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Antwerp vs Lommel United prediction

Belgium · Jupiler Pro League
Antwerp badgeAntwerp#13 · 11 ptsLWLLL
2 - 2Full time
Lommel United badgeLommel United#6 · 16 ptsWDWDL

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ S. Porozo 40'⚽ D. Konadu 47'⚽ M. Fofana 52'⚽ D. Konadu 66'

Saturday, November 7 · 14:45 (Peru time) · Bosuilstadion · Referee: Nathan Verboomen

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Antwerp to score

83%
Full data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'+1🟨 J. van DuivenLommel United
89'🟨 L. JohnsonLommel United
81'🔁 Sub: M. Fofana · F. AdekamiAntwerp
78'🔁 Sub: S. Appuah · D. GordicLommel United
72'🔁 Sub: M. Benitez · X. DierckxAntwerp
72'🔁 Sub: S. Porozo · M. FreyAntwerp
72'🔁 Sub: J. Talvitie · R. SeuntjensLommel United
66'⚽ D. KonaduLommel United
63'🔁 Sub: J. Pelupessy · I. Dada-MascollLommel United
63'🔁 Sub: T. Gooijer · N. RommensLommel United
55'🔁 Sub: Y. Tsunashima · R. Van HeldenAntwerp
54'🟨 S. PorozoAntwerp
54'🔁 Sub: C. Mejia · Y. HamdaouiAntwerp
52'⚽ M. FofanaAntwerp
47'⚽ D. Konadu assist J. TalvitieLommel United
40'⚽ S. PorozoAntwerp
20'🟨 S. RendersAntwerp
18'❌ D. Konadu (missed pen.)Lommel United

Win probability minute by minute

AntwerpDrawLommel United
At kick-off47%27%26%Full time0%100%0%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽⚽⚽⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

47%Antwerp to win@2.12
27%Draw@3.75
26%Lommel United to win@3.83
Over 1.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Over 3.5 goals38%
Both teams to score63%
Antwerp or draw74%
Lommel United or draw53%
Antwerp to score83%
Lommel United to score73%

Most likely scores

1-112%2-19%1-07%2-07%2-26%

Expected goals per the model: Antwerp 1.82 · Lommel United 1.32

How many goals will there be?

4%0 goals14%1 goals21%2 goals22%3 goals18%4 goals21%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.14.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 10.7 in total · Antwerp 6.2 · Lommel United 4.5

68%Over 8.5@1.48
58%Over 9.5@1.73
48%Over 10.5@2.09
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 4.1 · el árbitro N. Verboomen saca 4.5 por partido

55%Over 3.5@1.83
38%Over 4.5@2.64
24%Over 5.5@4.11

⏱️ First half

33% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.04

65%Goal in the 1st half@1.54
28%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@3.57
88%Goal in the 2st half@1.14

⚽ Goals per team

54%Antwerp +1.5@1.84
38%Lommel United +1.5@2.63
21%Antwerp to win to nil@4.75

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

4Shots on target4
21Shots12
8Fouls3
8Corners6
4Offsides0
54Possession %46
2Yellow cards0
2Saves2
2.73Expected goals (xG)1.86

Goals in the last 10 matches

Antwerp · last 10 matches
8/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score3.9goals per match
2.5en Kortrijk: 3-0 3-0 vs Genk: 4-4 4-4 ambosvs St. Truiden: 1-4 1-4 ambosen Standard Liege: 0-1 0-1 en Club Brugge KV: 1-3 1-3 ambosvs Unión St. Gilloise: 0-2 0-2 en KVC Westerlo: 1-5 1-5 ambosvs Charleroi: 3-0 3-0 en Cercle Brugge: 1-2 1-2 ambosvs Lommel United: 2-2 2-2 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Lommel United · last 10 matches
5/10+2.5 goals3/10both teams to score2.6goals per match
2.5vs Charleroi: 0-1 0-1 vs KVC Westerlo: 4-0 4-0 en Cercle Brugge: 1-0 1-0 vs Club Brugge KV: 0-1 0-1 en Unión St. Gilloise: 0-5 0-5 vs KV Mechelen: 0-0 0-0 en SK Beveren: 3-1 3-1 ambosen OH Leuven: 2-2 2-2 ambosvs Gent: 2-0 2-0 at Antwerp: 2-2 2-2 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

AntwerpLommel United
1.6Goals scored per match1.3
2.2Goals conceded per match1.1
90%Matches with over 1.5 goals60%
80%Matches with over 2.5 goals40%
60%Both teams to score30%
20%Clean sheet40%
20%Matches without scoring40%
4.7Corners won per match3.8
2.4Yellow cards per match1.0

Antwerp: 10 matches · Lommel United: 10 matches (all competitions with data).

Antwerp at home · Lommel United away

Antwerp at home
2G1E2P
WLLDW
Lommel United away
2G2E1P
DWLWD

When do they score and concede?

Antwerp · goals by minute in 10 matches scored conceded
120-154116-301231-452646-602461-756776-90
Lommel United · goals by minute in 10 matches scored conceded
020-153016-302231-453046-601561-754276-90

The first goal

Antwerp

Scores first in 4 of 10 matches and wins 2 of them.

Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 1.

Lommel United

Scores first in 6 of 9 matches and wins 4 of them.

Concedes first in 3 and avoids defeat in 0.

Players in form

Antwerp

Snayder Porozo · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Ibrahim Salah · 1 gol, 1 assists in 4 matches

Thibo Somers · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

Lommel United

D. Konadu · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

D. Gordic · 1 gol, 1 assists in 3 matches

J. Talvitie · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

Head to head

2Antwerp to win
1Draws
1Lommel United to win

4 matches · 2.5 goals per match

Recent meetings
2017-02-26Antwerp 1-0 Lommel UnitedChallenger Pro League
2016-12-16Lommel United 2-4 AntwerpChallenger Pro League
2016-10-23Lommel United 1-1 AntwerpChallenger Pro League
2016-08-19Antwerp 0-1 Lommel UnitedChallenger Pro League

Standings

Jupiler Pro League standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Unión St. Gilloise11+2329
2Club Brugge KV11+1828
3Gent11+1428
4Charleroi11+1327
5Anderlecht11+220
6Lommel United11+216
7Genk11+315
8Standard Liege11+215
9KVC Westerlo11-414
10OH Leuven11-512
11KV Mechelen11-712
12St. Truiden11011
13Antwerp11-611
14Zulte Waregem11-711
15SK Beveren11-1010
16Cercle Brugge11-89
17RAAL La Louvière11-117
18Kortrijk11-194

More stats

Referee: N. Verboomen

22 matches · 3.9 yellows and 0.63 reds per match · 0.25 penalties

Half-time

Antwerp: 6 days since last match · Lommel United: 6 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 22:20 UTC.

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