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Arsenal vs Hull City prediction
England · Premier League
Arsenal
Hull CityPre-match probabilities
Saturday, November 7 · 10:00 (Peru time) · Emirates Stadium · Referee: Farai Hallam
Over 1.5 goals
82%- 2+ goals in 9 of 13 Arsenal matches
- Also in 6 of 9 Hull City matches
- Head to head: 3.1 goals per match
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Arsenal 2.60 · Hull City 0.59
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.19.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 9.5 in total · Arsenal 5.7 · Hull City 3.8
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 4.0 · el árbitro Farai Hallam saca 3.7 por partido
⏱️ First half
44% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.40
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Arsenal: 13 matches · Hull City: 9 matches (all competitions with data).
Arsenal at home · Hull City away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 10 of 13 matches and wins 9 of them.
Concedes first in 3 and avoids defeat in 2.
Scores first in 4 of 8 matches and wins 2 of them.
Concedes first in 4 and avoids defeat in 2.
Players in form
Viktor Gyökeres · 1 gol, 3 assists in 5 matches
Declan Rice · 1 gol, 2 assists in 5 matches
Noni Madueke · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Oliver McBurnie · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
M. Belloumi · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches
Mohamed Ali Cho · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 3.1 goals per match
| 2017-02-11 | Arsenal 2-0 Hull City | Premier League |
| 2016-09-17 | Hull City 1-4 Arsenal | Premier League |
| 2016-03-08 | Hull City 0-4 Arsenal | FA Cup |
| 2016-02-20 | Arsenal 0-0 Hull City | FA Cup |
| 2015-05-04 | Hull City 1-3 Arsenal | Premier League |
| 2015-01-04 | Arsenal 2-0 Hull City | FA Cup |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 10 | +10 | 27 |
| 2 | Brighton | 10 | +19 | 22 |
| 3 | Manchester City | 10 | +8 | 21 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 10 | +4 | 18 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 10 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 | Everton | 10 | +2 | 16 |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 10 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 | Brentford | 10 | +5 | 14 |
| 9 | Leeds | 10 | +2 | 14 |
| 10 | Aston Villa | 10 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Tottenham | 10 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 10 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 | Hull City | 10 | 0 | 11 |
| 14 | Ipswich | 10 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 | Fulham | 10 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 | Nottingham Forest | 10 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 | Coventry | 10 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 | Manchester United | 10 | -5 | 8 |
| 19 | Sunderland | 10 | -9 | 8 |
| 20 | Crystal Palace | 10 | -14 | 7 |
More stats
16 matches · 3.7 yellows and 0.00 reds per match · 0.29 penalties
Arsenal: 2 days since last match · Hull City: 7 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 17:40 UTC.