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Antigua and Barbuda vs Trinidad and Tobago prediction

International · Nations League Concacaf

Antigua and BarbudaWWWLD

18:00Thu Nov 12

Trinidad and TobagoDLLLL

60%27%13%

Probabilidad de cada resultado según el modelo

Thursday, November 12 · 18:00 (Peru time)

🎯 Model pick

Antigua and Barbuda to score

84%

Partial data

Antigua and Barbuda scored in 3 of 4 matches this season
Antigua and Barbuda average 2.8 goals per match
Trinidad and Tobago concede 1.8 goals per match

⚡ Summary

60%Antigua and Barbuda to win@1.66 51%Over 2.5 goals@1.97 49%Both teams to score@2.03 61%Corners +9.5 (11.0)@1.6441%Cards +4.5 (4.3)@2.431-1Most likely score · 12%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

📝 Preview

Antigua and Barbuda and Trinidad and Tobago meet in the Nations League Concacaf.

The PickMania model gives Antigua and Barbuda a 60% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 13% for Trinidad and Tobago.

2.8 total goals are expected (2.0 from Antigua and Barbuda and 0.8 from Trinidad and Tobago): over 2.5 goals has a 51% chance and both teams to score 49%.

The most likely score is 1-1.

Probabilities

60%Antigua and Barbuda to win@1.66

27%Draw@3.66

13%Trinidad and Tobago to win@7.98

Over 1.5 goals75%

Over 2.5 goals51%

Over 3.5 goals31%

Both teams to score49%

Antigua and Barbuda or draw87%

Trinidad and Tobago or draw40%

Antigua and Barbuda to score84%

Trinidad and Tobago to score56%

Most likely scores

1-112%1-011%2-011%0-010%2-18%

Expected goals per the model: Antigua and Barbuda 1.97 · Trinidad and Tobago 0.82

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.79.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 11.0 in total · Antigua and Barbuda 6.8 · Trinidad and Tobago 4.3

71%Over 8.5@1.42

61%Over 9.5@1.64

51%Over 10.5@1.95

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 4.3

58%Over 3.5@1.72

41%Over 4.5@2.43

27%Over 5.5@3.69

⏱️ First half

55% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.53

78%Goal in the 1st half@1.28

45%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.21

72%Goal in the 2st half@1.40

⚽ Goals per team

59%Antigua and Barbuda +1.5@1.71

20%Trinidad and Tobago +1.5@5.04

35%Antigua and Barbuda to win to nil@2.87

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Goals in the last 10 matches

Antigua and Barbuda · last 4 matches

3/4+2.5 goals1/4both teams to score3.5goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Trinidad and Tobago · last 8 matches

5/8+2.5 goals3/8both teams to score2.9goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

Antigua and BarbudaTrinidad and Tobago

2.8Goals scored per match1.0

0.8Goals conceded per match1.8

75%Matches with over 1.5 goals75%

75%Matches with over 2.5 goals50%

25%Both teams to score75%

50%Clean sheet0%

25%Matches without scoring25%

7.0Corners won per match4.3

1.5Yellow cards per match1.5

Antigua and Barbuda: 4 matches · Trinidad and Tobago: 4 matches (all competitions with data).

Antigua and Barbuda at home · Trinidad and Tobago away

Antigua and Barbuda at home

2G0E0P

Trinidad and Tobago away

0G0E2P

LLLLL

When do they score and concede?

Antigua and Barbuda · goals by minute in 4 matches scored conceded

Trinidad and Tobago · goals by minute in 4 matches scored conceded

The first goal

Antigua and Barbuda

Scores first in 3 of 4 matches and wins 3 of them.

Concedes first in 1 and avoids defeat in 0.

Trinidad and Tobago

Scores first in 2 of 4 matches and wins 0 of them.

Concedes first in 2 and avoids defeat in 0.

Players in form

Antigua and Barbuda

Kayonte George · 1 gol, 3 assists in 4 matches

D. Bishop · 3 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches

C. Douglas · 2 goles, 1 assists in 2 matches

Trinidad and Tobago

W. Frederick · 1 gol, 2 assists in 3 matches

L. Phillip · 1 gol, 0 assists in 2 matches

D. Phillips · 1 gol, 0 assists in 2 matches

Head to head

1Antigua and Barbuda to win

0Draws

1Trinidad and Tobago to win

2 matches · 1.5 goals per match

Recent meetings
2014-10-12	Trinidad and Tobago 1-0 Antigua and Barbuda	Caribbean Cup
2012-12-09	Antigua and Barbuda 2-0 Trinidad and Tobago	Caribbean Cup

More stats

Half-time

Antigua and Barbuda: 37 days since last match · Trinidad and Tobago: 39 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-11 09:47 UTC.