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Ballymena United vs Linfield prediction
Northern Ireland · Premiership
Ballymena United
LinfieldProbabilidad de cada resultado según el modelo
Friday, November 13 · 14:45 (Peru time) · Ballymena Showgrounds
Linfield to score
83%- Linfield scored in 15 of 17 matches this season
- Linfield average 1.5 goals per match
- Ballymena United concede 1.3 goals per match
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
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Ballymena United and Linfield meet in the Premiership.
The PickMania model gives Ballymena United a 19% chance of winning, 24% for the draw and 57% for Linfield.
2.8 total goals are expected (0.9 from Ballymena United and 1.8 from Linfield): over 2.5 goals has a 52% chance and both teams to score 53%.
The most likely score is 0-1.
Probabilities
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Ballymena United 0.95 · Linfield 1.81
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.76.
Corners, cards and first half
⏱️ First half
40% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.11
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Ballymena United: 13 matches · Linfield: 17 matches (all competitions with data).
Ballymena United at home · Linfield away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 9 of 13 matches and wins 3 of them.
Concedes first in 4 and avoids defeat in 1.
Scores first in 13 of 17 matches and wins 9 of them.
Concedes first in 4 and avoids defeat in 2.
Players in form
J. Archer · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches
C. McKee · 1 gol, 0 assists in 2 matches
F. Thorndike · 1 gol, 0 assists in 2 matches
R. Brennan · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
M. Fitzpatrick · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
E. McGee · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 2.3 goals per match
| 2026-08-08 | Linfield 0-3 Ballymena United | Premiership |
| 2026-01-31 | Linfield 2-1 Ballymena United | Premiership |
| 2026-01-28 | Linfield 1-0 Ballymena United | League Cup |
| 2025-10-25 | Linfield 2-1 Ballymena United | Premiership |
| 2025-09-16 | Ballymena United 1-0 Linfield | Premiership |
| 2025-02-07 | Ballymena United 2-2 Linfield | Premiership |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Linfield | 15 | +13 | 36 |
| 2 | Coleraine FC | 15 | +16 | 35 |
| 3 | Larne | 13 | +10 | 26 |
| 4 | Glentoran | 14 | +6 | 22 |
| 5 | Cliftonville FC | 15 | +8 | 21 |
| 6 | Carrick Rangers | 15 | -4 | 19 |
| 7 | Dungannon Swifts | 14 | -4 | 18 |
| 8 | Crusaders FC | 15 | -10 | 18 |
| 9 | Ballymena United | 13 | +1 | 16 |
| 10 | Limavady United | 15 | -10 | 14 |
| 11 | Bangor | 15 | -13 | 12 |
| 12 | Portadown | 15 | -13 | 9 |
More stats
Ballymena United: 6 days since last match · Linfield: 6 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-11 09:47 UTC.