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Aris Thessalonikis vs Panetolikos prediction
Greece · Super League 1
Aris Thessalonikis
PanetolikosPre-match probabilities
Saturday, November 7 · 12:30 (Peru time) · Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium · Referee: Panagiotis Koukoulas
Over 1.5 goals
77%- 2+ goals in 8 of 9 Aris Thessalonikis matches
- Also in 8 of 9 Panetolikos matches
- Picky expects 2.9 goals (2.1 - 0.7)
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Aris Thessalonikis 2.13 · Panetolikos 0.74
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.87.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 8.9 in total · Aris Thessalonikis 5.8 · Panetolikos 3.1
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 6.3 · el árbitro Panagiotis Koukoulas saca 8.0 por partido
⏱️ First half
49% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.40
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Aris Thessalonikis: 9 matches · Panetolikos: 9 matches (all competitions with data).
Aris Thessalonikis at home · Panetolikos away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 4 of 8 matches and wins 4 of them.
Concedes first in 4 and avoids defeat in 1.
Scores first in 3 of 9 matches and wins 3 of them.
Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 0.
Players in form
Fabiano · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
C. Kouame · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Bruma · 1 gol, 1 assists in 3 matches
Esteban Diego · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 2.0 goals per match
| 2026-01-31 | Panetolikos 0-1 Aris Thessalonikis | Super League 1 |
| 2026-01-06 | Aris Thessalonikis 2-0 Panetolikos | Cup |
| 2025-09-17 | Panetolikos 0-1 Aris Thessalonikis | Cup |
| 2025-08-30 | Aris Thessalonikis 0-2 Panetolikos | Super League 1 |
| 2025-02-23 | Aris Thessalonikis 2-1 Panetolikos | Super League 1 |
| 2024-11-09 | Panetolikos 2-1 Aris Thessalonikis | Super League 1 |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 10 | +17 | 27 |
| 2 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 10 | +11 | 23 |
| 3 | AEK Athens FC | 9 | +17 | 20 |
| 4 | PAOK | 10 | +6 | 19 |
| 5 | Aris Thessalonikis | 10 | -1 | 19 |
| 6 | OFI | 10 | +2 | 17 |
| 7 | Kifisia | 10 | 0 | 14 |
| 8 | Kalamata | 10 | -4 | 12 |
| 9 | Iraklis 1908 | 10 | -3 | 10 |
| 10 | Panetolikos | 10 | -12 | 9 |
| 11 | Asteras Tripolis | 10 | -9 | 7 |
| 12 | Atromitos | 9 | -3 | 6 |
| 13 | Levadiakos | 10 | -9 | 6 |
| 14 | Volos NFC | 10 | -12 | 0 |
More stats
5 matches · 7.5 yellows and 0.50 reds per match · 0.00 penalties
Aris Thessalonikis: 6 days since last match · Panetolikos: 6 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 20:00 UTC.