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Atlético Torque vs Racing Montevideo prediction
Uruguay · Primera División
Atlético Torque
Racing MontevideoProbabilidad de cada resultado según el modelo
Friday, November 13 · 15:00 (Peru time) · Estadio Centenario
Atlético Torque to score
80%- Atlético Torque scored in 40 of 48 matches this season
- Atlético Torque average 1.6 goals per match
- Rivero is on fire: 3 goals in his last 5 matches
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
📝 Preview
Atlético Torque and Racing Montevideo meet in the Primera División.
The PickMania model gives Atlético Torque a 50% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 23% for Racing Montevideo.
2.7 total goals are expected (1.6 from Atlético Torque and 1.0 from Racing Montevideo): over 2.5 goals has a 49% chance and both teams to score 51%.
The most likely score is 1-1.
Probabilities
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Atlético Torque 1.63 · Racing Montevideo 1.04
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.67.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 8.9 in total · Atlético Torque 4.1 · Racing Montevideo 4.8
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 4.4
⏱️ First half
48% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.29
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Atlético Torque: 48 matches · Racing Montevideo: 36 matches (all competitions with data).
Atlético Torque at home · Racing Montevideo away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 29 of 47 matches and wins 23 of them.
Concedes first in 18 and avoids defeat in 10.
Scores first in 23 of 32 matches and wins 15 of them.
Concedes first in 9 and avoids defeat in 1.
Players in form
Alexander Nahuel da Silva Rivero · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Kevin Isaias·Silva · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches
Luka Andrade · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
Sebastian Da Silva · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
tomas habib · 2 goles, 0 assists in 3 matches
S. Da Silva · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches
Head to head
8 matches · 2.5 goals per match
| 2026-05-03 | Racing Montevideo 1-1 Atlético Torque | Primera División |
| 2025-08-24 | Atlético Torque 4-0 Racing Montevideo | Primera División - Clausura |
| 2025-06-29 | Racing Montevideo 1-1 Atlético Torque | Primera División - Apertura |
| 2025-02-21 | Racing Montevideo 3-1 Atlético Torque | Primera División - Apertura |
| 2023-11-14 | Racing Montevideo 1-0 Atlético Torque | Primera División - Clausura |
| 2023-04-08 | Atlético Torque 0-2 Racing Montevideo | Primera División - Apertura |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 35 | +24 | 65 |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 35 | +22 | 63 |
| 3 | Atlético Torque | 35 | +18 | 63 |
| 4 | Club Nacional | 35 | +11 | 61 |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 35 | +14 | 60 |
| 6 | Liverpool Montevideo | 35 | +16 | 59 |
| 7 | Wanderers | 35 | -2 | 51 |
| 8 | Albion FC | 35 | +3 | 47 |
| 9 | Juventud | 35 | -6 | 41 |
| 10 | Central Espanol | 35 | -13 | 41 |
| 11 | Defensor Sporting | 35 | -8 | 39 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 35 | -8 | 37 |
| 13 | Boston River | 35 | -13 | 37 |
| 14 | Cerro | 35 | -24 | 37 |
| 15 | Progreso | 35 | -18 | 35 |
| 16 | Danubio | 35 | -16 | 32 |
More stats
Atlético Torque: 12 days since last match · Racing Montevideo: 13 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-11 08:47 UTC.