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AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus prediction
International · UEFA Europa League
AZ Alkmaar
JuventusPre-match probabilities
Thursday, November 5 · 15:00 (Peru time) · AFAS Stadion（Alkmaar） · Referee: Damian Sylwestrzak
Juventus to score
78%- Juventus scored in 11 of 13 matches this season
- Juventus average 1.7 goals per match
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: AZ Alkmaar 1.25 · Juventus 1.60
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.85.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 11.0 in total · AZ Alkmaar 5.3 · Juventus 5.8
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 3.7 · el árbitro Damian Sylwestrzak saca 4.4 por partido
⏱️ First half
42% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.19
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
AZ Alkmaar: 14 matches · Juventus: 13 matches (all competitions with data).
AZ Alkmaar at home · Juventus away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 9 of 14 matches and wins 8 of them.
Concedes first in 5 and avoids defeat in 1.
Scores first in 7 of 13 matches and wins 6 of them.
Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 3.
Players in form
Mexx Meerdink · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Weslley Pinto Batista · 2 goles, 1 assists in 4 matches
Valdemar Byskov Andreasen · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches
Douglas Luiz · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches
Nick Woltemade · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches
Zeki Çelik · 1 gol, 0 assists in 2 matches
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica | 4 | +10 | 12 |
| 2 | Bournemouth | 4 | +9 | 12 |
| 3 | Ferencvarosi TC | 4 | +8 | 12 |
| 4 | Unión St. Gilloise | 4 | +8 | 10 |
| 5 | Juventus | 4 | +7 | 10 |
| 6 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 4 | +3 | 10 |
| 7 | Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | +7 | 9 |
| 8 | Beşiktaş | 4 | +3 | 7 |
| 9 | Dinamo Zagreb | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 | Levski Sofia | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 | Sunderland | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 | NEC Nijmegen | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Lyon | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | AZ Alkmaar | 4 | +3 | 6 |
| 15 | Anderlecht | 4 | +3 | 6 |
| 16 | OFI | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 17 | Rennes | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 18 | Omonia Nicosia | 4 | -1 | 6 |
| 19 | Torreense | 4 | -2 | 6 |
| 20 | Real Sociedad | 4 | +5 | 5 |
| 21 | Crystal Palace | 4 | +3 | 5 |
| 22 | Sparta Praha | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 23 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 24 | Sturm Graz | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 25 | Celje | 4 | -4 | 4 |
| 26 | Red Bull Salzburg | 4 | -5 | 4 |
| 27 | Celta Vigo | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 28 | AC Milan | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| 29 | Jagiellonia | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| 30 | Plzen | 4 | -4 | 3 |
| 31 | Marseille | 4 | -4 | 3 |
| 32 | Celtic | 4 | -5 | 3 |
| 33 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 4 | -7 | 1 |
| 34 | Lillestrom | 4 | -8 | 1 |
| 35 | Lech Poznan | 4 | -10 | 1 |
| 36 | Ararat-Armenia | 4 | -10 | 0 |
More stats
20 matches · 4.3 yellows and 0.11 reds per match · 0.44 penalties
AZ Alkmaar: 5 days since last match · Juventus: 4 days
J. Hornkamp, S. Resink, K. Smit, H. Verhulst, J. Zoet
Z. Celik, F. Conceicao, N. Gonzalez, K. Grabara, M. Locatelli, W. McKennie, A. Milik, D. Rugani, K. Thuram, K. Yildiz, E. Zhegrova
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-06 00:20 UTC.