio Florencio Sola · Referee: Maximiliano Macheroni

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Banfield or draw

74%
Full data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'🔁 Sub: Ramiro Ruiz Rodriguez · Manuel BrondoAtlético Tucumán
89'🔁 Sub: Lautaro Godoy · Franco NicolaAtlético Tucumán
78'⚽ Lautaro Martín GómezBanfield
68'🔁 Sub: Facundo Pimienta · Ezequiel HamAtlético Tucumán
67'🔁 Sub: Iván Tesuri · Gabriel CompagnucciAtlético Tucumán
66'🔁 Sub: Santiago Daniele · Nehuén PazBanfield
61'🟨 Santiago DanieleBanfield
60'🔁 Sub: Federico Medina · Lisandro Geronimo PiñeroBanfield
58'⚽ Alexander Machado assist Tomas AdoryanBanfield
45'🔁 Sub: Brandon Oviedo · Lautaro VillegasBanfield
45'🔁 Sub: Juan Luis Alfaro · Alexander MachadoBanfield
45'🔁 Sub: David Zalazar · Santiago López GarcíaBanfield
43'🟨 Juan InfanteAtlético Tucumán
43'🟨 Tomas AdoryanBanfield
18'⚽ Juan Rodriguez assist Lautaro GodoyAtlético Tucumán
15'⚽ Juan Rodriguez assist Lautaro GodoyAtlético Tucumán
3'📺 David ZalazarBanfield

Win probability minute by minute

BanfieldDrawAtlético Tucumán
At kick-off41%34%26%Full time0%100%0%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽⚽⚽⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

41%Banfield to win@2.47
34%Draw@2.96
26%Atlético Tucumán to win@3.90
Over 1.5 goals68%
Over 2.5 goals40%
Over 3.5 goals22%
Both teams to score50%
Banfield or draw74%
Atlético Tucumán or draw59%
Banfield to score73%
Atlético Tucumán to score63%

Most likely scores

1-115%0-013%1-011%0-18%2-18%

Expected goals per the model: Banfield 1.31 · Atlético Tucumán 1.01

How many goals will there be?

10%0 goals23%1 goals26%2 goals20%3 goals12%4 goals9%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.32.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 9.1 in total · Banfield 4.3 · Atlético Tucumán 4.8

52%Over 8.5@1.92
42%Over 9.5@2.40
32%Over 10.5@3.10
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 4.3

58%Over 3.5@1.71
42%Over 4.5@2.41
27%Over 5.5@3.65

⏱️ First half

37% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 0.85

57%Goal in the 1st half@1.74
21%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@4.76
77%Goal in the 2st half@1.30

⚽ Goals per team

38%Banfield +1.5@2.65
27%Atlético Tucumán +1.5@3.73
24%Banfield to win to nil@4.16

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

0.64Expected goals (xG)0.43
4Shots on target4
2Saves2
4Offsides0
14Shots8
2Yellow cards1
6Corners4
9Fouls8
0Red cards0
60Possession %40

Goals in the last 10 matches

Banfield · last 10 matches
5/10+2.5 goals9/10both teams to score2.8goals per match
2.5en Aldosivi: 1-3 1-3 ambosen Deportivo Riestra: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Barracas Central: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Gimnasia L.P.: 2-2 2-2 ambosvs Rosario Central: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Tigre: 2-1 2-1 ambosvs Argentinos JRS: 0-1 0-1 vs Lanus: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Independ. Rivadavia: 1-3 1-3 ambosvs Atlético Tucumán: 2-2 2-2 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Atlético Tucumán · last 10 matches
5/10+2.5 goals8/10both teams to score2.8goals per match
2.5vs River Plate: 1-2 1-2 ambosen Independ. Rivadavia: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Aldosivi: 0-1 0-1 vs Barracas Central: 2-3 2-3 ambosen Gimnasia L.P.: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Rosario Central: 2-3 2-3 ambosen Tigre: 1-0 1-0 vs Platense: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Argentinos JRS: 1-2 1-2 ambosat Banfield: 2-2 2-2 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

BanfieldAtlético Tucumán
1.1Goals scored per match0.9
1.4Goals conceded per match1.1
71%Matches with over 1.5 goals61%
45%Matches with over 2.5 goals45%
58%Both teams to score52%
19%Clean sheet39%
29%Matches without scoring29%
3.8Corners won per match4.8
1.9Yellow cards per match2.1

Banfield: 31 matches · Atlético Tucumán: 31 matches (all competitions with data).

Banfield at home · Atlético Tucumán away

Banfield at home
5G5E5P
DLDDL
Atlético Tucumán away
5G2E8P
WDLWW

When do they score and concede?

Banfield · goals by minute in 18 matches scored conceded
330-152216-304531-453446-601761-756476-90
Atlético Tucumán · goals by minute in 18 matches scored conceded
020-152216-303131-451246-602461-758676-90

The first goal

Banfield

Scores first in 8 of 16 matches and wins 4 of them.

Concedes first in 8 and avoids defeat in 2.

Atlético Tucumán

Scores first in 8 of 14 matches and wins 5 of them.

Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 0.

Players in form

Banfield

Adrián Balboa · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

T. Adoryan · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

David Zalazar · 0 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches

Atlético Tucumán

Ramiro Ruiz Rodriguez · 2 goles, 2 assists in 4 matches

Pedro Alexis Canelo · 2 goles, 0 assists in 3 matches

M. Villa · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches

Head to head

3Banfield to win
5Draws
2Atlético Tucumán to win

10 matches · 1.7 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-04-26Atlético Tucumán 1-1 BanfieldLiga Profesional Argentina
2024-07-20Banfield 1-1 Atlético TucumánLiga Profesional Argentina
2024-03-07Atlético Tucumán 0-3 BanfieldCopa de la Liga Profesional
2023-10-16Banfield 0-0 Atlético TucumánCopa de la Liga Profesional
2023-03-05Atlético Tucumán 1-0 BanfieldLiga Profesional Argentina
2022-09-06Atlético Tucumán 0-0 BanfieldLiga Profesional Argentina

Standings

Liga Profesional standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Independ. Rivadavia16+1434
2River Plate16+1029
3Argentinos JRS16+429
4Rosario Central16+428
5Belgrano Córdoba16+426
6Gimnasia L.P.16026
7Huracan16+422
8Racing Club16+221
9Barracas Central16021
10Tigre16+320
11Sarmiento Junín16-719
12Banfield16-218
13Atlético Tucumán16-514
14Aldosivi16-138
15Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto16-195

More stats

Half-time

Banfield: 4 days since last match · Atlético Tucumán: 4 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 03:30 UTC.

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