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Austria vs Ireland prediction
International · UEFA Nations LeagueProbability of each result according to the model
Saturday, November 14 · 14:45 (Peru time)
Austria to score
84%- Austria scored in 7 of 7 matches this season
- Austria average 2.3 goals per match
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
📝 Preview
Austria and Ireland meet in the UEFA Nations League.
The PickMania model gives Austria a 60% chance of winning, 23% for the draw and 17% for Ireland.
2.9 total goals are expected (1.9 from Austria and 0.9 from Ireland): over 2.5 goals has a 53% chance and both teams to score 51%.
The most likely score is 1-0.
Probabilities
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Austria 1.93 · Ireland 0.93
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.86.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 7.1 in total · Austria 3.2 · Ireland 3.9
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 2.6
⏱️ First half
36% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.03
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Austria: 7 matches · Ireland: 8 matches (all competitions with data).
Austria at home · Ireland away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 5 of 7 matches and wins 5 of them.
Concedes first in 2 and avoids defeat in 2.
Scores first in 5 of 7 matches and wins 3 of them.
Concedes first in 2 and avoids defeat in 1.
Players in form
Christoph Lang · 1 gol, 1 assists in 2 matches
Saša Kalajdžić · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches
R. Schmid · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches
T. Parrott · 4 goals, 0 assists in 5 matches
Adam Idah · 1 gol, 1 assists in 4 matches
J. Moylan · 1 gol, 1 assists in 4 matches
Head to head
3 matches · 2.3 goals per match
| Fecha | Local | Visitante | Competition | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-10-2026 | Ireland  | 2-2 |  Austria | UEFA Nations League |
| 11-06-2017 | Ireland | 1-1 | Austria | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| 12-11-2016 | Austria | 0-1 | Ireland | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
Standings · League B - Group C
Austria es 1.º con 8 pts y Irlanda 3.º con 5: 3 puntos de diferencia.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austria | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | +4 | 8 | WWDD |
| 2 |  Kosovo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 5 | WLDD |
| 3 | Ireland | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | +2 | 5 | LWDD |
| 4 |  Israel | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 2 | LLDD |
Resaltados: los dos equipos de este partido · G/E/P = ganados, empatados, perdidos · Form: últimos 5 partidos, del más antiguo al más reciente.
More stats
Austria: 41 days since last match · Ireland: 41 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-12 01:47 UTC.