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Armenia vs Cyprus prediction
International · UEFA Nations League
Armenia
CyprusProbabilidad de cada resultado según el modelo
Thursday, November 12 · 12:00 (Peru time) · Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium · Referee: Orel Grinfeld
Cyprus to score
71%- Cyprus scored in 6 of 8 matches this season
- Cyprus average 1.4 goals per match
- Armenia concede 1.3 goals per match
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
📝 Preview
Armenia and Cyprus meet in the UEFA Nations League.
The PickMania model gives Armenia a 31% chance of winning, 34% for the draw and 36% for Cyprus.
2.5 total goals are expected (1.2 from Armenia and 1.3 from Cyprus): over 2.5 goals has a 44% chance and both teams to score 53%.
The most likely score is 1-1.
Probabilities
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Armenia 1.19 · Cyprus 1.29
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.48.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 10.3 in total · Armenia 6.3 · Cyprus 4.0
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 3.6
⏱️ First half
44% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.09
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Armenia: 7 matches · Cyprus: 8 matches (all competitions with data).
Armenia at home · Cyprus away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 2 of 6 matches and wins 1 of them.
Concedes first in 4 and avoids defeat in 1.
Scores first in 5 of 7 matches and wins 3 of them.
Concedes first in 2 and avoids defeat in 1.
Players in form
Artur Serobyan · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches
Eduard Spertsyan · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches
Georgiy Harutyunyan · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches
Marcus Edwards · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches
Nicholas Tsaroulla · 0 goles, 2 assists in 3 matches
Giannis Kosti · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches
Head to head
3 matches · 3.7 goals per match
| 2026-10-02 | Cyprus 2-0 Armenia | UEFA Nations League |
| 2023-03-28 | Armenia 2-2 Cyprus | Friendlies |
| 2017-11-13 | Armenia 3-2 Cyprus | Friendlies |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montenegro | 4 | +3 | 10 |
| 2 | Cyprus | 4 | +2 | 7 |
| 3 | Armenia | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Latvia | 4 | -4 | 1 |
More stats
2 matches · 4.0 yellows and 0.00 reds per match · 0.50 penalties
Armenia: 37 days since last match · Cyprus: 38 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-11 08:47 UTC.