PickManiaAI predictions

Home › Brazil · Serie B › Athletic Club vs Atlético Goianiense

Athletic Club vs Atlético Goianiense prediction

Brazil · Serie B
Athletic Club badgeAthletic Club#14 · 47 ptsWLDDL
2 - 3Full time
Atlético Goianiense badgeAtlético Goianiense#8 · 58 ptsDLDDL

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Maswel Ananias Silva 14'🟥 Maswel Ananias Silva 45'⚽ Gustavo Silva 61'⚽ João Pedro 67'⚽ Gustavo Coutinho Silva Lopes 70' (p)⚽ Gustavo Coutinho Silva Lopes 90'

Sunday, November 8 · 14:00 (Peru time) · Estadio Joaquim Portugal · Referee: Rafael Rodrigo Klein

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Atlético Goianiense to score

77%
Full data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'+1🟨 Philipe Sampaio AzevedoAthletic Club
90'⚽ Gustavo Coutinho Silva Lopes assist Geovany SoaresAtlético Goianiense
89'🟨 Alexsandro de SouzaAthletic Club
83'🔁 Sub: Gabriel Verutti Brigida Rogerio · Felipe Vieira da SilvaAthletic Club
78'🔁 Sub: Yago Santos de Andrade · Eduardo Filipe Silva de OliveiraAthletic Club
75'🔁 Sub: Diogo·Batista de Souza · Douglas da Silva SantosAthletic Club
75'🔁 Sub: Philipe Sampaio Azevedo · Joao Victor Broad Moreira GuimaraesAthletic Club
70'⚽ Gustavo Coutinho Silva Lopes (pen.)Atlético Goianiense
67'⚽ João PedroAtlético Goianiense
61'⚽ Gustavo Silva assist Diogo·Batista de SouzaAthletic Club
59'🔁 Sub: Bruno José · MatheuzinhoAtlético Goianiense
59'🔁 Sub: Warley Leandro da Silva · Ewerthon Diogenes da SilvaAtlético Goianiense
59'🔁 Sub: Guilherme Lopes · Gustavo Daniel da Silva GonçalvesAtlético Goianiense
59'🔁 Sub: Henrique · Klebert de Oliveira PereiraAtlético Goianiense
59'🔁 Sub: David Terans · João PedroAtlético Goianiense
53'🟨 Bruno JoséAtlético Goianiense
45'+3🟥 Maswel Ananias SilvaAthletic Club
45'🔁 Sub: Yarlen Faustino Augusto · Gustavo SilvaAthletic Club
14'⚽ Maswel Ananias Silva assist Yarlen Faustino AugustoAthletic Club

Win probability minute by minute

Athletic ClubDrawAtlético Goianiense
At kick-off26%28%46%Full time0%0%100%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

26%Athletic Club to win@3.89
28%Draw@3.57
46%Atlético Goianiense to win@2.16
Over 1.5 goals72%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Over 3.5 goals26%
Both teams to score52%
Athletic Club or draw54%
Atlético Goianiense or draw74%
Athletic Club to score65%
Atlético Goianiense to score77%

Most likely scores

1-113%0-111%0-09%1-29%0-29%

Expected goals per the model: Athletic Club 1.05 · Atlético Goianiense 1.49

How many goals will there be?

8%0 goals20%1 goals25%2 goals22%3 goals14%4 goals11%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.54.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 10.3 in total · Athletic Club 4.6 · Atlético Goianiense 5.7

64%Over 8.5@1.55
54%Over 9.5@1.84
44%Over 10.5@2.25
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 4.2 · el árbitro Rafael Rodrigo Klein saca 3.5 por partido

58%Over 3.5@1.73
41%Over 4.5@2.45
27%Over 5.5@3.73

⏱️ First half

47% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.20

70%Goal in the 1st half@1.43
34%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.97
74%Goal in the 2st half@1.35

⚽ Goals per team

28%Athletic Club +1.5@3.54
44%Atlético Goianiense +1.5@2.28
14%Athletic Club to win to nil@7.27

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

0.52Expected goals (xG)1.81
4Shots on target5
2Saves2
1Red cards0
11Shots22
1Yellow cards1
0Corners13
11Fouls14
30Possession %70

Goals in the last 10 matches

Athletic Club · last 10 matches
6/10+2.5 goals7/10both teams to score2.7goals per match
2.5en Juventude: 2-0 2-0 vs Botafogo SP: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Fortaleza EC: 2-2 2-2 ambosvs Sport Recife: 1-2 1-2 ambosen Goias: 1-2 1-2 ambosvs Londrina: 2-2 2-2 ambosen Avai: 0-0 0-0 en Operario-PR: 0-1 0-1 vs Ceara: 2-1 2-1 ambosvs Atlético Goianiense: 2-3 2-3 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Atlético Goianiense · last 10 matches
3/10+2.5 goals4/10both teams to score2.2goals per match
2.5vs Criciuma: 4-0 4-0 en São Bernardo: 0-1 0-1 en Goias: 1-0 1-0 vs América Mineiro: 2-0 2-0 en CRB: 1-3 1-3 ambosvs Sport Recife: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Ponte Preta: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Novorizontino: 0-1 0-1 en Fortaleza EC: 0-0 0-0 at Athletic Club: 3-2 3-2 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

Athletic ClubAtlético Goianiense
1.2Goals scored per match1.1
1.2Goals conceded per match0.8
78%Matches with over 1.5 goals56%
44%Matches with over 2.5 goals32%
61%Both teams to score41%
24%Clean sheet44%
24%Matches without scoring29%
4.3Corners won per match6.2
2.3Yellow cards per match2.3

Athletic Club: 41 matches · Atlético Goianiense: 41 matches (all competitions with data).

Athletic Club at home · Atlético Goianiense away

Athletic Club at home
8G6E6P
WDLDW
Atlético Goianiense away
6G9E5P
DDLWL

When do they score and concede?

Athletic Club · goals by minute in 41 matches scored conceded
730-157816-3091031-455746-60131061-75101076-90
Atlético Goianiense · goals by minute in 41 matches scored conceded
540-1510216-309931-454446-608761-759776-90

The first goal

Athletic Club

Scores first in 19 of 37 matches and wins 11 of them.

Concedes first in 18 and avoids defeat in 7.

Atlético Goianiense

Scores first in 20 of 35 matches and wins 16 of them.

Concedes first in 15 and avoids defeat in 8.

Players in form

Athletic Club

Joao Miguel · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Kauan Rodrigues da Silva · 0 goles, 3 assists in 5 matches

Redney · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches

Atlético Goianiense

Joao Pedro · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches

Henrique Freitas · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

Geovany Soares · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

Head to head

0Athletic Club to win
2Draws
1Atlético Goianiense to win

3 matches · 2.7 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-07-18Atlético Goianiense 0-0 Athletic ClubSerie B
2025-08-04Athletic Club 1-1 Atlético GoianienseSerie B
2025-04-07Atlético Goianiense 4-2 Athletic ClubSerie B

Standings

Serie B standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Novorizontino37+3470
2Juventude37+2368
3Vila Nova37+1566
4Criciuma37+762
5Fortaleza EC37+1162
6CRB37+658
7Goias37-258
8Atlético Goianiense37+1058
9Sport Recife37+855
10Operario-PR37-154
11São Bernardo37+1052
12Botafogo SP37+651
13Cuiaba37+247
14Athletic Club37047
15Nautico Recife37-946
16Ceara37-943
17Avai37-1240
18Londrina37-1332
19América Mineiro37-2829
20Ponte Preta37-5815

More stats

Referee: Rafael Rodrigo Klein

46 matches · 3.2 yellows and 0.31 reds per match · 0.19 penalties

Half-time

Athletic Club: 5 days since last match · Atlético Goianiense: 6 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 21:30 UTC.

Get the AI Top Picks in your inbox

Every morning, the day's picks with their data. Free, and you can unsubscribe any time.