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Aurora vs Universitario de Vinto prediction
Bolivia · Primera División
Aurora
Universitario de VintoPre-match probabilities
Monday, November 9 · 19:30 (Peru time) · Felix Capriles
Over 1.5 goals
82%- 2+ goals in 20 of 24 Aurora matches
- Also in 22 of 24 Universitario de Vinto matches
- Head to head: 3.1 goals per match
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Aurora 1.94 · Universitario de Vinto 1.21
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.15.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 9.1 in total · Aurora 4.5 · Universitario de Vinto 4.6
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 6.5
⏱️ First half
50% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.58
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Aurora: 24 matches · Universitario de Vinto: 24 matches (all competitions with data).
Aurora at home · Universitario de Vinto away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 9 of 22 matches and wins 7 of them.
Concedes first in 13 and avoids defeat in 8.
Scores first in 7 of 23 matches and wins 4 of them.
Concedes first in 16 and avoids defeat in 3.
Players in form
A. Terrazas · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches
R. Ramallo · 1 gol, 1 assists in 4 matches
Henry Vaca · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
O. Blanco · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches
H. Rodriguez · 1 gol, 1 assists in 3 matches
Álvaro Cuestas Salazar · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 3.1 goals per match
| 2026-09-19 | Aurora 4-2 Universitario de Vinto | Copa de la División Profesional |
| 2026-09-01 | Universitario de Vinto 1-1 Aurora | Copa de la División Profesional |
| 2026-06-02 | Universitario de Vinto 1-2 Aurora | Primera División |
| 2026-02-07 | Aurora 2-1 Universitario de Vinto | Torneo Amistoso de Verano |
| 2026-01-31 | Universitario de Vinto 2-2 Aurora | Torneo Amistoso de Verano |
| 2025-12-08 | Aurora 2-0 Universitario de Vinto | Primera División |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolívar | 25 | +37 | 60 |
| 2 | Always Ready | 25 | +42 | 57 |
| 3 | The Strongest | 25 | +17 | 48 |
| 4 | Oriente Petrolero | 25 | +12 | 41 |
| 5 | Real Potosí | 25 | +14 | 40 |
| 6 | Aurora | 25 | +4 | 36 |
| 7 | Nacional Potosí | 25 | +4 | 33 |
| 8 | Guabirá | 25 | -10 | 33 |
| 9 | Blooming | 25 | +6 | 31 |
| 10 | Real Oruro | 25 | -17 | 31 |
| 11 | Independiente Petrolero | 25 | -10 | 30 |
| 12 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 25 | -22 | 27 |
| 13 | Real Tomayapo | 25 | -23 | 23 |
| 14 | Universitario de Vinto | 25 | -17 | 22 |
| 15 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | 25 | -17 | 20 |
| 16 | ABB | 25 | -20 | 20 |
More stats
Aurora: 10 days since last match · Universitario de Vinto: 8 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-10 03:00 UTC.