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AS Roma vs Sassuolo prediction
Italy · Serie A
AS Roma
SassuoloPre-match probabilities
Saturday, November 7 · 14:45 (Peru time) · Stadio Olimpico · Referee: Marco Di Bello
AS Roma to win
72%- AS Roma have won 3 of their last 5 (L W W D W)
- At home, AS Roma are 5W 1D 1L this season
- Sassuolo in poor form: 4 defeats in their last 5
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: AS Roma 2.65 · Sassuolo 0.99
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.64.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 9.2 in total · AS Roma 5.4 · Sassuolo 3.8
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 3.8 · el árbitro Marco Di Bello saca 4.0 por partido
⏱️ First half
40% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.44
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
AS Roma: 14 matches · Sassuolo: 10 matches (all competitions with data).
AS Roma at home · Sassuolo away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 10 of 13 matches and wins 6 of them.
Concedes first in 3 and avoids defeat in 3.
Scores first in 4 of 10 matches and wins 2 of them.
Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 1.
Players in form
Donyell Malen · 4 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches
Matias Soule · 2 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches
Rodrigo Mora · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
Armand Lauriente · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Sebastiano Esposito · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches
K. Thorstvedt · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 2.7 goals per match
| 2026-01-10 | AS Roma 2-0 Sassuolo | Serie A |
| 2025-10-26 | Sassuolo 0-1 AS Roma | Serie A |
| 2024-03-17 | AS Roma 1-0 Sassuolo | Serie A |
| 2023-12-03 | Sassuolo 1-2 AS Roma | Serie A |
| 2023-03-12 | AS Roma 3-4 Sassuolo | Serie A |
| 2022-11-09 | Sassuolo 1-1 AS Roma | Serie A |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 11 | +16 | 29 |
| 2 | Inter | 11 | +15 | 28 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 11 | +21 | 27 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 11 | +10 | 24 |
| 5 | Como | 11 | +8 | 23 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 11 | +9 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus | 11 | +3 | 18 |
| 8 | Bologna | 11 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 | Cagliari | 11 | -5 | 16 |
| 10 | Napoli | 11 | +4 | 15 |
| 11 | Torino | 11 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 | Atalanta | 11 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 | Genoa | 11 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 | Lecce | 11 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 11 | -8 | 9 |
| 16 | Parma | 11 | -8 | 8 |
| 17 | Sassuolo | 11 | -13 | 8 |
| 18 | Monza | 11 | -8 | 7 |
| 19 | Venezia | 11 | -13 | 6 |
| 20 | Udinese | 11 | -13 | 5 |
More stats
10 matches · 4.0 yellows and 0.00 reds per match · 0.00 penalties
AS Roma: 3 days since last match · Sassuolo: 5 days
Sin bajas conocidas
I. Koné, E. Pieragnolo, Fali Candé, D. Boloca, Y. Paz
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 22:20 UTC.