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Atlas vs CF Pachuca prediction
Mexico · Liga MX
Atlas
CF PachucaPre-match probabilities
Saturday, 7 November · 18:00 (Peru time) · Estadio Jalisco · Referee: Fernando Hernandez Gomez
Over 1.5 goals
80%- 2+ goals in 13 of 15 Atlas matches
- Also in 13 of 15 CF Pachuca matches
- Head to head: 3.2 goals per match
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Atlas 1.39 · CF Pachuca 1.63
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.02.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 10.6 in total · Atlas 5.2 · CF Pachuca 5.4
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 5.2
⏱️ First half
48% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.46
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Atlas: 15 matches · CF Pachuca: 15 matches (all competitions with data).
Atlas at home · CF Pachuca away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 10 of 15 matches and wins 8 of them.
Concedes first in 5 and avoids defeat in 1.
Scores first in 6 of 15 matches and wins 5 of them.
Concedes first in 9 and avoids defeat in 4.
Players in form
Kevin Zenon · 2 goles, 1 assists in 3 matches
Florián Monzón · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
Luís André Leite Esteves · 1 gol, 2 assists in 5 matches
Salomón Rondón · 5 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
Oussama Idrissi · 1 gol, 3 assists in 5 matches
R. Pizarro · 0 goles, 3 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 3.2 goals per match
| 2026-02-14 | CF Pachuca 3-1 Atlas | Liga MX |
| 2025-08-10 | Atlas 0-3 CF Pachuca | Liga MX |
| 2025-02-02 | CF Pachuca 0-0 Atlas | Liga MX |
| 2024-09-14 | Atlas 2-0 CF Pachuca | Liga MX |
| 2024-02-01 | CF Pachuca 4-3 Atlas | Liga MX |
| 2023-11-02 | Atlas 0-2 CF Pachuca | Liga MX |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cruz Azul | 16 | +11 | 32 |
| 2 | Club América | 16 | +15 | 30 |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 16 | +11 | 30 |
| 4 | Toluca | 16 | +14 | 27 |
| 5 | Atlas | 16 | -3 | 27 |
| 6 | Santos Laguna | 16 | +3 | 25 |
| 7 | Club León | 16 | +2 | 23 |
| 8 | CF Pachuca | 16 | +9 | 22 |
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 16 | +3 | 22 |
| 10 | Monterrey | 15 | +1 | 21 |
| 11 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 16 | -2 | 21 |
| 12 | Club Querétaro | 15 | -5 | 20 |
| 13 | Puebla | 16 | -4 | 19 |
| 14 | Atlético San Luis | 16 | -5 | 19 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 16 | -8 | 15 |
| 16 | Atlante FC | 16 | -10 | 14 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 16 | -11 | 13 |
| 18 | FC Juárez | 16 | -21 | 11 |
More stats
2 matches · 6.0 yellows and 0.50 reds per match · 0.00 penalties
Atlas: 7 days since last match · CF Pachuca: 7 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 01:30 UTC.