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Saudi Arabia vs South Korea prediction
International · International friendlies
Saudi Arabia
South KoreaProbabilidad de cada resultado según el modelo
Friday, November 13 · 09:30 (Peru time)
Over 1.5 goals
72%- 2+ goals in 4 of 5 Saudi Arabia matches
- Also in 5 of 8 South Korea matches
- Picky expects 2.5 goals (1.3 - 1.3)
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
📝 Preview
Saudi Arabia and South Korea meet in the International friendlies.
The PickMania model gives Saudi Arabia a 37% chance of winning, 29% for the draw and 34% for South Korea.
2.5 total goals are expected (1.3 from Saudi Arabia and 1.3 from South Korea): over 2.5 goals has a 46% chance and both teams to score 52%.
The most likely score is 1-1.
Probabilities
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Saudi Arabia 1.30 · South Korea 1.25
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.55.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 7.1 in total · Saudi Arabia 2.4 · South Korea 4.7
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 3.3
⏱️ First half
42% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.07
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Saudi Arabia: 5 matches · South Korea: 8 matches (all competitions with data).
Saudi Arabia at home · South Korea away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 2 of 4 matches and wins 1 of them.
Concedes first in 2 and avoids defeat in 0.
Scores first in 4 of 7 matches and wins 4 of them.
Concedes first in 3 and avoids defeat in 0.
Players in form
S. Mandash · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches
A. Al Hamdan · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
S. Al Dawsari · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches
Son Heung-Min · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Dong-gyeong Lee · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches
Oh Se-Hun · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches
Head to head
3 matches · 1.0 goals per match
| 2024-01-30 | Saudi Arabia 1-1 South Korea | Asian Cup |
| 2023-09-12 | Saudi Arabia 0-1 South Korea | Friendlies |
| 2018-12-31 | South Korea 0-0 Saudi Arabia | Friendlies |
More stats
Saudi Arabia: 156 days since last match · South Korea: 38 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-11 09:47 UTC.