Home › Mexico · Liga MX › Atlante FC vs Santos Laguna

Atlante FC vs Santos Laguna prediction

Mexico · Liga MX

Atlante FC#16 · 14 ptsLLWLL

0 - 2Full time

Santos Laguna#6 · 25 ptsWLWWW

35%31%34%

Pre-match probabilities

🟥 Aarón Quirós 15'⚽ Tahiel Adrian Jimenez 67'⚽ Esteban Lozano 77'

Friday, November 6 · 22:00 (Peru time) · Estadio Banorte · Referee: Marco Antonio Ortiz Nava

🎯 Model pick

Over 1.5 goals

81%

Full data

2+ goals in 12 of 15 Atlante FC matches
Also in 9 of 15 Santos Laguna matches
Picky expects 3.0 goals (1.5 - 1.5)

⚡ Summary

35%Atlante FC to win@2.84 57%Over 2.5 goals@1.76 64%Both teams to score@1.57 66%Corners +9.5 (11.6)@1.5129%Cards +4.5 (3.5)@3.471-1Most likely score · 14%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

85'🔁 Sub: Eugenio Pizzuto · Maximiliano GarcíaAtlante FC

85'🔁 Sub: Luis Sánchez · Luis PuenteAtlante FC

85'🔁 Sub: Ezequiel Bullaude · L. GómezSantos Laguna

77'🔁 Sub: Walter Clar · Daniel GonzálezAtlante FC

77'⚽ Esteban Lozano assist Mauricio CuevasSantos Laguna

73'🟨 Aldo LopezSantos Laguna

67'⚽ Tahiel Adrian Jimenez assist Ezequiel BullaudeSantos Laguna

63'🔁 Sub: Francisco Villalba · Javier GuemezSantos Laguna

63'🔁 Sub: Facundo Cáseres · Aldo LopezSantos Laguna

57'🔁 Sub: Eduardo Aguirre · Kevin PalaciosSantos Laguna

45'🔁 Sub: Jonathan Geovanni Pérez Sánchez · Tahiel Adrian JimenezSantos Laguna

42'🟨 Felipe SánchezSantos Laguna

34'🔁 Sub: Joaquín Alejandro Moxica Chapa · Diogo Osmar Bagüí TobarAtlante FC

15'🟥 Aarón QuirósAtlante FC

13'📺 Aarón QuirósAtlante FC

Win probability minute by minute

Atlante FCDrawSantos Laguna

At kick-off35%31%34%Full time0%0%100%

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

35%Atlante FC to win@2.84

31%Draw@3.26

34%Santos Laguna to win@2.93

Over 1.5 goals81%

Over 2.5 goals57%

Over 3.5 goals37%

Both teams to score64%

Atlante FC or draw66%

Santos Laguna or draw65%

Atlante FC to score78%

Santos Laguna to score78%

Most likely scores

1-114%2-18%1-27%2-27%0-07%

Expected goals per the model: Atlante FC 1.54 · Santos Laguna 1.51

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.05.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 11.6 in total · Atlante FC 5.2 · Santos Laguna 6.4

75%Over 8.5@1.33

66%Over 9.5@1.51

57%Over 10.5@1.77

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 3.5 · el árbitro Marco Antonio Ortiz Nava saca 3.2 por partido

45%Over 3.5@2.22

29%Over 4.5@3.47

17%Over 5.5@5.84

⏱️ First half

39% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.20

70%Goal in the 1st half@1.43

34%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.95

84%Goal in the 2st half@1.19

⚽ Goals per team

46%Atlante FC +1.5@2.20

45%Santos Laguna +1.5@2.24

15%Atlante FC to win to nil@6.55

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

1.70Expected goals (xG)0.71

5Shots on target3

1Saves5

4Offsides1

1Red cards0

18Shots12

3Corners6

0Yellow cards2

13Fouls10

31Possession %69

Goals in the last 10 matches

Atlante FC · last 10 matches

4/10+2.5 goals5/10both teams to score2.8goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Santos Laguna · last 10 matches

5/10+2.5 goals4/10both teams to score2.8goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

Atlante FCSantos Laguna

1.1Goals scored per match1.4

1.6Goals conceded per match1.3

80%Matches with over 1.5 goals60%

40%Matches with over 2.5 goals53%

60%Both teams to score40%

13%Clean sheet33%

33%Matches without scoring33%

5.4Corners won per match7.2

1.9Yellow cards per match1.8

Atlante FC: 15 matches · Santos Laguna: 15 matches (all competitions with data).

Atlante FC at home · Santos Laguna away

Atlante FC at home

1G3E3P

LLWLD

Santos Laguna away

2G0E5P

LWWLL

When do they score and concede?

Atlante FC · goals by minute in 15 matches scored conceded

Santos Laguna · goals by minute in 15 matches scored conceded

The first goal

Atlante FC

Scores first in 5 of 14 matches and wins 3 of them.

Concedes first in 9 and avoids defeat in 3.

Santos Laguna

Scores first in 5 of 14 matches and wins 4 of them.

Concedes first in 9 and avoids defeat in 3.

Players in form

Atlante FC

Martín Sarrafiore · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

Jhojan Julio · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

J. N. Carrera · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

Santos Laguna

T. Jimenez · 5 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

E. Bullaude · 0 goles, 3 assists in 5 matches

E. Aguirre · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches

Head to head

1Atlante FC to win

0Draws

0Santos Laguna to win

1 matches · 3.0 goals per match

Recent meetings
2025-12-19	Santos Laguna 0-3 Atlante FC	Friendlies Clubs

Standings

Liga MX standings
#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Cruz Azul	16	+11	32
2	Club América	16	+15	30
3	Guadalajara Chivas	16	+11	30
4	Toluca	16	+14	27
5	Atlas	16	-3	27
6	Santos Laguna	16	+3	25
7	Club León	16	+2	23
8	CF Pachuca	16	+9	22
9	Club Tijuana	16	+3	22
10	Monterrey	15	+1	21
11	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	16	-2	21
12	Club Querétaro	15	-5	20
13	Puebla	16	-4	19
14	Atlético San Luis	16	-5	19
15	Tigres UANL	16	-8	15
16	Atlante FC	16	-10	14
17	Necaxa	16	-11	13
18	FC Juárez	16	-21	11

More stats

Referee: Marco Antonio Ortiz Nava

24 matches · 2.9 yellows and 0.33 reds per match · 0.33 penalties

Half-time

Atlante FC: 6 days since last match · Santos Laguna: 5 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 05:30 UTC.