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Apoel Nicosia vs Aris prediction
Cyprus · 1. Division
Apoel Nicosia
ArisPre-match probabilities
Sunday, November 8 · 12:00 (Peru time) · GSP Stadium · Referee: Antonis Konstantinidis
Apoel Nicosia to score
80%- Apoel Nicosia scored in 7 of 8 matches this season
- Apoel Nicosia average 2.3 goals per match
- Aris concede 1.3 goals per match
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Apoel Nicosia 1.65 · Aris 1.16
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.81.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 8.9 in total · Apoel Nicosia 5.6 · Aris 3.3
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 3.3
⏱️ First half
40% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.11
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Apoel Nicosia: 8 matches · Aris: 8 matches (all competitions with data).
Apoel Nicosia at home · Aris away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 2 of 7 matches and wins 2 of them.
Concedes first in 5 and avoids defeat in 3.
Scores first in 5 of 7 matches and wins 3 of them.
Concedes first in 2 and avoids defeat in 1.
Players in form
F. Pedrozo · 4 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
A. Bakasetas · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Marquinhos · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches
R. Effaghe · 4 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
V. Nikolic · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
M. Matysik · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 2.4 goals per match
| 2026-05-06 | Aris 1-0 Apoel Nicosia | 1. Division |
| 2026-04-05 | Apoel Nicosia 2-1 Aris | 1. Division |
| 2026-03-15 | Aris 1-2 Apoel Nicosia | 1. Division |
| 2025-12-07 | Apoel Nicosia 2-0 Aris | 1. Division |
| 2025-04-22 | Apoel Nicosia 2-1 Aris | 1. Division |
| 2025-03-15 | Aris 1-0 Apoel Nicosia | 1. Division |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEK Larnaca | 9 | +11 | 20 |
| 2 | Omonia Nicosia | 9 | +11 | 18 |
| 3 | AEL | 9 | 0 | 18 |
| 4 | Apoel Nicosia | 9 | +10 | 17 |
| 5 | Apollon Limassol | 9 | +10 | 16 |
| 6 | Pafos | 9 | +6 | 16 |
| 7 | Aris | 9 | 0 | 15 |
| 8 | Omonia 29is Maiou | 9 | -2 | 11 |
| 9 | Olympiakos | 9 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Nea Salamis | 9 | -4 | 8 |
| 11 | Anorthosis | 9 | -10 | 6 |
| 12 | Karmiotissa | 9 | -14 | 6 |
| 13 | Omonia Aradippou | 9 | -6 | 6 |
| 14 | Krasava Ypsonas | 9 | -11 | 5 |
More stats
Apoel Nicosia: 7 days since last match · Aris: 7 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 19:30 UTC.